04.10.2026 16:00
Estadio Campeones Olimpicos
Referee: Leodan Gonzalez
Boston River
Match Timeline
Juventud
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
38'
Marco Mancebo
Boston River
🟨
60'
Gastón Pereiro
Juventud
🔄
63'
Gastón Pereiro ↔ Mirko Diaz
Juventud
🔄
64'
Agustin amado ↔ Leonardo Suárez
Boston River
🟨
75'
Mirko Diaz
Juventud
🟨
75'
lautaro vazquez
Boston River
🔄
78'
lautaro vazquez ↔ Facundo Ezequiel·Saravia Salvia
Boston River
🔄
79'
Alejo Cruz Techera ↔ facundo dominguez
Juventud
🔄
79'
Bruno Larregui ↔ Agustin Nicolas Alaniz Sani
Juventud
🟨
82'
Ramiro Miguel Peralta
Juventud
🔄
84'
Francisco Bonfiglio ↔ Nicolas Siri
Boston River
🔄
84'
Marco Mancebo ↔ marco orona
Boston River

Boston River vs Juventud Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.1%
Odds 2.60
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.93
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.1%
2.60 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.93 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.09 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Boston River Win 20.8%
Draw 6.1%
Juventud Win 73.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boston River1.11
Juventud1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boston River Boston River
WWDLW
29 GF / 42 GA
Juventud Juventud
WLDWL
43 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
15
BTTS Yes
22
14
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
2.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boston River Boston River 30 matches
Juventud Juventud 36 matches
Boston River Statistic Juventud
8 Wins 11
6 Draws 11
16 Losses 14
29 Goals For 43
42 Goals Against 47
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
15 BTTS Yes 22
20 Over 1.5 24
14 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 8
13 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 2.89
0 Total Shots 9
0 Corners 2.89
0% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juventud. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Boston River have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boston River expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Juventud in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juventud having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Boston River Analysis

Boston River approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 30 points from 30 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 29:42, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Juventud Analysis

Juventud sit 9 with 35 points after 29 league matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 35:39 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Boston River won 3 times, Juventud won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Boston River's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Boston River 4-4-2 / Juventud 4-3-3
H2H summary: Boston River wins 3, draws 1, Juventud wins 1

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 18 6 6 49:25 24 59
D W W W W
2 31 17 7 7 49:27 22 58
W W W L W
3 30 16 6 8 52:35 17 54
D L W W W
4 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
L D W L W
5 31 13 10 8 42:30 12 49
W W D L W
6 30 15 4 11 45:38 7 49
W W D D W
7 30 13 8 9 38:36 2 47
W D D L W
8 31 10 8 13 32:42 -10 38
L L L D D
9 31 10 7 14 41:42 -1 37
W L L L L
10 30 9 9 12 35:39 -4 36
D W D D W
11 31 8 11 12 28:36 -8 35
L W L W D
12 30 8 9 13 28:34 -6 33
L L D L D
13 30 9 6 15 23:43 -20 33
D L W W D
14 30 8 6 16 29:42 -13 30
L L L L D
15 31 8 4 19 27:46 -19 28
L W W L W
16 30 4 14 12 24:39 -15 26
L D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)