BRAZIL SERIE C
30.05.2026 21:00
Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Referee: E. Rodrigues
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Maringá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🟨
21'
Adeilson
Maringá
45'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Patric Calmon ↔ Jhonata Varela
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Gabriel Souza ↔ Bruno Cheron
Maringá
🔄
46'
Kelvi Gomes ↔ Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🔄
63'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
63'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🟨
64'
Gabriel Santos
Maringá
🔄
68'
Erick ↔ Diogo Mateus
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Giovane Gomez ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🟨
77'
Igor Morais
Botafogo PB
78'
Bruno Cheron
Maringá
🔄
79'
Caique Calito ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
🔄
84'
Nene ↔ Thallyson
Botafogo PB
🔄
87'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Rian Patric
Maringá
🟨
90+1'
Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🟨
90+6'
Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB

Botafogo PB vs Maringá Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
6.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 30.5%
Draw 12.2%
Maringá Win 57.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.68
Maringá1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
18 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
5
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 9 matches
Maringá Maringá 8 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Maringá
3 Wins 4
0 Draws 1
6 Losses 3
11 Goals For 18
14 Goals Against 19
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 2.38
5 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Maringá. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Maringá carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while Botafogo PB sit 17 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Botafogo PB Analysis

With 6 points from 7 games and a place of 17, Botafogo PB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 8:12 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Nene (3 goals), R. Bastos (2 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maringá Analysis

Maringá approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 12 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 17:18 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Edison Negueba (3 goals), Guilherme Pira (2 goals), Rafinha (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 1 times, Maringá won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 1, draws 1, Maringá wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation