BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Hristo Botev Stadium
Referee: D. Draganov
Botev Vratsa
Match Timeline
Beroe
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
25'
M. Ntelo · Assist: M. Petkov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
46'
S. Gavrilov ↔ Y. Valbuena
Beroe
48'
M. Petkov
Botev Vratsa
🟨
52'
Facundo Constantini
Beroe
🟨
63'
Juanca Pineda
Beroe
🔄
65'
F. Alarcon ↔ W. Dual
Beroe
🔄
74'
M. Smolenski ↔ D. Genov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
82'
S. Brunelli ↔ E. Kuhinja
Beroe
🔄
83'
D. Valverde ↔ Johny
Beroe
🟨
84'
Antoan Stoyanov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
84'
M. Ntelo ↔ K. Hadji
Botev Vratsa
🟨
87'
João Sérgio Milheirão
Beroe
🟨
90+4'
Marco Borgnino
Beroe
🔄
90+1'
A. Stoyanov ↔ E. M. Petrov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
90+2'
M. Petkov ↔ Y. Bornosuzov
Botev Vratsa
🔄
90+2'
I. Yurukov ↔ D. Jovicic
Botev Vratsa
90'
K. Hadji
Botev Vratsa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botev Vratsa Win 52.4%
Draw 9.8%
Beroe Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Vratsa1.1
Beroe0.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
WWDLW
33 GF / 32 GA
Beroe Beroe
WLDWL
28 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
0.92
Average Goals Scored
0.78
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
14
BTTS Yes
15
11
Over 2.5
17
1.97
Shots on Goal
2.35

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 36 matches
Beroe Beroe 36 matches
Botev Vratsa Statistic Beroe
12 Wins 7
14 Draws 13
10 Losses 16
33 Goals For 28
32 Goals Against 49
0.92 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
14 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 21
11 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 8
15 Clean Sheets 13
15 Failed To Score 16
1.97 Shots On Goal 2.35
5.7 Total Shots 6.32
2.36 Corners 2.56
30% Ball Possession 29.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Botev Vratsa's more proactive style and Beroe's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botev Vratsa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Beroe in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Beroe having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Beroe. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Botev Vratsa Analysis

Botev Vratsa sit 9 with 50 points after 36 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 14 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 33:32 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Daniel Genov (6 goals), M. Petkov (6 goals), M. Ntelo (5 goals), with creative support from José Gallegos (4 assists), V. Naydenov (4 assists), R. Tsonev (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Beroe Analysis

