Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo SP
20 matches
America Mineiro
20 matches
| Botafogo SP | Statistic | America Mineiro |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 2 |
| 6 | Draws | 5 |
| 8 | Losses | 13 |
| 24 | Goals For | 14 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.7 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.55 | Shots On Goal | 4.4 |
| 11.35 | Total Shots | 12.25 |
| 5.8 | Corners | 5.15 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Botafogo SP's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Botafogo SP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 15 with 24 points compared to America Mineiro in 19 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward America Mineiro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Botafogo SP sit 15 with 24 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 24:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Vilar (2 goals), Hygor (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (4 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 11 points from 20 games and a place of 19, America Mineiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 14:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Matías Segovia (2 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Gonzalo Mastriani (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 4 times, America Mineiro won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Botafogo SP
4
2
4
3
6
3
Lineups
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
Botafogo SP
Juventude
Botafogo SP
Londrina
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Avai
Botafogo SP
CRB
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Ponte Preta
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
Goias
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Cuiaba
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Goias
America Mineiro
Avai
America Mineiro
Ceara
America Mineiro
Londrina
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Juventude
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
CRB
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Juventude
Botafogo SP
Avai
Botafogo SP
CRB
Botafogo SP
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
Athletic Club
Botafogo SP
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
Atletico Goianiense
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Avai
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Juventude
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Goias
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 |
Botafogo SP
Home
|
24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Away
|
24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|