BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
12.09.2026 15:00
Hristo Botev Stadium

Botev Vratsa vs Levski Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.7%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 8.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botev Vratsa Win 30.5%
Draw 12.9%
Levski Sofia Win 56.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Vratsa0.89
Levski Sofia1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WWDLW
17 GF / 25 GA
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WLDWL
53 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
2.12
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
1.23

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 16 matches
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 25 matches
Botev Vratsa Statistic Levski Sofia
4 Wins 17
7 Draws 6
5 Losses 2
17 Goals For 53
25 Goals Against 16
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 2.12
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
10 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 14
4 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 1.23
0 Total Shots 4.46
0 Corners 1.46
0% Ball Possession 20.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Levski Sofia's more proactive style and Botev Vratsa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Levski Sofia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Levski Sofia. Levski Sofia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 21 points while Botev Vratsa sit 10 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa sit 10 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats with a 7:17 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Levski Sofia Analysis

Levski Sofia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 21 points after 7 outings. The return of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 20:4, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botev Vratsa won 1 times, Levski Sofia won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:24 from Botev Vratsa's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.1%)
Predicted formations: Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1 / Levski Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botev Vratsa wins 1, draws 4, Levski Sofia wins 10

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 21:4 17 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 14:6 8 20
W D D W W
3 7 5 2 0 17:5 12 17
D W W W W
4 8 5 1 2 15:8 7 16
L W L W W
5 8 5 1 2 13:7 6 16
L W W W W
6 8 2 4 2 8:6 2 10
W L D D W
7 8 3 1 4 11:14 -3 10
W L L L W
8 8 2 3 3 10:14 -4 9
D D L L L
9 8 2 2 4 7:13 -6 8
L D W W L
10 8 2 1 5 7:17 -10 7
W L W L L
11 8 2 0 6 4:10 -6 6
W L L L L
12 8 1 1 6 8:17 -9 4
L L W L L
13 8 1 1 6 7:15 -8 4
L D L W L
14 7 0 3 4 8:14 -6 3
L D L L D
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