GERMANY BUNDESLIGA
09.01.2027 14:30
Signal Iduna Park

Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 0%
Draw 0%
FSV Mainz 05 Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund1.27
FSV Mainz 053.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
WLDWL
43 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
4.3
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
8
4.5
Shots on Goal
6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 9 matches
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 10 matches
Borussia Dortmund Statistic FSV Mainz 05
5 Wins 8
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 0
16 Goals For 43
12 Goals Against 5
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 4.3
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
6 BTTS Yes 3
7 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 7
1 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 6
13.5 Total Shots 19
5.25 Corners 8
46% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 8 times, FSV Mainz 05 won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:18 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 8, draws 3, FSV Mainz 05 wins 4

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 7:1 6 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 7:5 2 6
W W
5 2 1 1 0 5:0 5 4
W D
6 2 1 1 0 5:1 4 4
D W
7 2 1 0 1 6:3 3 3
W L
8 2 1 0 1 4:3 1 3
L W
9 2 1 0 1 5:6 -1 3
W L
10 2 1 0 1 4:5 -1 3
W L
11 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
L W
12 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
L D
13 2 0 1 1 4:7 -3 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 3:7 -4 1
L D
16 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
17 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
18 2 0 0 2 0:7 -7 0
L L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
Qualifying
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation