BRAZIL SERIE B
08.08.2026 21:30
Estadio Santa Cruz
Referee: K. Goncalves
Botafogo SP
Match Timeline
America Mineiro
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Felipe Amaral ↔ Jorge Jimenez
America Mineiro
55'
F. Elizari
America Mineiro
🔄
61'
Hygor ↔ Arthur Caike
Botafogo SP
🔄
61'
Wesley Santos ↔ Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🔄
61'
Ericson ↔ Hebert
Botafogo SP
61'
Hebert · Assist: Rafael Gava
Botafogo SP
🔄
66'
Guilherme Parede ↔ R. Pineiro
America Mineiro
🔄
67'
Gabriel Barros ↔ Gonzalo Mastriani
America Mineiro
70'
Filipe Dahora
Botafogo SP
🔄
73'
F. Elizari ↔ Eduardo Person
America Mineiro
🔄
76'
Rafael Gava ↔ Marco Antonio
Botafogo SP
🟨
78'
Jefferson Nem
Botafogo SP
🟨
79'
Rodrigo Piñeiro
America Mineiro
🔄
80'
Filipe Dahora ↔ Willian Bigode
America Mineiro
🔄
80'
Dalbert ↔ T. Ostchega
America Mineiro
🟨
85'
Eduardo Person
America Mineiro
🔄
90'
Matheus Sales ↔ Yuri Felipe
Botafogo SP
🔄
90'
Ze Hugo ↔ Pedro Henrique
Botafogo SP

Botafogo SP vs America Mineiro Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.4%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
75%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo SP Win 74.4%
Draw 5.6%
America Mineiro Win 20%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo SP1.34
America Mineiro0.84
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo SP Botafogo SP
WWDLW
24 GF / 21 GA
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WLDWL
14 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
10
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
10
3.55
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 20 matches
America Mineiro America Mineiro 20 matches
Botafogo SP Statistic America Mineiro
6 Wins 2
6 Draws 5
8 Losses 13
24 Goals For 14
21 Goals Against 31
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.55
10 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 14
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 8
3.55 Shots On Goal 4.4
11.35 Total Shots 12.25
5.8 Corners 5.15
45.1% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Botafogo SP's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Botafogo SP arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 15 with 24 points compared to America Mineiro in 19 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward America Mineiro. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Botafogo SP Analysis

Botafogo SP sit 15 with 24 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats with a 24:21 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Everton Morelli (6 goals), Vilar (2 goals), Hygor (2 goals), with creative support from Rafael Gava (4 assists), Patrick Brey (3 assists), Everton Morelli (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

America Mineiro Analysis

With 11 points from 20 games and a place of 19, America Mineiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 14:31 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Matías Segovia (2 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Gonzalo Mastriani (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP won 4 times, America Mineiro won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Botafogo SP's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)
Predicted formations: Botafogo SP 4-1-4-1 / America Mineiro 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Botafogo SP wins 4, draws 3, America Mineiro wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 28 13 8 7 28:25 3 47
L L W L L
6 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
7 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
8 28 12 8 8 39:36 3 44
D W W D D
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
11 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
12 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
13 28 9 13 6 27:22 5 40
D W L W D
14 28 10 8 10 35:33 2 38
D L W W D
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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