Bolton vs Middlesbrough H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsBolton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Bolton
Middlesbrough
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bolton
16 matches
Middlesbrough
14 matches
| Bolton | Statistic | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 2 |
| 21 | Goals For | 27 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.93 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.64 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4.73 | Shots On Goal | 6.18 |
| 13.82 | Total Shots | 19.09 |
| 5.36 | Corners | 5.82 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 59.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Middlesbrough's more proactive style and Bolton's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Middlesbrough. Middlesbrough carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 21 points while Bolton sit 14 on 13, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bolton expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Middlesbrough in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Middlesbrough having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Bolton sit 14 with 13 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 15:18 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Dalby (3 goals), T. Gale (3 goals), A. Ito (2 goals), with creative support from Gaizka Larrazabal (2 assists), Ruben Rodrigues (1 assists), T. Bair (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 21 points from 10 games, Middlesbrough bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 20:14, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through W. Lankshear (8 goals), A. Cozier-Duberry (2 goals), S. Berhalter (2 goals), with creative support from T. Conway (3 assists), A. Cozier-Duberry (2 assists), L. Ayling (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bolton won 1 times, Middlesbrough won 12 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:29 from Bolton's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.64 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 23 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | 18 | 22 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
Middlesbrough
Away
|
11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | 9 | 20 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 20 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 18:15 | 3 | 17 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 15 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 15 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:18 | 0 | 15 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 |
Bolton
Home
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 16 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:15 | -5 | 14 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 12 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 11 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 17:21 | -4 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 22 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 8 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 23 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:20 | -11 | 6 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9:24 | -15 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
L
|