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31.10.2026 15:00
Toughsheet Community Stadium
Referee: Bobby Madley
Bolton
Match Timeline
Bristol City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
Joe Williams
Bristol City
⚽
13'
Dominic Ballard · Assist: Jason Knight
Bristol City
⚽
16'
Josh Sheehan · Assist: Thierry Gale
Bolton
🟨
30'
Josh Sheehan
Bolton
🔄
55'
Brian de Keersmaecker ↔ Yu Hirakawa
Bristol City
🔄
55'
Rio Cardines ↔ Jed Wallace
Bristol City
⚽
57'
Sam Dalby · Assist: Atsuki Ito
Bolton
🔄
65'
Atsuki Ito ↔ Ruben Rodrigues
Bolton
🔄
65'
Thierry Gale ↔ Kyliane Dong
Bolton
🔄
67'
Dominic Ballard ↔ Scott Twine
Bristol City
🔄
78'
Christian Forino Joseph ↔ Lewis Brunt
Bolton
🔄
78'
lorent tolaj ↔ Sam Bellis
Bristol City
🔄
78'
Joe Williams ↔ Adam Randell
Bristol City
⚽
84'
Sam Bellis · Assist: Cameron Pring
Bristol City
🔄
88'
Ben Davies ↔ Akin Famewo
Bolton
🔄
88'
Samuel Iling ↔ Max Lott
Bolton
⚽
90+3'
Scott Twine · Assist: Jed Wallace
Bristol City

Bolton vs Bristol City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
71.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bolton Win 28.3%
Draw 24.9%
Bristol City Win 46.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bolton1.23
Bristol City1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bolton Bolton
L D W L W
9 GF / 11 GA
Bristol City Bristol City
D L L D W
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
10
BTTS Yes
10
10
Over 2.5
8
4.67
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bolton Bolton 17 matches
Bristol City Bristol City 20 matches
Bolton Statistic Bristol City
6 Wins 7
4 Draws 6
7 Losses 7
22 Goals For 24
27 Goals Against 23
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
10 BTTS Yes 10
11 Over 1.5 13
10 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 8
4.67 Shots On Goal 4
13.67 Total Shots 13.5
5.08 Corners 5.5
49.3% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Bolton won 3 times, Bristol City won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:17 from Bolton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.1%)
Predicted formations: Bolton 4-2-3-1 / Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bolton 5, Bristol City 4
H2H summary: Bolton wins 3, draws 2, Bristol City wins 4

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 8 5 2 28:14 14 29
W W W L W
2 15 8 5 2 30:19 11 29
D L W W D
3 15 9 2 4 24:18 6 29
W W W D W
4 15 8 4 3 26:18 8 28
D W W W D
5 15 8 4 3 23:15 8 28
W D W D W
6 15 8 2 5 22:18 4 26
L L W L L
7 15 8 4 3 29:15 14 24
L D W W D
8 15 6 6 3 24:18 6 24
W D L W L
9 15 6 5 4 37:23 14 23
L D L L W
10 15 6 4 5 21:19 2 22
L W W D W
11 15 6 4 5 20:18 2 22
L W D W D
12 15 7 0 8 32:24 8 21
W W W W L
13 15 6 3 6 22:23 -1 21
W L L W L
14 15 4 6 5 27:27 0 18
W D L W D
15 15 4 6 5 18:20 -2 18
D W L L W
16 15 5 3 7 23:27 -4 18
L L W L D
17 15 5 3 7 16:24 -8 18
L L W D L
18 15 5 2 8 20:29 -9 17
L W L L D
19 15 4 5 6 13:23 -10 17
W L L L L
20 15 4 3 8 13:23 -10 15
D W L L W
21 15 4 3 8 15:26 -11 15
L L L W D
22 15 1 7 7 22:31 -9 10
L D D L L
23 15 2 4 9 14:30 -16 10
W L L D L
24 15 2 2 11 13:30 -17 8
W L L D L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One