BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Jose Americo de Almeida Filho
Referee: M. Oliveira
Botafogo PB
Match Timeline
Confiança
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
Madison ↔ Iago Silva
Confiança
54'
Saimon
Botafogo PB
🔄
67'
Joao Pedro ↔ Danielzinho
Confiança
🔄
68'
R. Bastos ↔ Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
68'
Henrique Dourado ↔ Gabriel Tota
Botafogo PB
🟨
73'
Botafogo PB
Botafogo PB
🔄
75'
Gabriel Zeca ↔ Weriton
Confiança
🔄
75'
Valdir Junior ↔ Mateus Ludke
Confiança
77'
Kayon
Botafogo PB
🔄
80'
Nene ↔ Lucas Candido
Botafogo PB
🔄
80'
Dudu Hatamoto ↔ Gustavo
Botafogo PB
🔄
90'
Jhonata Varela ↔ L. M. Alves
Botafogo PB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.6%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Botafogo PB Win 82.6%
Draw 7%
Confiança Win 10.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Botafogo PB1.23
Confiança0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Botafogo PB Botafogo PB
WWDLW
20 GF / 16 GA
Confiança Confiança
WLDWL
8 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.57
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
0.93
7
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Botafogo PB Botafogo PB 14 matches
Confiança Confiança 14 matches
Botafogo PB Statistic Confiança
7 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
6 Losses 9
20 Goals For 8
16 Goals Against 13
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 0.93
7 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 5
6 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 0
5 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Confiança. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Confiança arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Confiança having the stronger overall control.

Botafogo PB Analysis

So far, Botafogo PB have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Confiança Analysis

Confiança sit 18 with 11 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 8 defeats with a 8:12 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo PB won 7 times, Confiança won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:16 from Botafogo PB's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
H2H summary: Botafogo PB wins 7, draws 5, Confiança wins 3

Lineups

Botafogo PB
Formation
Confiança
Luiz Daniel
Luiz Daniel
Diogo Mateus
Diogo Mateus
Yan Souto
Yan Souto
Saimon
Saimon
Patric Calmon
Patric Calmon
Jhonata Varela
Jhonata Varela
Igor Maduro
Igor Maduro
Nene
Nene
Dudu Hatamoto
Dudu Hatamoto
Henrique Dourado
Henrique Dourado
R. Bastos
R. Bastos
Rafael Pascoal
Rafael Pascoal
Valdir Junior
Valdir Junior
Lucas Cunha
Lucas Cunha
Icaro
Icaro
Kelvyn
Kelvyn
Renilson
Renilson
Madison
Madison
Gabriel Zeca
Gabriel Zeca
PK
PK
Joao Pedro
Joao Pedro
Maikon Aquino
Maikon Aquino
Botafogo PB 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
27
Luiz Daniel
2
Diogo Mateus
3
Yan Souto
4
Saimon
⚽ 54'
6
Patric Calmon
5
Jhonata Varela
↓ 90'
8
Igor Maduro
10
Nene
↓ 80'
7
Dudu Hatamoto
↓ 80'
9
Henrique Dourado
↓ 68'
77
R. Bastos
↓ 68'
Substitutes
21
Leandro Mathias
12
Erick
15
Kayon
⚽ 77' ↑ 68'
16
Bull
28
Lucas Candido
↑ 80'
30
L. M. Alves
↑ 90'
31
Gustavo
↑ 80'
33
Julio Vaz
35
Octavio
36
Italo
87
Lucas Couto
88
Gabriel Tota
↑ 68'
Confiança 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Rafael Pascoal
2
Valdir Junior
↓ 75'
3
Lucas Cunha
4
Icaro
6
Kelvyn
13
Renilson
14
Madison
↓ 46'
8
Gabriel Zeca
↓ 75'
10
PK
7
Joao Pedro
↓ 67'
9
Maikon Aquino
Substitutes
12
Matheus Silva
5
Paulo Henrique
11
Iago Silva
↑ 46'
15
Alisson
16
Matheus Juliao
17
Danielzinho
↑ 67'
18
Weriton
↑ 75'
20
Mateus Ludke
↑ 75'
99
Sassa
Last matches: Botafogo PB
22.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
15.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Amazonas
0
0
D
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Caxias
2
1
W
06.07.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Anápolis
2
0
W
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
15.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ituano
0
1
L
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maranhão
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Paysandu
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Figueirense
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Ferroviária
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
Last matches: Confiança
22.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Anápolis
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Maringá
1
1
D
10.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Paysandu
1
2
L
25.07.26
Ser
Confiança
AO Itabaiana
1
1
D
04.07.26
Ser
Confiança
Barra
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
22.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Guarani Campinas
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Figueirense
0
0
D
18.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Maranhão
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Amazonas
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
H2H: Botafogo PB vs Confiança
12.07.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
12.04.25
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
3
0
W
13.07.24
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
3
3
D
19.08.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
3
L
23.04.22
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
0
W
05.04.21
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
0
0
D
01.02.20
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
1
D
04.08.19
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
02.06.19
H2H
Confiança
Botafogo PB
3
0
L
01.07.18
H2H
Confiança
Botafogo PB
2
2
D
01.05.18
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
27.08.17
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
2
L
24.06.17
H2H
Confiança
Botafogo PB
0
1
W
04.09.16
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
1
W
03.07.16
H2H
Confiança
Botafogo PB
1
1
D
Last matches: Botafogo PB
22.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Guarani Campinas
3
1
W
08.08.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz
2
2
D
30.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Brusque
2
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Volta Redonda
2
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Maringá
2
1
W
18.05.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Floresta
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Botafogo PB
Barra
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Botafogo PB
Santa Cruz RN
3
1
W
H2H at home: Botafogo PB
12.07.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
12.04.25
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
3
0
W
13.07.24
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
3
3
D
19.08.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
3
L
23.04.22
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
0
W
05.04.21
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
0
0
D
01.02.20
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
1
D
04.08.19
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
01.05.18
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
W
27.08.17
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
2
L
04.09.16
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
1
W
Last matches: Confiança
10.08.26
Ser
Confiança
Paysandu
1
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Ypiranga-RS
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Confiança
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
30.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Floresta
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Confiança
Ituano
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Brusque
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Confiança
Caxias
0
1
L
04.01.26
Fri
Confiança
Decisão
0
1
L
H2H away: Confiança
12.07.26
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
L
12.04.25
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
3
0
L
13.07.24
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
3
3
D
19.08.23
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
3
W
23.04.22
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
0
L
05.04.21
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
0
0
D
01.02.20
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
1
D
04.08.19
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
L
01.05.18
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
0
L
27.08.17
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
1
2
W
04.09.16
H2H
Botafogo PB
Confiança
2
1
L

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation