Boston River vs Progreso Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
67.5%
|
1.95 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
2.12 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
1.36 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.88 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Boston River
Progreso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Boston River
28 matches
Progreso
28 matches
| Boston River | Statistic | Progreso |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 14 | Losses | 18 |
| 27 | Goals For | 21 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.75 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boston River expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Progreso in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Progreso having the stronger overall control. Progreso arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Progreso.
Boston River sit 14 with 30 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 27:38, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Progreso sit 16 with 22 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 21:41, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Boston River won 2 times, Progreso won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Boston River's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 44:22 | 22 | 52 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 35:22 | 13 | 52 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 47:31 | 16 | 50 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 42:27 | 15 | 49 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 40:36 | 4 | 43 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 35:34 | 1 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 37:27 | 10 | 42 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:33 | -3 | 38 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 34 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 33 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 32 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 22:41 | -19 | 32 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
Boston River
Home
|
28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 27:38 | -11 | 30 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
| 15 | 28 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 23:37 | -14 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 |
Progreso
Away
|
28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 21:41 | -20 | 22 |
L
W
W
L
L
|