BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Santa Cruz
Referee: R. Abatti
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Nautico Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
42'
Everton Morelli · Assist: Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Wallace ↔ Guilherme Mariano
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Junior Todinho ↔ Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife
🔄
46'
Matheus Ribeiro ↔ Reginaldo
Nautico Recife
🟨
50'
Guilherme Mariano
Botafogo SP
58'
Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife
🔄
64'
Luizao ↔ Guilherme Queiroz
Botafogo SP
🔄
64'
Matheus Sales ↔ Rafael Gava
Botafogo SP
🟨
66'
Luiz Felipe
Nautico Recife
🔄
74'
Kelvin ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🔄
79'
Wenderson ↔ Samuel Felix
Nautico Recife
🔄
79'
Derek ↔ Felipe Saraiva
Nautico Recife
🔄
80'
Ze Hugo ↔ Marcio Maranhao
Botafogo SP
🔄
87'
Dodo ↔ Ramon
Nautico Recife
🟨
88'
Márcio Carlos Maranhão
Botafogo SP
🟨
90+2'
Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 36.5%
Draw 22.6%
Nautico Recife Win 40.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP1.3
Nautico Recife0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
9 GF / 6 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
4
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
2
2.67
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 6 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 6 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Nautico Recife
2 Wins 3
2 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
9 Goals For 4
6 Goals Against 6
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1
4 BTTS Yes 1
5 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 3
2.67 Shots On Goal 2.67
10.17 Total Shots 13.5
5.5 Corners 6.17
38.3% Ball Possession 58.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Nautico Recife's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nautico Recife. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP are currently 10 in the standings with 8 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:6 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Everton Morelli (4 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Luizão (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (2 assists), Rafael Gava (2 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Nautico Recife are currently 8 in the standings with 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 4:6 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Vinícius (2 goals), Igor Fernandes (1 goals), Victor Andrade (1 goals), with creative support from Yuri (2 assists), Dodo (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 0 times, Nautico Recife won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:5 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.4%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 0, draws 2, Nautico Recife wins 1
Stats
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
11 Corner Kicks 2
18 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 1
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 3
2 Shots off Goal 5
1 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 7
2 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
277 Total passes 321
204 Passes accurate 233
1.30 expected_goals 0.98
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botafogo SP
Formation
Nautico Recife
Jordan
Jordan
Gabriel Inocencio
Gabriel Inocencio
Vilar
Vilar
Wallace
Wallace
Patrick Brey
🎯
Patrick Brey
Matheus Sales
Matheus Sales
Leandro Maciel
Leandro Maciel
Ze Hugo
Ze Hugo
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Kelvin
Kelvin
Luizao
Luizao
Muriel Becker
Muriel Becker
Matheus Ribeiro
Matheus Ribeiro
Wanderson
Wanderson
Betao
Betao
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Wenderson
Wenderson
Junior Todinho
Junior Todinho
Dodo
Dodo
Vinicius
Vinicius
Derek
Derek
Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
Jordan
G
22
Gabriel Inocencio
4
Vilar
D
13
Wallace
↓ 46'
D
6
Patrick Brey
🎯 42'
D
16
Matheus Sales
↓ 64'
M
5
Leandro Maciel
M
30
Ze Hugo
↓ 80'
M
8
Everton Morelli
⚽ 42'
M
7
Kelvin
↓ 74'
M
21
Luizao
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
25
Brenno Klippel
G
17
Guilherme Queiroz
↑ 64'
F
11
Jefferson Nem
↑ 74'
F
28
Marco Antonio
M
20
Marquinho
M
19
Marcio Maranhao
↑ 80' 🟨 88'
F
10
Rafael Gava
↑ 64'
M
26
Felipe Vieira
D
23
Wesley Santos
F
29
Thiago Moraes
M
15
Guilherme Mariano
↑ 46' 🟨 50'
D
31
Pedro Henrique
D
Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel Becker
G
14
Matheus Ribeiro
↓ 46'
D
34
Wanderson
D
3
Betao
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
27
Luiz Felipe
🟨 66'
M
8
Wenderson
↓ 79'
M
29
Junior Todinho
↓ 46'
M
10
Dodo
↓ 87'
M
7
Vinicius
M
72
Derek
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
55
G. Guruceaga
G
5
Auremir
M
11
Victor Andrade
⚽ 58' ↑ 46' 🟨 90+2'
F
93
Reginaldo
↑ 46'
D
41
Samuel Felix
↑ 79'
M
6
Yuri
D
98
Felipe Saraiva
↑ 79'
F
40
Ramon
↑ 87'
M
22
Vitinho
M
66
Leo Jance
D
31
Rosa
Last matches: Botafogo SP
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
29.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
09.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
0
D
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H: Botafogo SP vs Nautico Recife
02.05.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
13.12.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
13.09.20
H2H
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
3
1
L
Last matches: Botafogo SP
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo SP
02.05.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
13.12.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
Last matches: Nautico Recife
26.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
H2H away: Nautico Recife
02.05.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
13.12.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 7 3 23:14 9 40
L D W W W
2 21 11 5 5 23:12 11 38
W W L W W
3 21 10 5 6 24:20 4 35
D W L W L
4 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 21 9 6 6 32:20 12 33
L W L L L
7 21 9 5 7 22:26 -4 32
W L D W D
8 21 8 8 5 24:21 3 32
D W W D W
9 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
10 21 7 10 4 21:18 3 31
W D W D D
11 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
12 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 21 7 5 9 25:25 0 26
D D W L L
15 21 5 11 5 16:16 0 26
D D L L D
16 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
17 21 5 5 11 27:32 -5 20
L L L D D
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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