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BRAZIL › SERIE B
29.08.2026 21:30
Estádio Santa Cruz
Referee: Pierry Dias dos Santos, Brazil
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Cuiaba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Wesley
Cuiaba
🟨
45+5'
Felipe Vieira
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Wesley Dias ↔ David Miguel
Cuiaba
🟨
50'
Ericson da Silva
Botafogo SP
🔄
58'
Eliel ↔ Kauan Cristtyan
Cuiaba
🔄
60'
Felipe Vieira ↔ Jonathan
Botafogo SP
🔄
60'
Hygor ↔ Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
⚽
62'
Vitor Mendes
Cuiaba
🔄
73'
Matheus Sales ↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🔄
73'
Wesley Santos ↔ Kelvin
Botafogo SP
🔄
77'
Jean Dias ↔ Rodrigo Rodrigues
Cuiaba
⚽
80'
Everton Morelli · Assist: Kelvin
Botafogo SP
🔄
85'
Lorenzo ↔ Weverson
Cuiaba
🔄
85'
Fabio Gomes ↔ Vinicius Peixoto
Cuiaba
🔄
87'
Ze Hugo ↔ Jadson
Botafogo SP
⚽
87'
Kauan Cristtyan · Assist: Rodrigo Rodrigues
Cuiaba

Botafogo SP vs Cuiaba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 56.7%
Draw 11%
Cuiaba Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP1
Cuiaba0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
28 GF / 26 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
21 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
0.88
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
12
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
4
3.42
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 24 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 24 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Cuiaba
8 Wins 7
7 Draws 12
9 Losses 5
28 Goals For 21
26 Goals Against 18
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
12 BTTS Yes 9
14 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 4
4 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 10
3.42 Shots On Goal 4.29
11.75 Total Shots 13.04
6.13 Corners 5.25
45.6% Ball Possession 48.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cuiaba. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 31 points from 23 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 28:23, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Everton Morelli (6 goals), Vilar (2 goals), Hygor (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (5 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Cuiaba Analysis

Cuiaba sit 12 with 32 points after 23 league matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 20:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), Pepê (1 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (2 assists), João Basso (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 1 times, Cuiaba won 4 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:13 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 1, draws 6, Cuiaba wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 7 8 46:31 15 61
W D W W W
2 33 17 9 7 59:28 31 60
W W W D L
3 33 17 9 7 39:21 18 60
D W W W L
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 33 16 8 9 34:28 6 56
W L W W L
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 33 15 7 11 51:47 4 52
D W L W L
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 33 13 9 11 44:45 -1 48
L L L D W
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 33 12 10 11 46:36 10 46
D L W D W
13 33 10 13 10 40:39 1 43
D L L D D
14 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
15 33 11 9 13 35:40 -5 42
L W W D W
16 33 11 8 14 37:38 -1 41
W W L W D
17 33 10 6 17 33:43 -10 36
W W L L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 33 4 5 24 21:54 -33 17
L L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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