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BULGARIA › FIRST LEAGUE
13.09.2026 17:30
Stadion Hristo Botev
Referee: N. Popov
Botev Plovdiv
Match Timeline
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
A. Chandarov · Assist: C. Meotti
Botev Plovdiv
⚽
44'
M. Rodrigues · Assist: S. Kalu
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
46'
C. Longville ↔ J. Burban
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
46'
S. Idriz ↔ Y. Iliev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
51'
T. Pavlov ↔ D. Ali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
53'
Parvizdzhon Umarbaev
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
55'
Samuil Tsonov
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
55'
Efe Ali
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🟨
61'
Bryan-Anthony Chibuike Hein
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
63'
C. Meotti ↔ A. Salido Tajero
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
63'
S. Tsonov ↔ Mascote
Botev Plovdiv
🟨
69'
Asen Chandarov
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
70'
E. Ali ↔ A. Fase
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
77'
R. Leijten ↔ A. Aleksandrov
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
🔄
81'
M. Rodrigues ↔ G. Milanov
Botev Plovdiv
🔄
90+2'
S. Kalu ↔ W. Chimezie
Botev Plovdiv

Botev Plovdiv vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Botev Plovdiv Win 77.7%
Draw 5.5%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Win 16.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botev Plovdiv1.52
Lokomotiv Plovdiv0.83
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv
WWDLW
40 GF / 18 GA
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv
WLDWL
11 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
0.79
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
8
BTTS Yes
3
11
Over 2.5
2
4.5
Shots on Goal
2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 20 matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 14 matches
Botev Plovdiv Statistic Lokomotiv Plovdiv
14 Wins 6
1 Draws 2
5 Losses 6
40 Goals For 11
18 Goals Against 11
2 Avg Goals Scored 0.79
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
8 BTTS Yes 3
15 Over 1.5 7
11 Over 2.5 2
9 Over 3.5 0
10 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 6
4.5 Shots On Goal 2.25
9.63 Total Shots 6.13
2.5 Corners 3.25
35.4% Ball Possession 27%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Lokomotiv Plovdiv. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Botev Plovdiv arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 10 points compared to Lokomotiv Plovdiv in 14 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Botev Plovdiv Analysis

Botev Plovdiv approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 10 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:14 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Lokomotiv Plovdiv Analysis

With 3 points from 7 games and a place of 14, Lokomotiv Plovdiv still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 3:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botev Plovdiv won 4 times, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:19 from Botev Plovdiv's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1 / Lokomotiv Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botev Plovdiv wins 4, draws 6, Lokomotiv Plovdiv wins 5

Standings

A PFG
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 23:4 19 28
W D W W W
2 11 8 3 0 27:9 18 27
W D W W D
3 10 8 2 0 21:7 14 26
W W W D D
4 11 7 1 3 21:13 8 22
L W W L W
5 11 6 1 4 17:14 3 19
W W W W L
6 11 5 2 4 15:17 -2 17
L D L L W
7 11 3 4 4 11:15 -4 13
W L D D D
8 11 2 5 4 9:9 0 11
L L D W L
9 11 2 3 6 9:20 -11 9
L D D W L
10 11 2 2 7 13:21 -8 8
W D L L D
11 11 2 2 7 6:14 -8 8
D D L W L
12 11 1 5 5 12:19 -7 8
D W L D L
13 11 2 2 7 10:21 -11 8
L L L L D
14 11 1 3 7 11:22 -11 6
L D D L L
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