So far, Beroe have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 34 points from 36 matches. The record of 7 wins, 13 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 28:49 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Leandro Godoy (13 goals), Alberto Salido (10 goals), Ismael Ferrer (4 goals), with creative support from Alberto Salido (4 assists), Carlos Algarra López (2 assists), Nene (2 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botev Vratsa won 6 times, Beroe won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:16 from Botev Vratsa's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: Botev Vratsa 4-2-3-1 / Beroe 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Botev Vratsa wins 6, draws 3, Beroe wins 6
Stats
Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa
Beroe Beroe
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
6
0 Corner Kicks 9
13 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 0
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Goal 6
5 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 11
6 Goalkeeper Saves 1
315 Total passes 507
254 Passes accurate 418
1.14 expected_goals 1.78
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botev Vratsa
Formation
Beroe
M. Orlinov
M. Orlinov
M. Stoev
M. Stoev
I. Goranov
I. Goranov
L. Boyanov
L. Boyanov
A. Stoyanov
A. Stoyanov
I. Yurukov
I. Yurukov
R. Tsonev
R. Tsonev
S. Sanyang
S. Sanyang
M. Ntelo
M. Ntelo
M. Smolenski
M. Smolenski
M. Petkov
🎯
M. Petkov
Arthur
Arthur
F. Costantini
F. Costantini
J. Salomoni
J. Salomoni
S. Brunelli
S. Brunelli
D. Valverde
D. Valverde
S. Gavrilov
S. Gavrilov
M. Borgnino
M. Borgnino
T. Sonha
T. Sonha
I. Ferrer
I. Ferrer
F. Alarcon
F. Alarcon
J. Pineda
J. Pineda
Botev Vratsa 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
94
M. Orlinov
G
36
M. Stoev
D
44
I. Goranov
D
88
L. Boyanov
D
8
A. Stoyanov
↓ 90+1' 🟨 84'
M
12
I. Yurukov
↓ 90+2'
M
21
R. Tsonev
M
3
S. Sanyang
M
20
M. Ntelo
⚽ 25' ↓ 84'
M
24
M. Smolenski
↓ 74'
M
79
M. Petkov
⚽ 48' 🎯 25' ↓ 90+2'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Vasilev
G
2
E. M. Petrov
↑ 90+1'
M
4
V. Pavlov
D
5
A. Zarkov
9
D. Genov
↑ 74'
F
19
Y. Bornosuzov
↑ 90+2'
M
55
D. Jovicic
↑ 90+2'
M
81
K. Hadji
⚽ 90' ↑ 84'
M
Beroe 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
Arthur
G
4
F. Costantini
🟨 52'
D
3
J. Salomoni
D
30
S. Brunelli
↓ 82'
D
12
D. Valverde
↓ 83'
M
24
S. Gavrilov
↓ 46'
M
8
M. Borgnino
🟨 90+4'
M
23
T. Sonha
M
11
I. Ferrer
F
15
F. Alarcon
↓ 65'
F
7
J. Pineda
🟨 63'
F
Substitutes
99
V. Quintero
G
6
I. Mitev
D
9
Y. Valbuena
↑ 46'
F
14
V. Valkov
D
17
W. Dual
↑ 65'
M
18
S. Rusenov
M
19
E. Kuhinja
↑ 82'
D
25
Johny
↑ 83' 🟨 87'
D
32
F. Varela
M
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
18.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
2
1
W
14.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
05.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
26.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
1
1
D
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
10.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
1
L
06.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
0
0
D
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
14.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
3
1
W
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
0
0
D
16.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
01.02.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Ararat-Armenia
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
Last matches: Beroe
18.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
0
1
L
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
05.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
2
2
D
02.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
3
0
W
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
13.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
0
D
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
04.04.26
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
0
3
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
15.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
0
1
L
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
03.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
3
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
22.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
31.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Spartak Pleven
2
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Sevlievo
0
1
L
21.01.26
Fri
Beroe
Yantra 2019
1
1
D
H2H: Botev Vratsa vs Beroe
22.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
12.09.25
H2H
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
2
0
L
25.02.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
04.12.24
H2H
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
5
1
L
05.08.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
2
L
25.05.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
W
15.03.24
H2H
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
2
2
D
22.09.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
W
22.05.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
2
0
W
31.10.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
2
0
W
11.07.22
H2H
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
2
1
L
04.12.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
W
23.08.21
H2H
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
1
0
L
06.07.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
2
L
Last matches: Botev Vratsa
14.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
1
0
W
10.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
14.04.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Sofia
3
2
W
22.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1
2
L
07.03.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Arda Kardzhali
1
0
W
28.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
16.02.26
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Dobrudzha
0
0
D
01.02.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Ararat-Armenia
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
25.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Vejle
1
1
D
17.01.26
Fri
Botev Vratsa
Marek
2
2
D
09.12.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Montana
0
0
D
04.12.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Spartak Varna
2
0
W
24.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Slavia Sofia
0
1
L
03.11.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA 1948
0
0
D
25.10.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Septemvri Sofia
2
1
W
05.10.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Botev Plovdiv
1
2
L
22.09.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
CSKA Sofia
1
1
D
29.08.25
Fir
Botev Vratsa
Cherno More Varna
1
0
W
H2H at home: Botev Vratsa
22.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
W
28.02.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
25.02.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
05.08.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
2
L
25.05.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
W
22.09.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
W
22.05.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
2
0
W
31.10.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
2
0
W
04.12.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
W
06.07.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
2
L
Last matches: Beroe
14.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
1
0
W
24.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
2
1
W
09.04.26
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Sofia
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Montana
1
0
W
08.03.26
Fir
Beroe
Dobrudzha
0
1
L
28.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
15.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Ludogorets
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fir
Beroe
Botev Plovdiv
0
0
D
29.11.25
Fir
Beroe
CSKA 1948
1
2
L
08.11.25
Fir
Beroe
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
0
1
L
26.10.25
Fir
Beroe
CSKA Sofia
1
5
L
04.10.25
Fir
Beroe
Levski Sofia
1
3
L
21.09.25
Fir
Beroe
Slavia Sofia
0
0
D
31.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Arda Kardzhali
2
2
D
11.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Septemvri Sofia
3
2
W
04.08.25
Fir
Beroe
Cherno More Varna
0
4
L
21.07.25
Fir
Beroe
Spartak Varna
0
0
D
H2H away: Beroe
22.05.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
3
0
L
28.02.26
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
25.02.25
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
0
D
05.08.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
2
W
25.05.24
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
L
22.09.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
L
22.05.23
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
2
0
L
31.10.22
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
2
0
L
04.12.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
1
0
L
06.07.21
H2H
Botev Vratsa
Beroe
0
2
W

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15
Beroe Away
30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
efbet League (Relegation Group)