31.03.2026 18:45
Bilino Polje
Referee: C. Turpin
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Match Timeline
Italy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
M. Kean · Assist: N. Barella
Italy
🟥
41'
Alessandro Bastoni
Italy
🔄
44'
M. Retegui ↔ F. Gatti
Italy
🔄
46'
I. Sunjic ↔ B. Tahirovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
46'
M. Politano ↔ M. Palestra
Italy
🔄
46'
S. Kolasinac ↔ K. Alajbegovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
54'
Benjamin Tahirović
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
71'
A. Memic ↔ D. Burnic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
71'
M. Locatelli ↔ B. Cristante
Italy
🔄
71'
M. Kean ↔ F. Esposito
Italy
🔄
71'
I. Basic ↔ H. Tabakovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
79'
H. Tabakovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
81'
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Italy
🔄
85'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Italy
🔄
91'
F. Dimarco ↔ L. Spinazzola
Italy
🟨
102'
Tarik Muharemović
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
114'
Nikola Katić
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
115'
E. Demirovic ↔ A. Hadziahmetovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
120+1'
Davide Frattesi
Italy

Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bosnia & Herzegovina Win 0%
Draw 0%
Italy Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bosnia & Herzegovina1.47
Italy2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
WWDLW
22 GF / 25 GA
Italy Italy
WLDWL
40 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
2.35
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
13
4.67
Shots on Goal
7.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina 15 matches
Italy Italy 17 matches
Bosnia & Herzegovina Statistic Italy
5 Wins 11
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
22 Goals For 40
25 Goals Against 25
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 2.35
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
9 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 7.11
14.44 Total Shots 21.44
4 Corners 7.56
48.2% Ball Possession 63%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Bosnia & Herzegovina won 0 times, Italy won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from Bosnia & Herzegovina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-4-2 / Italy 3-5-2
H2H summary: Bosnia & Herzegovina wins 0, draws 2, Italy wins 4

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 1 1 22:4 18 19
D W L W W
2 8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
D W D L W
3 8 4 1 3 19:10 9 13
W L W D W
4 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
L W D D L
5 8 0 0 8 2:39 -37 0
L L L L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)