BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Referee: D. Correia
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Volta Redonda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
26'
Kayon
Botafogo PB
🟨
29'
Volta Redonda
Volta Redonda
42'
Yan Souto
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Juliano Fabro ↔ Luciano Naninho
Volta Redonda
🔄
46'
Alan ↔ Fabricio
Volta Redonda
🔄
60'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Bull
Botafogo PB
🔄
60'
Patric Calmon ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🟨
62'
Jhonata Varela
Botafogo PB
🔄
63'
Juninho Ramos ↔ Matheus Moresche
Volta Redonda
🔄
63'
Marquinhos ↔ Romarinho
Volta Redonda
🔄
68'
Kayon ↔ Anderson Chaves
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🔄
71'
Rafael Castro ↔ Rafael Furtado
Volta Redonda
🔄
84'
Diogo Mateus ↔ Octavio
Botafogo PB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.4%
Odds 1.95
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.46
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.4%
1.95
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.46
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.07
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 64.4%
Draw 6.7%
Volta Redonda Win 28.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.12
Volta Redonda1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
14 GF / 16 GA
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda
WLDWL
7 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
7
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 11 matches
Volta Redonda Volta Redonda 10 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Volta Redonda
4 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
6 Losses 4
14 Goals For 7
16 Goals Against 9
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
7 BTTS Yes 3
8 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 2
3 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Botafogo PB have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Volta Redonda having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Volta Redonda.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 9 points from 9 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 defeats with a 10:14 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Nene (5 goals), R. Bastos (2 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Volta Redonda Analysis

From their first 9 matches, Volta Redonda have collected 11 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, while the 6:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ygor Catatau (2 goals), Juliano Fabro (1 goals), O. Blanco (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 2 times, Volta Redonda won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:11 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 2, draws 2, Volta Redonda wins 5
Last matches: Botafogo PB
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
Last matches: Volta Redonda
14.06.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Confiança
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Ypiranga-RS
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Ferroviária
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Brusque
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Maranhão
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Caxias
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Guarani Campinas
0
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Paysandu
0
1
L
H2H: Botafogo PB vs Volta Redonda
28.09.24
H2H
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
2
1
L
08.09.24
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
12.05.24
H2H
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
1
3
W
30.09.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
10.09.23
H2H
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
2
1
L
10.06.23
H2H
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
1
0
L
29.05.22
H2H
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
0
1
W
14.08.21
H2H
Volta Redonda
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
13.06.21
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo PB
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H at home: Botafogo PB
08.09.24
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
30.09.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
13.06.21
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
1
2
L
Last matches: Volta Redonda
30.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Santa Cruz
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Maranhão
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Volta Redonda
Guarani Campinas
0
2
L
H2H away: Volta Redonda
08.09.24
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
0
0
D
30.09.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
1
2
W
13.06.21
H2H
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.93
Draw 3.09
Home 1.95
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.47
Over 1.75 1.61
Over 2.0 1.86
Over 2.25 2.17
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 2.75 2.95
Under 1.25 3.27
Under 1.5 2.54
Under 1.75 2.25
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.65
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.90
Home 1.95
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.50
Draw 1.95
Home 2.75
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.33
Draw 2.25
Home 2.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 4.50
Over 4.5 8.50
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.50
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.93
Draw 3.02
Home 1.94
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 5.00
Draw 1.86
Home 2.69
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 4.38
Draw 2.19
Home 2.35
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 0.75 1.06
Over 1.0 1.08
Over 1.25 1.25
Over 1.5 1.42
Over 1.75 1.56
Over 2.0 1.76
Over 2.25 2.10
Over 2.5 2.41
Over 2.75 2.85
Over 3.0 3.82
Over 3.25 4.26
Over 3.5 4.65
Over 3.75 6.05
Over 4.0 9.20
Over 4.25 8.50
Over 4.5 10.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Over 6.5 21.00
Under 0.5 6.95
Under 0.75 6.19
Under 1.0 5.45
Under 1.25 3.28
Under 1.5 2.49
Under 1.75 2.19
Under 2.0 1.86
Under 2.25 1.64
Under 2.5 1.49
Under 2.75 1.34
Under 3.0 1.19
Under 3.25 1.15
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 3.75 1.06
Under 4.0 1.00
Under 4.25 1.01
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 3.10
Home 2.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.20
Draw 2.08
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.33
Home 2.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.0 1.65
Over 2.25 1.93
Over 2.5 2.20
Over 2.75 2.60
Over 3.0 3.35
Over 3.25 3.70
Over 3.5 4.00
Under 1.5 2.75
Under 2.0 2.08
Under 2.25 1.76
Under 2.5 1.58
Under 2.75 1.43
Under 3.0 1.27
Under 3.25 1.22
Under 3.5 1.19

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:8 14 21
W W W L W
2 11 6 3 2 17:11 6 21
W L D W L
3 11 6 2 3 18:13 5 20
W L L W L
4 11 5 4 2 12:9 3 19
W W D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D D L W W
6 11 5 3 3 13:12 1 18
L W W D W
7 11 5 2 4 13:13 0 17
D W L L L
8 11 4 4 3 11:9 2 16
D L W D W
9 11 4 3 4 9:8 1 15
L W D D W
10 11 4 3 4 13:13 0 15
L L W L W
11 11 4 3 4 20:22 -2 15
D D L D W
12 11 4 3 4 10:14 -4 15
D W W D L
13 11 4 2 5 14:16 -2 14
W D L L L
14 11 4 2 5 7:11 -4 14
L W W W L
15 11 4 1 6 13:15 -2 13
W D W L L
16 11 3 4 4 9:12 -3 13
L D D D L
17 11 2 6 3 13:11 2 12
D L D L D
18 11 2 2 7 8:14 -6 8
W L D L D
19 10 2 1 7 4:9 -5 7
L L D W L
20 11 1 4 6 8:17 -9 7
L D L D W
Play-offs
Relegation