BRAZIL SERIE B
19.04.2026 19:00
Estadio Santa Cruz
Referee: A. Gomes
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Everton Morelli
Botafogo SP
VAR
20'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
23'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
25'
Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
26'
Wallace
Botafogo SP
🔄
34'
Igor Henrique ↔ Ariel
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
40'
Luizão
Botafogo SP
🟨
45+2'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Assis ↔ Guilherme
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Geovany Soares ↔ Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
57'
Gustavo Coutinho ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
59'
Luizao ↔ Thalles
Botafogo SP
🔄
59'
Kelvin ↔ Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
74'
Marrony ↔ Leo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
77'
Ze Hugo ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🔄
77'
Leandro Maciel ↔ Marquinho
Botafogo SP
🟨
79'
Ariel Gomes
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
90'
Wallace ↔ Darlan
Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51%
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 80%
Draw 10%
Atletico Goianiense Win 10%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP1.65
Atletico Goianiense1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
2.25
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 4 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 4 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Atletico Goianiense
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
7 Goals For 4
4 Goals Against 6
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
2 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
2.25 Shots On Goal 2.75
9.75 Total Shots 11.75
5.5 Corners 6.25
32.8% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Botafogo SP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 6 points compared to Atletico Goianiense in 16 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico Goianiense arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Goianiense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Goianiense in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Goianiense having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo SP Analysis

So far, Botafogo SP have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 6 points from 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Everton Morelli (3 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (2 assists), Rafael Gava (2 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

With 3 points from 4 games and a place of 16, Atletico Goianiense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Leo Jaco (2 goals), Guilherme (1 goals), Marrony (1 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Ewerthon (1 assists), Geovany Soares (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 2 times, Atletico Goianiense won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.88 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 2, draws 4, Atletico Goianiense wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 13 7 5 26:13 13 46
D W W D W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 25 5 7 13 29:36 -7 22
D L D L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
Promotion
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