BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Hristo Botev Stadium
Referee: M. Pavlov
Botev Vratsa
Match Timeline
Septemvri Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
Sainey Sanyang
Botev Vratsa
🟨
45+2'
Bertrand Fourrier
Septemvri Sofia
49'
E. Ribeiro · Assist: Y. Baurenski
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
61'
D. Genov ↔ I. Yurukov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
61'
Y. Bornosuzov ↔ M. Ntelo
Botev Vratsa
🟨
64'
Kubrat Onashchi
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
69'
Y. Baurenski ↔ P. Georgiev
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
74'
R. Tsonev ↔ I. Goranov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
74'
J. Gallegos ↔ V. Naydenov
Botev Vratsa
🟨
75'
Preslav Georgiev
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
79'
E. Ribeiro ↔ S. Stojanovic
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
81'
A. Abou ↔ G. Ivanov
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
81'
M. Stamatov ↔ N. Fontaine
Septemvri Sofia
🔄
83'
M. Petkov ↔ D. Polonskyi
Botev Vratsa
85'
M. Ntelo · Assist: V. Naydenov
Botev Vratsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botev Vratsa Win 80.3%
Draw 0%
Septemvri Sofia Win 19.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Vratsa1.28
Septemvri Sofia0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WWDLW
29 GF / 30 GA
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia
WLDWL
28 GF / 62 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
12
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
18
2.07
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 33 matches
Septemvri Sofia Septemvri Sofia 33 matches
Botev Vratsa Statistic Septemvri Sofia
10 Wins 7
13 Draws 7
10 Losses 19
29 Goals For 28
30 Goals Against 62
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
12 BTTS Yes 16
18 Over 1.5 25
10 Over 2.5 18
5 Over 3.5 9
14 Clean Sheets 7
15 Failed To Score 13
2.07 Shots On Goal 2.4
6.1 Total Shots 6.5
2.5 Corners 2.57
31.1% Ball Possession 34.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Septemvri Sofia. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

So far, Botev Vratsa have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 43 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 13 draws, and 10 losses, while the 29:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Petkov (6 goals), M. Ntelo (4 goals), Daniel Genov (3 goals), with creative support from R. Tsonev (3 assists), José Gallegos (3 assists), V. Naydenov (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Septemvri Sofia Analysis

Septemvri Sofia are currently 13 in the standings with 28 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses, while the 27:60 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on B. Fourrier (12 goals), N. Fontaine (5 goals), J. Pineda (2 goals), with creative support from Galin Ivanov (4 assists), Robin Schouten (4 assists), J. Pineda (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botev Vratsa won 6 times, Septemvri Sofia won 1 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:18 from Botev Vratsa's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1 / Septemvri Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botev Vratsa wins 6, draws 8, Septemvri Sofia wins 1

Lineups

Botev Vratsa
Formation
Septemvri Sofia
L. Vasilev
L. Vasilev
T. Ouorou
T. Ouorou
D. Jovicic
D. Jovicic
L. Boyanov
L. Boyanov
S. Sanyang
S. Sanyang
A. Stoyanov
A. Stoyanov
R. Tsonev
R. Tsonev
D. Genov
D. Genov
J. Gallegos
J. Gallegos
M. Petkov
M. Petkov
Y. Bornosuzov
Y. Bornosuzov
Y. Georgiev
Y. Georgiev
R. Schouten
R. Schouten
D. Ivkic
D. Ivkic
S. Wade
S. Wade
K. Onasci
K. Onasci
Y. Baurenski
🎯
Y. Baurenski
A. Abou
A. Abou
M. Stamatov
M. Stamatov
S. Stoichkov
S. Stoichkov
B. Fourrier
B. Fourrier
E. Ribeiro
E. Ribeiro
Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Vasilev
G
6
T. Ouorou
D
55
D. Jovicic
D
88
L. Boyanov
D
3
S. Sanyang
🟨 36'
D
8
A. Stoyanov
M
21
R. Tsonev
↓ 74'
M
9
D. Genov
↓ 61'
M
17
J. Gallegos
↓ 74'
M
79
M. Petkov
↓ 83'
F
19
Y. Bornosuzov
↓ 61'
F
Substitutes
94
M. Orlinov
G
12
I. Yurukov
↑ 61'
M
20
M. Ntelo
⚽ 85' ↑ 61'
F
22
M. Stoychev
D
36
M. Stoev
D
44
I. Goranov
↑ 74'
D
81
K. Hadji
M
91
D. Polonskyi
↑ 83'
M
97
V. Naydenov
🎯 85' ↑ 74'
M
Septemvri Sofia 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
21
Y. Georgiev
G
23
R. Schouten
D
15
D. Ivkic
D
3
S. Wade
D
13
K. Onasci
🟨 64'
D
5
Y. Baurenski
🎯 49' ↓ 69'
M
18
A. Abou
↓ 81'
M
30
M. Stamatov
↓ 81'
D
28
S. Stoichkov
M
9
B. Fourrier
🟨 45+2'
F
7
E. Ribeiro
⚽ 49' ↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Krastev
G
20
B. Tomovski
D
33
G. Ivanov
↑ 81'
M
8
K. Kolev
M
17
N. Fontaine
↑ 81'
M
22
P. Georgiev
↑ 69' 🟨 75'
M
10
S. Stojanovic
↑ 79'
M
24
F. Mattoir
F
29
F. Herard
F
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
25.07.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
19.07.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Beitar Jerusalem
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Pleven
2
1
W
27.06.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Levski Sofia
1
1
D
22.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
18.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
14.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
05.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
10.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
06.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
18.07.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
07.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Hebar 1918
2
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
3
L
01.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Vihren
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Marek
3
0
W
28.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Yantra 2019
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
1
1
D
18.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
1
0
W
06.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
01.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
1
1
D
27.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
16.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
10.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
06.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
21.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
4
L
17.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
07.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
0
3
L
H2H: Botev Vratsa vs Septemvri Sofia
10.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
06.04.26
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
02.05.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
W
08.02.25
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
19.08.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
01.11.23
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
5
5
D
05.06.23
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
3
1
L
14.11.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
25.07.22
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
28.05.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
02.12.18
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
13.08.18
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
2
W
15.03.17
H2H
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
1
D
17.09.16
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
19.07.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Beitar Jerusalem
2
2
D
01.07.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Pleven
2
1
W
22.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
14.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
02.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
16.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
0
0
D
01.02.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Ararat-Armenia
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Marek
2
2
D
09.12.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
04.12.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
0
W
24.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
0
1
L
03.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
H2H at home: Botev Vratsa
10.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
02.05.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
W
19.08.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
W
14.11.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
28.05.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
W
02.12.18
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
W
17.09.16
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
Last matches: Septemvri Sofia
10.07.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
1
L
18.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
1
0
W
06.05.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
1
2
L
27.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.04.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Slavia Sofia
2
1
W
17.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Sofia
0
3
L
13.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Plovdiv
0
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Dobrudzha
0
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
Septemvri Sofia
Wisla Krakow
1
0
W
07.12.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Beroe
0
0
D
30.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Levski Sofia
0
7
L
07.11.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Spartak Varna
4
1
W
25.10.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Botev Vratsa
1
2
L
20.10.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
27.09.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Cherno More Varna
1
1
D
13.09.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA Sofia
1
3
L
23.08.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Montana
0
2
L
01.08.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
19.07.25
Fir
Septemvri Sofia
Ludogorets
0
5
L
H2H away: Septemvri Sofia
10.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
L
02.05.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
L
19.08.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
2
0
L
14.11.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
28.05.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
0
L
02.12.18
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
4
1
L
17.09.16
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
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