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WORLD › WORLD CUP - QUALIFICATION EUROPE
--.--.---- --:--
Bosnia & Herzegovina
PEN
1 - 1
Italy
Bilino Polje
Referee: C. Turpin
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Match Timeline
Italy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
M. Kean · Assist: N. Barella
Italy
🟥
41'
Alessandro Bastoni
Italy
🔄
44'
M. Retegui ↔ F. Gatti
Italy
🔄
46'
I. Sunjic ↔ B. Tahirovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
46'
M. Politano ↔ M. Palestra
Italy
🔄
46'
S. Kolasinac ↔ K. Alajbegovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
54'
Benjamin Tahirović
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
71'
A. Memic ↔ D. Burnic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
71'
M. Locatelli ↔ B. Cristante
Italy
🔄
71'
M. Kean ↔ F. Esposito
Italy
🔄
71'
I. Basic ↔ H. Tabakovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
⚽
79'
H. Tabakovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
81'
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Italy
🔄
85'
N. Barella ↔ D. Frattesi
Italy
🔄
91'
F. Dimarco ↔ L. Spinazzola
Italy
🟨
102'
Tarik Muharemović
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
114'
Nikola Katić
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🔄
115'
E. Demirovic ↔ A. Hadziahmetovic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
🟨
120+1'
Davide Frattesi
Italy

