ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Referee: M. Di Bello
Bologna
Match Timeline
AS Roma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
D. Malen · Assist: N. El Aynaoui
AS Roma
45'
N. El Aynaoui · Assist: D. Malen
AS Roma
🟨
46'
Mario Hermoso
AS Roma
🔄
46'
J. Miranda ↔ N. Zortea
Bologna
🔄
46'
S. Castro ↔ J. Odgaard
Bologna
🔄
46'
Z. Celik ↔ D. Rensch
AS Roma
🔄
61'
M. Soule ↔ R. Vaz
AS Roma
🔄
61'
M. Hermoso ↔ D. Ghilardi
AS Roma
🟨
66'
Devyne Rensch
AS Roma
🔄
66'
Joao Mario ↔ L. De Silvestri
Bologna
🟨
69'
Neil El Aynaoui
AS Roma
🔄
77'
R. Orsolini ↔ N. Cambiaghi
Bologna
🔄
77'
E. Fauske Helland ↔ M. Vitik
Bologna
🔄
77'
D. Malen ↔ P. Dybala
AS Roma
🔄
90+4'
N. Pisilli ↔ J. Ziolkowski
AS Roma

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Bologna Win 35.5%
Draw 25.6%
AS Roma Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna1.19
AS Roma1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bologna Bologna
WWDLW
68 GF / 62 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
65 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.98
26
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
18
4.53
Shots on Goal
4.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bologna Bologna 51 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 44 matches
Bologna Statistic AS Roma
22 Wins 23
12 Draws 6
17 Losses 15
68 Goals For 65
62 Goals Against 43
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.98
26 BTTS Yes 19
38 Over 1.5 30
24 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 17
13 Failed To Score 8
4.53 Shots On Goal 4.59
14.43 Total Shots 13.36
5.33 Corners 5.07
54.5% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bologna won 6 times, AS Roma won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Bologna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.4%)
Predicted formations: Bologna 3-4-2-1 / AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Bologna 5, AS Roma 4
H2H summary: Bologna wins 6, draws 4, AS Roma wins 5
Stats
Bologna Bologna
AS Roma AS Roma
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 7
10 Fouls 16
2 Offsides 3
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 2
4 Blocked Shots 3
7 Shots insidebox 4
3 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 2
522 Total passes 342
424 Passes accurate 250
0.50 expected_goals 2.13
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bologna
Formation
AS Roma
F. Ravaglia
F. Ravaglia
E. Fauske Helland
E. Fauske Helland
J. Lucumi
J. Lucumi
T. Heggem
T. Heggem
Joao Mario
Joao Mario
L. Ferguson
L. Ferguson
R. Freuler
R. Freuler
J. Miranda
J. