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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
12.09.2026 11:30
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Referee: Thomas Parsons, England
Bolton
Match Timeline
Cardiff
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Ben Davies
Bolton
🟨
32'
Kyliane Dong
Bolton
🟨
37'
Samuel Iling Junior
Bolton
🟨
42'
Joel Colwill
Cardiff
🔄
46'
S. Dalby ↔ T. Bair
Bolton
🔄
46'
S. Iling Junior ↔ T. Gale
Bolton
🟨
54'
Perry Ng
Cardiff
🔄
59'
J. Colwill ↔ D. Turnbull
Cardiff
🔄
64'
R. Rodrigues ↔ A. Ito
Bolton
🔄
74'
C. Willock ↔ C. Ashford
Cardiff
🔄
75'
K. Dong ↔ J. Nelson
Bolton
🔄
75'
Y. Salech ↔ C. Robinson
Cardiff
🟨
78'
Jayden Nelson
Bolton
🔄
83'
E. Erhahon ↔ R. Hardie
Bolton
🟨
90+1'
Thierry Gale
Bolton
🔄
90+2'
J. Bagan ↔ C. Scanlon
Cardiff
🔄
90+2'
A. Robertson ↔ R. Kpakio
Cardiff
⚽
90'
T. Gale · Assist: T. Bair
Bolton

Bolton vs Cardiff Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bolton Win 50.8%
Draw 4.2%
Cardiff Win 45%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bolton1.41
Cardiff1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bolton Bolton
WWDLW
12 GF / 16 GA
Cardiff Cardiff
WLDWL
22 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
2.2
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.9
6
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
7
4.67
Shots on Goal
5.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bolton Bolton 11 matches
Cardiff Cardiff 10 matches
Bolton Statistic Cardiff
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
12 Goals For 22
16 Goals Against 19
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.9
6 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 2
4.67 Shots On Goal 5.83
13.67 Total Shots 17.83
6.5 Corners 7.83
54.5% Ball Possession 66%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Bolton won 5 times, Cardiff won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Bolton's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Bolton 4-2-3-1 / Cardiff 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bolton 2, Cardiff 3
H2H summary: Bolton wins 5, draws 1, Cardiff wins 5

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One