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Bosnia & Herzegovina Win 0%
Draw 0%
Italy Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bosnia & Herzegovina1.47
Italy2.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
WWDLW
22 GF / 25 GA
Italy Italy
WLDWL
40 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
2.35
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
9
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
13
4.67
Shots on Goal
7.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina 15 matches
Italy Italy 17 matches
Bosnia & Herzegovina Statistic Italy
5 Wins 11
5 Draws 2
5 Losses 4
22 Goals For 40
25 Goals Against 25
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 2.35
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
9 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 16
8 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 1
4.67 Shots On Goal 7.11
14.44 Total Shots 21.44
4 Corners 7.56
48.2% Ball Possession 63%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Bosnia & Herzegovina won 0 times, Italy won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:10 from Bosnia & Herzegovina's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-4-2 / Italy 3-5-2
H2H summary: Bosnia & Herzegovina wins 0, draws 2, Italy wins 4
Stats
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy Italy
Shots on Goal
11
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
2
10 Corner Kicks 4
18 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 0
65% Ball Possession 35%
30 Total Shots 9
11 Shots on Goal 3
12 Shots off Goal 4
7 Blocked Shots 2
17 Shots insidebox 4
13 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 10
698 Total passes 390
614 Passes accurate 287
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Bosnia & Herzegovina
Formation
Italy
N. Vasilj
N. Vasilj
A. Dedic
A. Dedic
N. Katic
N. Katic
T. Muharemovic
T. Muharemovic
S. Kolasinac
↓
S. Kolasinac
E. Bajraktarevic
E. Bajraktarevic
I. Basic
↓
I. Basic
I. Sunjic
↓
I. Sunjic
A. Memic
↓
A. Memic
E. Demirovic
↓
E. Demirovic
E. Dzeko
E. Dzeko
G. Donnarumma
G. Donnarumma
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
A. Bastoni
A. Bastoni
R. Calafiori
R. Calafiori
M. Politano
↓
M. Politano
N. Barella
🎯 ↓
N. Barella
M. Locatelli
↓
M. Locatelli
S. Tonali
S. Tonali
F. Dimarco
↓
F. Dimarco
M. Kean
⚽ ↓
M. Kean
M. Retegui
↓
M. Retegui
Bosnia & Herzegovina 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
N. Vasilj
G
7
A. Dedic
D
18
N. Katic
🟨 114'
D
4
T. Muharemovic
🟨 102'
D
5
S. Kolasinac
↓ 46'
D
20
E. Bajraktarevic
M
13
I. Basic
↓ 71'
M
14
I. Sunjic
↓ 46'
M
15
A. Memic
↓ 71'
M
10
E. Demirovic
↓ 115'
F
11
E. Dzeko
F
Substitutes
22
M. Zlomislic
G
12
O. Hadzikic
G
3
N. Celik
D
19
K. Alajbegovic
↑ 46'
F
23
H. Tabakovic
⚽ 79' ↑ 71'
F
16
A. Hadziahmetovic
↑ 115'
M
17
D. Burnic
↑ 71'
M
21
S. Radeljic
D
2
N. Mujakic
D
8
A. Gigovic
M
6
B. Tahirovic
↑ 46' 🟨 54'
M
9
S. Bazdar
F
Italy 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
G. Donnarumma
🟨 81'
G
23
G. Mancini
D
21
A. Bastoni
🟥 41'
D
13
R. Calafiori
D
7
M. Politano
↓ 46'
M
18
N. Barella
🎯 15' ↓ 85'
M
5
M. Locatelli
↓ 71'
M
8
S. Tonali
M
3
F. Dimarco
↓ 91'
M
11
M. Kean
⚽ 15' ↓ 71'
F
9
M. Retegui
↓ 44'
F
Substitutes
22
A. Meret
G
12
M. Carnesecchi
G
17
D. Frattesi
↑ 85' 🟨 120+1'
M
10
G. Raspadori
F
6
A. Buongiorno
D
20
A. Cambiaso
D
19
F. Gatti
↑ 44'
D
15
F. Esposito
↑ 71'
F
14
N. Pisilli
M
2
M. Palestra
↑ 46'
D
16
B. Cristante
↑ 71'
M
4
L. Spinazzola
↑ 91'
D
Last matches: Bosnia & Herzegovina
18.06.26
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Switzerland
1
4
L
12.06.26
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Canada
1
1
D
06.06.26
Fri
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Panama
1
1
D
29.05.26
Fri
Bosnia & Herzegovina
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
26.03.26
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Wales
1
1
D
18.11.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Austria
1
1
D
15.11.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania
3
1
W
09.10.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Cyprus
2
2
D
09.09.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Austria
1
2
L
06.09.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
San Marino
6
0
W
07.06.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
San Marino
1
0
W
24.03.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Cyprus
2
1
W
21.03.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania
1
0
W
19.11.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Netherlands
1
1
D
16.11.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Germany
0
7
L
14.10.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Hungary
0
2
L
11.10.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Germany
1
2
L
10.09.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Hungary
0
0
D
07.09.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Netherlands
2
5
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
26.03.26
Wor
Italy
Northern Ireland
2
0
W
16.11.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
1
4
L
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
3
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
05.09.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
5
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
1
2
L
17.11.24
UEF
Italy
France
1
3
L
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
14.10.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
4
1
W
10.10.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
2
2
D
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H: Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Italy
31.03.26
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
1
1
D
09.06.24
H2H
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
0
L
18.11.20
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
0
2
L
04.09.20
H2H
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
1
1
D
15.11.19
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
0
3
L
11.06.19
H2H
Italy
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2
1
L
Last matches: Bosnia & Herzegovina
29.05.26
Fri
Bosnia & Herzegovina
FYR Macedonia
0
0
D
15.11.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Romania
3
1
W
09.09.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Austria
1
2
L
07.06.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
San Marino
1
0
W
24.03.25
Wor
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Cyprus
2
1
W
19.11.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Netherlands
1
1
D
14.10.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Hungary
0
2
L
11.10.24
UEF
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Germany
1
2
L
H2H at home: Bosnia & Herzegovina
31.03.26
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
1
1
D
18.11.20
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
0
2
L
15.11.19
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
0
3
L
Last matches: Italy
07.06.26
Fri
Italy
Greece
1
0
W
03.06.26
Fri
Italy
Luxembourg
1
0
W
13.11.25
Wor
Italy
Moldova
2
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Italy
Estonia
3
1
W
08.09.25
Wor
Italy
Israel
5
4
W
06.06.25
Wor
Italy
Norway
0
3
L
23.03.25
UEF
Italy
Germany
3
3
D
14.11.24
UEF
Italy
Belgium
1
0
W
09.09.24
UEF
Italy
Israel
2
1
W
06.09.24
UEF
Italy
France
3
1
W
H2H away: Italy
31.03.26
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
1
1
D
18.11.20
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
0
2
W
15.11.19
H2H
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Italy
0
3
W

Standings

Group H
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Austria
8 6 1 1 22:4 18 19
D W L W W
2
Bosnia & Herzegovina Home
8 5 2 1 17:7 10 17
D W D L W
3
Romania
8 4 1 3 19:10 9 13
W L W D W
4
Cyprus
8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
L W D D L
5
San Marino
8 0 0 8 2:39 -37 0
L L L L L
Promotion - World Cup
Promotion - World Cup (Promotion)