Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
89.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
85.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Bologna
Cagliari
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bologna
52 matches
Cagliari
37 matches
| Bologna | Statistic | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wins | 10 |
| 12 | Draws | 11 |
| 18 | Losses | 16 |
| 68 | Goals For | 42 |
| 64 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 4.48 | Shots On Goal | 3.32 |
| 14.35 | Total Shots | 10.3 |
| 5.37 | Corners | 3.65 |
| 54.6% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Bologna's more proactive style and Cagliari's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cagliari. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bologna expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cagliari in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cagliari having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Bologna sit 9 with 48 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 6 draws, and 14 defeats, and the 42:41 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on R. Orsolini (8 goals), S. Castro (7 goals), J. Odgaard (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Cambiaghi (4 assists), E. Holm (4 assists), B. Dominguez (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 36 points from 34 games and a place of 16, Cagliari still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 36:49, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Sebastiano Esposito (6 goals), Gennaro Borrelli (4 goals), Semih Kılıçsoy (4 goals), with creative support from Sebastiano Esposito (5 assists), M. Palestra (4 assists), G. Gaetano (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bologna won 8 times, Cagliari won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 21:15 from Bologna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Bologna
4
2
5
3
4
3
Lineups
Bologna
Inter
Bologna
Atalanta
Bologna
Napoli
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Juventus
Bologna
Aston Villa
Bologna
Lecce
Bologna
Aston Villa
Bologna
Cremonese
Bologna
Lazio
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Sassuolo
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Hellas Verona
Bologna
Pisa
Bologna
Brann
Bologna
Udinese
Bologna
Brann
Bologna
Torino
Bologna
Lazio
Cagliari
AC Milan
Cagliari
Torino
Cagliari
Udinese
Cagliari
Atalanta
Cagliari
Inter
Cagliari
Cremonese
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Napoli
Cagliari
Pisa
Cagliari
Como
Cagliari
Parma
Cagliari
Lazio
Cagliari
Lecce
Cagliari
AS Roma
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Juventus
Cagliari
Genoa
Cagliari
Cremonese
Cagliari
AC Milan
Bologna
Inter
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Lecce
Bologna
Aston Villa
Bologna
Lazio
Bologna
AS Roma
Bologna
Hellas Verona
Bologna
Brann
Bologna
Udinese
Bologna
Lazio
Bologna
Parma
Bologna
AC Milan
Bologna
Celtic
Bologna
Fiorentina
Bologna
Atalanta
Bologna
Sassuolo
Bologna
Inter
Bologna
Juventus
Bologna
Parma
Bologna
Cremonese
Cagliari
AC Milan
Cagliari
Inter
Cagliari
Sassuolo
Cagliari
Pisa
Cagliari
Parma
Cagliari
AS Roma
Cagliari
Fiorentina
Cagliari
Genoa
Cagliari
Cremonese
Cagliari
Torino
Cagliari
Atalanta
Cagliari
Napoli
Cagliari
Juventus
Cagliari
Como
Cagliari
Lazio
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
Cagliari
Udinese
Cagliari
Lecce
Cagliari
Napoli
Cagliari
Napoli
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Bologna
Home
|
38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 |
Cagliari
Away
|
38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|