BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Santa Cruz
Referee: A. Gomes
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Everton Morelli
Botafogo SP
VAR
20'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
23'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
25'
Guilherme Lopes
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
26'
Wallace
Botafogo SP
🔄
34'
Igor Henrique ↔ Ariel
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
40'
Luizão
Botafogo SP
🟨
45+2'
Gustavo Coutinho
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Assis ↔ Guilherme
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
46'
Geovany Soares ↔ Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
57'
Gustavo Coutinho ↔ Leo Jaco
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
59'
Luizao ↔ Thalles
Botafogo SP
🔄
59'
Kelvin ↔ Wesley Santos
Botafogo SP
🔄
74'
Marrony ↔ Leo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
77'
Ze Hugo ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🔄
77'
Leandro Maciel ↔ Marquinho
Botafogo SP
🟨
79'
Ariel Gomes
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
90'
Wallace ↔ Darlan
Botafogo SP

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 51%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
51%
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 80%
Draw 10%
Atletico Goianiense Win 10%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP1.65
Atletico Goianiense1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
7 GF / 4 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
4 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
3
2.25
Shots on Goal
2.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 4 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 4 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic Atletico Goianiense
2 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 3
7 Goals For 4
4 Goals Against 6
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
2 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 3
3 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 0
1 Failed To Score 1
2.25 Shots On Goal 2.75
9.75 Total Shots 11.75
5.5 Corners 6.25
32.8% Ball Possession 49.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Botafogo SP's more proactive style and Atletico Goianiense's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Botafogo SP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 6 points compared to Atletico Goianiense in 16 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico Goianiense arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Atletico Goianiense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo SP expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Goianiense in 4-3-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Goianiense having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo SP Analysis

So far, Botafogo SP have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 6 points from 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 7:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Everton Morelli (3 goals), Hygor (2 goals), Vilar (1 goals), with creative support from Patrick Brey (2 assists), Rafael Gava (2 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

With 3 points from 4 games and a place of 16, Atletico Goianiense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Leo Jaco (2 goals), Guilherme (1 goals), Marrony (1 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Ewerthon (1 assists), Geovany Soares (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 2 times, Atletico Goianiense won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-3-2-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 2, draws 4, Atletico Goianiense wins 1
Stats
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 5
14 Fouls 14
0 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
353 Total passes 282
287 Passes accurate 219
1.22 expected_goals 1.22
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Botafogo SP
Formation
Atletico Goianiense
Jordan
Jordan
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Vilar
Vilar
Wallace
Wallace
Patrick Brey
Patrick Brey
Matheus Sales
Matheus Sales
Leandro Maciel
Leandro Maciel
Ze Hugo
Ze Hugo
Everton Morelli
Everton Morelli
Kelvin
Kelvin
Luizao
Luizao
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor
Ewerthon
Ewerthon
Tito
Tito
O. J. Barreto Viera
O. J. Barreto Viera
Guilherme
Guilherme
Igor Henrique
Igor Henrique
Cristiano
Cristiano
Marrony
Marrony
Assis
Assis
Geovany Soares
Geovany Soares
Gustavo Coutinho
Gustavo Coutinho
Botafogo SP 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
12
Jordan
G
31
Pedro Henrique
D
4
Vilar
D
13
Wallace
↓ 90' 🟨 26'
D
6
Patrick Brey
D
16
Matheus Sales
M
5
Leandro Maciel
↓ 77'
M
30
Ze Hugo
↓ 77'
M
8
Everton Morelli
⚽ 4'
M
7
Kelvin
↓ 59'
M
21
Luizao
↓ 59' 🟨 40'
F
Substitutes
25
Brenno Klippel
G
11
Jefferson Nem
↑ 77'
F
28
Marco Antonio
M
20
Marquinho
↑ 77'
M
27
Darlan
↑ 90'
D
19
Marcio Maranhao
F
32
Thalles
↑ 59'
F
26
Felipe Vieira
D
23
Wesley Santos
↑ 59'
F
29
Thiago Moraes
M
33
Hebert
D
34
Erik Rebello
Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Paulo Vitor
G
2
Ewerthon
D
3
Tito
D
4
O. J. Barreto Viera
D
6
Guilherme
🟨 25'
D
8
Igor Henrique
↓ 34'
M
5
Cristiano
M
10
Marrony
↓ 74'
M
7
Assis
↓ 46'
M
11
Geovany Soares
↓ 46'
M
9
Gustavo Coutinho
⚽ 23' ↓ 57' 🟨 45+2'
F
Substitutes
12
Vladimir
G
17
Guilherme
↑ 46'
M
15
Leandro Vilela
M
19
Bruno Jose
↑ 46'
M
18
Leo Tocantins
↑ 74'
F
14
Nata
D
16
Ariel
↑ 34' 🟨 79'
M
20
Leo Jaco
↑ 57'
F
13
Felipe Guimaraes
D
Last matches: Botafogo SP
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Londrina
0
0
D
10.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
3
3
D
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ceara
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
0
1
L
01.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
0
0
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Goias
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
23.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
23.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
0
W
18.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Athletic Club
0
0
D
12.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Fortaleza EC
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
28.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
CRB
3
3
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Goias
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Juventude
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Londrina
2
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
H2H: Botafogo SP vs Atletico Goianiense
19.04.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
10.08.25
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
2
0
L
13.04.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
16.09.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
27.05.23
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
17.10.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
23.07.19
H2H
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
1
2
W
Last matches: Botafogo SP
24.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Juventude
4
2
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Avai
3
1
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
CRB
0
1
L
14.06.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
4
0
W
H2H at home: Botafogo SP
19.04.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
13.04.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
16.09.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
17.10.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
Last matches: Atletico Goianiense
23.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Cuiaba
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
0
3
L
19.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
1
1
D
08.06.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico Goianiense
Operario-PR
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico Goianiense
19.04.26
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
13.04.25
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
16.09.23
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
L
17.10.19
H2H
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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