BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Referee: E. Rodrigues
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Maringá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🟨
21'
Adeilson
Maringá
45'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Patric Calmon ↔ Jhonata Varela
Botafogo PB
🔄
46'
Gabriel Souza ↔ Bruno Cheron
Maringá
🔄
46'
Kelvi Gomes ↔ Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🔄
63'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
63'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🟨
64'
Gabriel Santos
Maringá
🔄
68'
Erick ↔ Diogo Mateus
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Giovane Gomez ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🟨
77'
Igor Morais
Botafogo PB
78'
Bruno Cheron
Maringá
🔄
79'
Caique Calito ↔ Rai Natalino
Maringá
🔄
84'
Nene ↔ Thallyson
Botafogo PB
🔄
87'
Jhow Alecxander ↔ Rian Patric
Maringá
🟨
90+1'
Giovanni
Botafogo PB
🟨
90+6'
Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 9.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
9.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
6.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 30.5%
Draw 12.2%
Maringá Win 57.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.68
Maringá1.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
18 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
5
BTTS Yes
7
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 9 matches
Maringá Maringá 8 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Maringá
3 Wins 4
0 Draws 1
6 Losses 3
11 Goals For 18
14 Goals Against 19
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 2.25
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 2.38
5 BTTS Yes 7
6 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 0
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Maringá. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Maringá carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while Botafogo PB sit 17 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Botafogo PB Analysis

With 6 points from 7 games and a place of 17, Botafogo PB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 5 defeats with a 8:12 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Nene (3 goals), R. Bastos (2 goals), Felipe Azevedo (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maringá Analysis

Maringá approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 12 points from 7 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 17:18 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Edison Negueba (3 goals), Guilherme Pira (2 goals), Rafinha (2 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 1 times, Maringá won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 1, draws 1, Maringá wins 0

Lineups

Botafogo PB
Formation
Maringá
Luiz Daniel
Luiz Daniel
Erick
Erick
Yan Souto
Yan Souto
Igor Morais
Igor Morais
Patric Calmon
Patric Calmon
Dudu Nardini
Dudu Nardini
Igor Maduro
Igor Maduro
Nene
⚽ 2
Nene
Dudu Hatamoto
Dudu Hatamoto
Henrique Dourado
Henrique Dourado
R. Bastos
R. Bastos
Neto
Neto
Gabriel Souza
Gabriel Souza
Jhow Alecxander
Jhow Alecxander
Gabriel Santos
Gabriel Santos
Wendel Lomar
Wendel Lomar
Kelvi Gomes
Kelvi Gomes
Adeilson
Adeilson
Guilherme Pira
Guilherme Pira
Edison Negueba
Edison Negueba
Caique Calito
Caique Calito
Giovane Gomez
Giovane Gomez
Botafogo PB 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
Luiz Daniel
12
Erick
↓ 68'
3
Yan Souto
14
Igor Morais
🟨 77'
6
Patric Calmon
↓ 46'
22
Dudu Nardini
8
Igor Maduro
10
Nene
⚽ 4' ⚽ 45' ↓ 84'
7
Dudu Hatamoto
↓ 63'
9
Henrique Dourado
↓ 63'
77
R. Bastos
Substitutes
21
Leandro Mathias
2
Diogo Mateus
↑ 68'
4
Saimon
5
Jhonata Varela
↑ 46'
15
Kayon
↑ 63'
18
Giovanni
↑ 63' 🟨 90+1'
20
Thallyson
↑ 84'
29
Anderson Chaves
30
L. M. Alves
31
Gustavo
39
Lawan
87
Lucas Couto
Maringá 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
Neto
2
Gabriel Souza
↓ 46'
18
Jhow Alecxander
↓ 87'
3
Gabriel Santos
🟨 64'
4
Wendel Lomar
5
Kelvi Gomes
↓ 46'
8
Adeilson
🟨 21'
10
Guilherme Pira
7
Edison Negueba
99
Caique Calito
↓ 79'
9
Giovane Gomez
↓ 68'
Substitutes
1
Tony
14
Felipe Cardoso
15
N. Neira
17
Iago Santana
20
Bruno Cheron
⚽ 78' ↑ 46'
26
Wallace
28
Lucas Bonifacio
↑ 46'
29
Rai Natalino
↑ 79'
32
Caua Tavares
37
Rian Patric
↑ 87'
77
Rafinha
↑ 68'
Last matches: Botafogo PB
12.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
Last matches: Maringá
12.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Anápolis
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
H2H: Botafogo PB vs Maringá
30.05.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
18.05.25
H2H
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
Last matches: Botafogo PB
12.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H at home: Botafogo PB
30.05.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
Last matches: Maringá
12.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Anápolis
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
H2H away: Maringá
30.05.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 7 4 3 17:14 3 25
W W D L W
2 14 7 3 4 20:15 5 24
L W L W L
3 14 7 3 4 15:10 5 24
W W W L W
4 14 7 2 5 22:19 3 23
W L L W L
5 14 6 5 3 25:14 11 23
L D D L W
6 14 7 1 6 19:15 4 22
W W W W D
7 14 6 4 4 27:24 3 22
W W D D D
8 14 6 4 4 15:12 3 22
W L L W W
9 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
10 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
11 14 5 4 5 16:16 0 19
L L D D D
12 14 5 3 6 17:19 -2 18
L W D W D
13 14 5 3 6 10:15 -5 18
D L W L W
14 14 5 2 7 13:19 -6 17
L L L D W
15 14 4 5 5 11:14 -3 17
W L D L D
16 14 4 5 5 12:18 -6 17
D L D D W
17 14 4 4 6 12:17 -5 16
W W W L D
18 14 3 6 5 17:16 1 15
L W L D L
19 14 3 2 9 8:14 -6 11
L L D W L
20 14 2 3 9 9:18 -9 9
L L D W L
Play-offs
Relegation