BRAZIL SERIE C
12.07.2026 22:30
Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Referee: M. Oliveira
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Confiança
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Madison ↔ Iago Silva
Confiança
54'
Saimon
Botafogo PB
🔄
67'
Joao Pedro ↔ Danielzinho
Confiança
🔄
68'
R. Bastos ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Gabriel Tota
Botafogo PB
🟨
73'
Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB
🔄
75'
Gabriel Zeca ↔ Weriton
Confiança
🔄
75'
Valdir Junior ↔ Mateus Ludke
Confiança
77'
Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
80'
Nene ↔ Lucas Candido
Botafogo PB
🔄
80'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🔄
90'
Jhonata Varela ↔ L. M. Alves
Botafogo PB

Botafogo PB vs Confiança Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 82.6%
Draw 7%
Confiança Win 10.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.23
Confiança0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
20 GF / 16 GA
Confiança Confiança
WLDWL
8 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.57
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
7
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 14 matches
Confiança Confiança 14 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Confiança
7 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
6 Losses 9
20 Goals For 8
16 Goals Against 13
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
7 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Confiança. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Confiança arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Confiança having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo PB Analysis

So far, Botafogo PB have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança sit 18 with 11 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 8:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 7 times, Confiança won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 7, draws 5, Confiança wins 3

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation