FRANCE LIGUE 2
19.09.2026 12:00

Boulogne vs Nantes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Boulogne Win 28.3%
Draw 31.3%
Nantes Win 40.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boulogne0.9
Nantes1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boulogne Boulogne
WWDLW
7 GF / 10 GA
Nantes Nantes
WLDWL
18 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.54
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
4
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
5
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boulogne Boulogne 13 matches
Nantes Nantes 11 matches
Boulogne Statistic Nantes
2 Wins 3
7 Draws 2
4 Losses 6
7 Goals For 18
10 Goals Against 16
0.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
4 BTTS Yes 5
5 Over 1.5 6
1 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 4
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.5
11.83 Total Shots 14.67
3.83 Corners 5
42% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boulogne expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Nantes in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nantes having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nantes. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Nantes arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Boulogne Analysis

Boulogne approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 5 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, and the 2:3 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Hbouch (1 goals), T. Epailly (1 goals), with creative support from B. Besic (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nantes Analysis

Nantes sit 17 with 4 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:11, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through W. Younoussa (2 goals), Killian Corredor (2 goals), Bahereba Guirassy (1 goals), with creative support from W. Younoussa (1 assists), Bahereba Guirassy (1 assists), L. Perrin (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Boulogne won 2 times, Nantes won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Boulogne's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (71.7%)
Predicted formations: Boulogne 5-3-2 / Nantes 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Boulogne wins 2, draws 2, Nantes wins 0

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 0 1 17:6 11 15
L W W W W
2 6 3 3 0 14:8 6 12
W D W W D
3 6 3 2 1 5:4 1 11
W L D W W
4 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
L W D L W
5 5 2 3 0 8:4 4 9
W D D D W
6 6 2 3 1 3:4 -1 9
W D D W D
7 6 2 2 2 10:10 0 8
W D L L D
8 6 2 2 2 9:9 0 8
W D D L W
9 5 2 2 1 5:6 -1 8
W L D D W
10 6 2 1 3 4:4 0 7
L L W W L
11 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W L
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
W L W L D
13 6 1 3 2 8:9 -1 6
W D L D L
14 6 0 5 1 2:3 -1 5
D D D D L
15 6 1 2 3 4:6 -2 5
L D D L W
16 6 0 5 1 3:5 -2 5
D D D D L
17 6 1 1 4 7:12 -5 4
L W D L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:13 -6 4
L L L D W
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3