BRAZIL SERIE C
22.08.2026 20:00
Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Referee: D. Blanco
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Guarani Campinas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
Joao Paulo
Guarani Campinas
🟨
45+2'
Lucas Candido
Botafogo PB
59'
Lucas Candido
Botafogo PB
63'
R. Bastos
Botafogo PB
🔄
64'
Isaque ↔ Willian Farias
Guarani Campinas
🔄
64'
Herbert ↔ Matheus Guilherme
Guarani Campinas
🔄
64'
Maranhao ↔ Lucca
Guarani Campinas
🔄
67'
R. Bastos ↔ Diego Tavares
Botafogo PB
🔄
67'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
67'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Jonas Toro
Botafogo PB
🟨
69'
Luis Otavio
Guarani Campinas
🟨
71'
Patric Calmon
Botafogo PB
🟨
76'
Diogo Mateus
Botafogo PB
🔄
76'
Diogo Mateus ↔ Leo Pereira
Botafogo PB
🔄
78'
Luis Otavio ↔ Carlos Eduardo
Guarani Campinas
🔄
80'
Lucas Candido ↔ Caio Garcia
Botafogo PB
81'
Nene
Botafogo PB
🔄
83'
Kaua Jesus ↔ Rafael Freitas
Guarani Campinas
🟨
90'
Willian Farias
Guarani Campinas

Botafogo PB vs Guarani Campinas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 66.7%
Draw 10%
Guarani Campinas Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.31
Guarani Campinas1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
26 GF / 19 GA
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WLDWL
31 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 18 matches
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 17 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Guarani Campinas
9 Wins 7
3 Draws 6
6 Losses 4
26 Goals For 31
19 Goals Against 19
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 15
8 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guarani Campinas. Botafogo PB come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarani Campinas having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo PB Analysis

Botafogo PB come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 26 points after 16 matches. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:18, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Placed 5 with 26 points from 16 outings, Guarani Campinas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 29:17 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 1 times, Guarani Campinas won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 1, draws 0, Guarani Campinas wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation