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ITALY › SERIE A
17.10.2026 16:00

Bologna vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bologna Win 27.9%
Draw 8.7%
Inter Win 63.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna1.03
Inter1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bologna Bologna
WWDLW
12 GF / 18 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
28 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
2.15
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
6
BTTS Yes
9
5
Over 2.5
8
3.5
Shots on Goal
7.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bologna Bologna 12 matches
Inter Inter 13 matches
Bologna Statistic Inter
3 Wins 9
3 Draws 3
6 Losses 1
12 Goals For 28
18 Goals Against 14
1 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
6 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 0
3.5 Shots On Goal 7.14
12.83 Total Shots 22.29
4 Corners 6.43
50.7% Ball Possession 62.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Inter's more proactive style and Bologna's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Inter. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Inter look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bologna expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Inter in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Inter having the stronger overall control. Inter carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 13 points while Bologna sit 18 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bologna Analysis

Bologna sit 18 with 2 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 3:6 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Federico Bernardeschi (1 goals), Roberto Piccoli (1 goals), A. Dovbyk (1 goals), with creative support from Juan Miranda (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Inter Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 13 points from 5 games, Inter bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 15:8, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Lautaro Martínez (4 goals), Marcus Thuram (2 goals), Pio Esposito (2 goals), with creative support from Andy Diouf (3 assists), Marcus Thuram (2 assists), Pio Esposito (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bologna won 5 times, Inter won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:31 from Bologna's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Bologna 4-2-3-1 / Inter 3-5-2
H2H summary: Bologna wins 5, draws 4, Inter wins 6

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Inter Away
6 5 1 0 18:8 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 5 1 0 11:4 7 16
W W D W W
3 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
D D W W W
4 6 4 1 1 6:3 3 13
D W W W L
5 6 3 3 0 11:5 6 12
D W D D W
6 6 3 2 1 9:5 4 11
D W L D W
7 6 3 2 1 9:6 3 11
D L W W W
8 6 3 1 2 10:6 4 10
W D W L L
9 6 3 1 2 9:7 2 10
L W D W W
10 6 2 2 2 10:10 0 8
D L W D W
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 6 2 0 4 6:12 -6 6
L L W L L
13 6 1 2 3 5:7 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
15 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
16 6 1 1 4 9:15 -6 4
L W L D L
17 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
W L D L L
18 6 1 1 4 4:10 -6 4
L W L D L
19 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D W L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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