BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Santa Cruz
Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva, Brazil
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
CRB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
Dadá Belmonte · Assist: Lucas Lovat
CRB
🟨
45'
Everton Morelli
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao ↔ Kelvin
Botafogo SP
🔄
46'
Wallace ↔ Felipe Vieira
Botafogo SP
🟨
53'
Henri Santos
CRB
🟨
56'
Thiaguinho
CRB
🔄
67'
Thiaguinho ↔ Patrick De Lucca
CRB
🔄
67'
Danielzinho ↔ Douglas Baggio
CRB
🔄
70'
Jefferson Nem ↔ Arthur Caíke
Botafogo SP
🔄
70'
Everton Morelli ↔ Leandro Maciel
Botafogo SP
🔄
77'
Mikael ↔ Luiz Phellype
CRB
🔄
82'
Pedrinho ↔ Thiago Moraes
Botafogo SP
🔄
89'
Dadá Belmonte ↔ Bressan
CRB
🟨
90'
Douglas Baggio
CRB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.9%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 33.6%
Draw 25.1%
CRB Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP1.28
CRB1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
14 GF / 13 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
23 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.64
0.93
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
7
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
9
3.36
Shots on Goal
5.71

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 14 matches
CRB CRB 14 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic CRB
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 4
6 Losses 6
14 Goals For 23
13 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.64
0.93 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
7 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 12
5 Over 2.5 9
1 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 1
5 Failed To Score 3
3.36 Shots On Goal 5.71
11.43 Total Shots 16.36
6 Corners 4.57
46.3% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Botafogo SP's more proactive style and CRB's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward CRB. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CRB in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP sit 15 with 16 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats with a 14:13 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Hygor (4 goals), Leandro Maciel (1 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (4 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

CRB Analysis

CRB approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 16 points from 14 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 23:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Mikael (10 goals), Dadá Belmonte (3 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), with creative support from Dadá Belmonte (3 assists), Hereda (3 assists), Mikael (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 2 times, CRB won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:15 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.09 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.9%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1 / CRB 4-5-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 2, draws 2, CRB wins 7
Stats
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
CRB CRB
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
2
11 Corner Kicks 6
17 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 0
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 2
15 Shots insidebox 3
4 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 6
486 Total passes 338
419 Passes accurate 260
1.84 expected_goals 0.83
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botafogo SP
Formation
CRB
Victor Souza
Victor Souza
Ericson da Silva
Ericson da Silva
Wallace
Wallace
Vilar
Vilar
Pedrinho
Pedrinho
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
Rafael Gava
Rafael Gava
Patrick Brey
Patrick Brey
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Jefferson Nem
Jefferson Nem
Hygor
Hygor
Vitor Caetano
Vitor Caetano
Diogo Hereda
Diogo Hereda
Henri Santos
Henri Santos
Fábio Alemão
Fábio Alemão
Lucas Lovat
🎯
Lucas Lovat
Pedro Castro
Pedro Castro
Crystopher
Crystopher
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Thiaguinho
Thiaguinho
Mikael
Mikael
Dadá Belmonte
Dadá Belmonte
Botafogo SP 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
Victor Souza
G
3
Ericson da Silva
D
13
Wallace
↓ 46'
D
4
Vilar
D
31
Pedrinho
↓ 82'
M
20
Yuri Felipe Santos da Conceicao
↓ 46'
M
10
Rafael Gava
M
6
Patrick Brey
M
8
Everton Morelli
↓ 70' 🟨 45'
F
11
Jefferson Nem
↓ 70'
F
9
Hygor
F
Substitutes
26
Felipe Vieira
↑ 46'
D
7
Kelvin
↑ 46'
F
5
Leandro Maciel
↑ 70'
M
18
Arthur Caíke
↑ 70'
F
29
Thiago Moraes
↑ 82'
M
12
Jordan
G
15
Guilherme Mariano
D
33
Hebert Willian Badaró Oliveira
D
16
Matheus Sales
M
23
Wesley Pinheiro
F
17
Guilherme Queiróz
F
30
Zé Hugo
F
CRB 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Vitor Caetano
G
32
Diogo Hereda
D
44
Henri Santos
🟨 53'
D
27
Fábio Alemão
D
36
Lucas Lovat
🎯 17'
D
21
Pedro Castro
M
8
Crystopher
M
10
Danielzinho
↓ 67'
M
17
Thiaguinho
↓ 67' 🟨 56'
F
28
Mikael
↓ 77'
F
97
Dadá Belmonte
⚽ 17' ↓ 89'
F
Substitutes
45
Patrick De Lucca
↑ 67'
M
7
Douglas Baggio
↑ 67' 🟨 90'
F
19
Luiz Phellype
↑ 77'
F
22
Bressan
↑ 89'
D
23
Fábio Henrique
G
2
Kevin
D
77
Leo Campos
D
33
Lyncon
D
20
Vinicius Barata
F
11
Guilherme Pato
F
50
Luizão
M
Last matches: Botafogo SP
25.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
0
3
L
20.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
1
D
14.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
29.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
Last matches: CRB
25.08.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
1
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.08.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
0
0
D
11.08.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
H2H: Botafogo SP vs CRB
30.06.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
24.09.25
H2H
CRB
Botafogo SP
3
2
L
26.05.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
2
1
W
25.09.24
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
0
D
17.07.24
H2H
CRB
Botafogo SP
4
1
L
05.08.23
H2H
CRB
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
2
0
W
20.12.20
H2H
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
L
25.09.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
1
2
L
24.10.19
H2H
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
L
26.07.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo SP
20.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
1
1
D
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo SP
30.06.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
26.05.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
2
1
W
25.09.24
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
2
0
W
25.09.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
1
2
L
26.07.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
2
L
Last matches: CRB
25.08.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
1
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
0
W
11.08.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
1
0
W
22.07.26
Ser
CRB
Ceara
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
H2H away: CRB
30.06.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
W
26.05.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
2
1
L
25.09.24
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
0
D
29.04.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
2
0
L
25.09.20
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
1
2
W
26.07.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
2
W

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7
CRB Away
24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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