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05.10.2026 18:45
Stadion Bilino Polje
Referee: Jeremie Pignard
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Match Timeline
Poland
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
32'
Armin Gigovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
38'
Nicola Zalewski
Poland
🟨
42'
Ermedin Demirović
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
63'
Matty Cash ↔ Norbert Wojtuszek
Poland
🔄
63'
Karol Świderski ↔ Marcel Regula
Poland
🔄
63'
Zinedin Smajlovic ↔ Esmir Bajraktarević
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
63'
Ermin Mahmić ↔ Benjamin Tahirovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
76'
Tarik Muharemovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
VAR
77'
Ermedin Demirović
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
78'
Haris Tabaković ↔ Samed Baždar
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
78'
Ermedin Demirović ↔ Jovo Lukić
Bosnia & Herzegovina
VAR
83'
Jovo Lukić
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
83'
Jan Bednarek
Poland
⚽
84'
Ivan Bašić
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
89'
Wiktor Nowak ↔ Kacper Urbanski
Poland
🔄
89'
Mateusz Zukowski ↔ Oskar Pietuszewski
Poland
🔄
89'
Armin Gigovic ↔ Stjepan Radeljić
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
90+1'
Norbert Wojtuszek
Poland

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
79%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bosnia & Herzegovina Win 39.8%
Draw 23.4%
Poland Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bosnia & Herzegovina1.29
Poland1.61
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
D W D L W
8 GF / 6 GA
Poland Poland
W L D D L
9 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.22
Average Goals Scored
1.8
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
6
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
3
3
Shots on Goal
5.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina 9 matches
Poland Poland 5 matches
Bosnia & Herzegovina Statistic Poland
2 Wins 1
5 Draws 2
2 Losses 2
11 Goals For 9
12 Goals Against 7
1.22 Avg Goals Scored 1.8
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.4
6 BTTS Yes 2
7 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 5.6
8.67 Total Shots 13.6
3 Corners 3.8
44.1% Ball Possession 42.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Bosnia & Herzegovina won 0 times, Poland won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:5 from Bosnia & Herzegovina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.6%)
Predicted formations: Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-4-2 / Poland 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Bosnia & Herzegovina wins 0, draws 0, Poland wins 2

Standings

League B - Group D
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:3 4 10
W D W W
2 4 2 2 0 6:3 3 8
W D W D
3 4 1 1 2 7:4 3 4
L W L D
4 4 0 0 4 3:13 -10 0
L L L L
Promotion
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