BRAZIL SERIE B
14.09.2026 22:30
Estadio Santa Cruz
Referee: A. Gomes Stefano
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Goias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
Hygor
Botafogo SP
27'
Jean Carlos · Assist: Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino
Goias
🟨
42'
Lucas Rodrigues
Goias
🔄
45'
Matheus Sales ↔ José Hugo Sousa dos Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
45'
Arthur Caíke ↔ Thiago Henrique Moraes
Botafogo SP
50'
Tadeu Antonio Ferreira
Goias
56'
Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino · Assist: Jean Carlos
Goias
🔄
62'
Morelli ↔ Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
62'
Kelvin Giacobe·Alves dos Santos ↔ Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi
Botafogo SP
🟨
72'
Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🟨
72'
Filipe Machado
Goias
🟨
73'
Gabriel de Souza Inocencio
Botafogo SP
🔄
74'
Pedro Junqueira de Oliveira ↔ Danilo Cunha
Goias
🔄
79'
Gabriel de Souza Inocencio ↔ Jonathan
Botafogo SP
82'
Patrick Brey
Botafogo SP
🔄
82'
Carlos Eduardo de Sousa Leopoldino ↔ Carlos Eduardo Amaral Pereira de Castro
Goias
🔄
82'
João Paulo Ferreira Lourenço ↔ Adilson dos Anjos Oliveira
Goias
🟨
83'
Adilson dos Anjos Oliveira
Goias
🔄
87'
Filipe Machado ↔ Guilherme Baldoria de Camargo
Goias
🔄
87'
Jean Carlos ↔ Geirton Marques Aires
Goias
🟨
89'
Marco Antonio de Freitas Batistussi
Botafogo SP
🟨
90'
Jonathan
Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP vs Goias Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.6%
Odds 2.41
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.99
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.6%
2.41
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
34.5%
2.99
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 59.6%
Draw 5.1%
Goias Win 35.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP1.15
Goias1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
30 GF / 32 GA
Goias Goias
WLDWL
25 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
0.93
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
14
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
8
3.44
Shots on Goal
3.48

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 27 matches
Goias Goias 27 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Goias
8 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
12 Losses 11
30 Goals For 25
32 Goals Against 33
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 0.93
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
14 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 10
3.44 Shots On Goal 3.48
11.85 Total Shots 11
5.96 Corners 4.3
46.4% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Goias. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Botafogo SP Analysis

With 31 points from 26 games and a place of 15, Botafogo SP still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 29:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Morelli (7 goals), Vilar (2 goals), Hygor (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (5 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Goias Analysis

Goias approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 36 points from 26 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 25:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Kadu (6 goals), Anselmo Ramon (5 goals), Gegê (2 goals), with creative support from Esli García (3 assists), Diego Caito (2 assists), Cadu (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 2 times, Goias won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1 / Goias 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 2, draws 0, Goias wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10
Goias Away
29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation