BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Hristo Botev Stadium
Referee: N. Popov
Botev Vratsa
Match Timeline
Spartak Varna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
M. Ntelo · Assist: M. Petkov
Botev Vratsa
🟨
11'
Damian Yordanov
Spartak Varna
13'
T. Ouorou
Botev Vratsa
🔄
37'
M. Georgiev ↔ T. Chunchukov
Spartak Varna
🟨
45'
Tailson
Spartak Varna
🟨
51'
José Gallegos
Botev Vratsa
🔄
62'
D. Genov ↔ K. Hadji
Botev Vratsa
🟨
70'
Marin Orlinov
Botev Vratsa
🟨
70'
Tsvetelin Chunchukov
Spartak Varna
70'
T. Chunchukov
Spartak Varna
🔄
71'
Jota Lopes ↔ D. Ivanov
Spartak Varna
🔄
71'
G. Stojanovski ↔ T. Marinov
Spartak Varna
🔄
71'
Tailson ↔ S. Moukachar
Spartak Varna
🔄
73'
M. Ntelo ↔ Y. Bornosuzov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
73'
M. Petkov ↔ M. Smolenski
Botev Vratsa
🔄
73'
J. Gallegos ↔ V. Naydenov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
78'
D. Lozev ↔ P. Prindzhev
Spartak Varna
🔄
89'
I. Yurukov ↔ L. Boyanov
Botev Vratsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 34.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 54%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
34.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
54%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botev Vratsa Win 79.8%
Draw 8.2%
Spartak Varna Win 12%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Vratsa1.16
Spartak Varna0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WWDLW
25 GF / 27 GA
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WLDWL
26 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.84
0.87
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
10
BTTS Yes
17
8
Over 2.5
15
2.21
Shots on Goal
2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 31 matches
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 31 matches
Botev Vratsa Statistic Spartak Varna
9 Wins 5
12 Draws 12
10 Losses 14
25 Goals For 26
27 Goals Against 52
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
0.87 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
10 BTTS Yes 17
16 Over 1.5 23
8 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 8
15 Failed To Score 11
2.21 Shots On Goal 2
6.54 Total Shots 6.72
2.68 Corners 2.55
33.4% Ball Possession 31.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Spartak Varna. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Spartak Varna arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa are currently 10 in the standings with 39 points from 31 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 25:27 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by M. Petkov (6 goals), Daniel Genov (3 goals), R. Tsonev (3 goals), with creative support from R. Tsonev (3 assists), José Gallegos (3 assists), V. Naydenov (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Spartak Varna Analysis

Spartak Varna approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 27 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats with a 26:52 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Berna (6 goals), G. Stojanovski (4 goals), Xande (4 goals), with creative support from G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Xande (2 assists), Angel Granchov (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Botev Vratsa won 4 times, Spartak Varna won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:7 from Botev Vratsa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1 / Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botev Vratsa wins 4, draws 3, Spartak Varna wins 2

Lineups

Botev Vratsa
Formation
Spartak Varna
M. Orlinov
M. Orlinov
T. Ouorou
T. Ouorou
M. Stoev
M. Stoev
I. Goranov
I. Goranov
S. Sanyang
S. Sanyang
I. Yurukov
I. Yurukov
A. Stoyanov
A. Stoyanov
M. Petkov
🎯
M. Petkov
D. Genov
D. Genov
J. Gallegos
J. Gallegos
M. Ntelo
M. Ntelo
P. Ribeiro
P. Ribeiro
M. Georgiev
M. Georgiev
A. Granchov
A. Granchov
D. Krastev
D. Krastev
D. Lozev
D. Lozev
E. John
E. John
D. Yordanov
D. Yordanov
Jota Lopes
Jota Lopes
Tailson
Tailson
Xande
Xande
G. Stojanovski
G. Stojanovski
Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
94
M. Orlinov
🟨 70'
G
6
T. Ouorou
⚽ 13'
D
36
M. Stoev
D
44
I. Goranov
D
3
S. Sanyang
D
12
I. Yurukov
↓ 89'
M
8
A. Stoyanov
M
79
M. Petkov
🎯 9' ↓ 73'
F
9
D. Genov
↓ 62'
M
17
J. Gallegos
↓ 73' 🟨 51'
M
20
M. Ntelo
⚽ 9' ↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Vasilev
G
19
Y. Bornosuzov
↑ 73'
F
24
M. Smolenski
↑ 73'
M
55
D. Jovicic
D
81
K. Hadji
↑ 62'
M
88
L. Boyanov
↑ 89'
D
91
D. Polonskyi
M
97
V. Naydenov
↑ 73'
M
Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
P. Ribeiro
G
50
M. Georgiev
↓ 37'
44
A. Granchov
D
5
D. Krastev
D
20
D. Lozev
↓ 78'
D
6
E. John
M
88
D. Yordanov
🟨 11'
M
10
Jota Lopes
↓ 71'
M
29
Tailson
↓ 71' 🟨 45'
M
21
Xande
90
G. Stojanovski
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
23
M. Kovalyov
G
3
M. Juric-Petrasilo
7
P. Prindzhev
↑ 78'
F
8
D. Ivanov
↑ 71'
M
9
T. Chunchukov
⚽ 70' ↑ 37' 🟨 70'
13
Tales
F
17
T. Marinov
↑ 71'
M
18
S. Moukachar
↑ 71'
M
39
K. Kurbanov
D
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
22.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
14.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
05.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
10.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
06.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
16.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Ararat-Armenia
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
Last matches: Spartak Varna
22.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
10.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
24.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
1
2
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
19.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
5
L
14.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
03.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
1
0
W
27.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
07.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
FK Minyor Pernik
2
1
W
28.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
H2H: Botev Vratsa vs Spartak Varna
02.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
04.12.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
0
W
01.08.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
01.04.25
H2H
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
1
0
L
13.09.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
13.05.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
25.02.23
H2H
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
2
1
L
15.08.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
22.06.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
3
0
W
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
22.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
16.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
0
0
D
01.02.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Ararat-Armenia
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Marek
2
2
D
09.12.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
04.12.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
0
W
24.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
0
1
L
03.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
25.10.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
05.10.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
22.09.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
29.08.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
1
0
W
H2H at home: Botev Vratsa
02.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
04.12.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
0
W
13.09.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
13.05.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
15.08.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
22.06.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
3
0
W
Last matches: Spartak Varna
18.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
16.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
04.04.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
5
L
06.03.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
0
4
L
27.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Arda Kardzhali
0
1
L
21.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
1
D
07.02.26
Fir
Spartak Varna
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Botev Plovdiv
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Dunav Ruse
3
1
W
15.01.26
Fri
Spartak Varna
Fratria
1
0
W
04.12.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Botev Vratsa
0
2
L
21.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Beroe
0
0
D
01.11.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Dobrudzha
0
2
L
18.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Ludogorets
1
1
D
04.10.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA 1948
1
1
D
19.09.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Montana
2
1
W
22.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
0
D
10.08.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
Levski Sofia
1
2
L
26.07.25
Fir
Spartak Varna
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
H2H away: Spartak Varna
02.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
L
04.12.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
0
L
13.09.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
13.05.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
1
D
15.08.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
1
0
L
22.06.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
3
0
L

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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