GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
08.05.2026 18:30
Signal Iduna Park
Referee: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
Borussia Dortmund
Match Timeline
Eintracht Frankfurt
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
C. Y. Uzun · Assist: M. Dahoud
Eintracht Frankfurt
🟨
21'
Luca Reggiani
Borussia Dortmund
⚽
42'
S. Guirassy · Assist: J. Ryerson
Borussia Dortmund
⚽
45'
N. Schlotterbeck · Assist: M. Beier
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
57'
M. Dahoud ↔ M. Gotze
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
57'
F. Chaibi ↔ J. Bahoya
Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽
72'
S. Inacio · Assist: M. Beier
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
74'
J. Bellingham ↔ F. Nmecha
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
74'
J. Brandt ↔ K. Adeyemi
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
77'
A. Kalimuendo ↔ A. Knauff
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
77'
C. Y. Uzun ↔ A. Amaimouni
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
78'
S. Guirassy ↔ F. Silva
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
78'
M. Sabitzer ↔ S. Ozcan
Borussia Dortmund
🔄
82'
R. Doan ↔ J. Burkardt
Eintracht Frankfurt
⚽
87'
J. Burkardt
Eintracht Frankfurt
🔄
88'
L. Reggiani ↔ N. Sule
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
90+4'
Gregor Kobel
Borussia Dortmund
🟨
90+1'
Samuele Inacio
Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 73.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
73.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
76.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Borussia Dortmund Win 75.8%
Draw 0%
Eintracht Frankfurt Win 24.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Borussia Dortmund2.05
Eintracht Frankfurt1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WWDLW
87 GF / 53 GA
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
WLDWL
67 GF / 81 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
1.68
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
2.03
22
BTTS Yes
28
25
Over 2.5
27
4.6
Shots on Goal
4.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 42 matches
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt 40 matches
Borussia Dortmund Statistic Eintracht Frankfurt
24 Wins 12
9 Draws 11
9 Losses 17
87 Goals For 67
53 Goals Against 81
2.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.68
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 2.03
22 BTTS Yes 28
37 Over 1.5 35
25 Over 2.5 27
17 Over 3.5 20
16 Clean Sheets 8
4 Failed To Score 6
4.6 Shots On Goal 4.25
12.5 Total Shots 10.98
5.02 Corners 4.2
53.3% Ball Possession 52.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Borussia Dortmund's more proactive style and Eintracht Frankfurt's more cautious structure. Borussia Dortmund appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Eintracht Frankfurt. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Eintracht Frankfurt. Borussia Dortmund arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 67 points compared to Eintracht Frankfurt in 8 on 43, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Borussia Dortmund have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Borussia Dortmund expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Eintracht Frankfurt in 4-5-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Eintracht Frankfurt having the stronger overall control.

Borussia Dortmund Analysis

Borussia Dortmund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 2 with 67 points from 32 matches. Their record of 20 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 65:32, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. Guirassy (15 goals), M. Beier (9 goals), J. Brandt (7 goals), with creative support from J. Ryerson (13 assists), F. Silva (6 assists), M. Beier (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with E. Can, F. Nmecha, K. Adeyemi unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Eintracht Frankfurt Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8 with 43 points after 32 league matches. The record of 11 wins, 10 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 57:60 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Burkardt (10 goals), C. Y. Uzun (7 goals), A. Kalimuendo (6 goals), with creative support from F. Chaibi (9 assists), C. Y. Uzun (5 assists), R. Doan (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with N. Collins, R. Kristensen, J. Grahl unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Borussia Dortmund won 8 times, Eintracht Frankfurt won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:22 from Borussia Dortmund's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1 / Eintracht Frankfurt 4-5-1
Missing players: Borussia Dortmund 4, Eintracht Frankfurt 3
H2H summary: Borussia Dortmund wins 8, draws 5, Eintracht Frankfurt wins 2

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2 34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3 34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4 34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5 34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6 34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
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