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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
10.10.2026 14:00
Jakemans Community Stadium
Boston United
Match Timeline
Southend
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
1'
O. Bostock · Assist: C. McBride
Boston United
⚽
16'
P. Omochere · Assist: J. Popoola
Southend
🔄
38'
P. Omochere ↔ Massiah-Edwards
Southend
🔄
46'
H. Cardwell ↔ L. Twamley
Southend
🟨
47'
D. Oldaker
Southend
🟨
52'
D. Cox
Southend
🔄
64'
J. Popoola ↔ S. Kamara
Southend
🟨
65'
C. Teale
Boston United
🔄
70'
D. Oldaker ↔ S. Austin
Southend
🔄
70'
B. Goodliffe ↔ H. Taylor
Southend
🔄
78'
N. Pozo ↔ G. Holohan
Boston United
🔄
78'
C. McBride ↔ L. N. John-Lewis
Boston United
🔄
78'
G. Gent ↔ L. Wheeldon
Boston United
⚽
90'
S. Kamara · Assist: K. McAdam
Southend

Boston United vs Southend Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Boston United Win 20.7%
Draw 4.6%
Southend Win 74.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boston United1.19
Southend1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boston United Boston United
L D L W D
5 GF / 10 GA
Southend Southend
W D L W W
15 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.18
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
8
BTTS Yes
15
7
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boston United Boston United 17 matches
Southend Southend 17 matches
Boston United Statistic Southend
5 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 4
17 Goals For 37
25 Goals Against 25
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.18
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
8 BTTS Yes 15
11 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 11
4 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Southend's more proactive style and Boston United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Southend. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Southend having the stronger overall control. Southend carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 24 points while Boston United sit 20 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Boston United Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 20, Boston United still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 14:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Southend Analysis

Southend come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 24 points after 12 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a 29:18 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Boston United won 1 times, Southend won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:6 from Boston United's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
H2H summary: Boston United wins 1, draws 2, Southend wins 1

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation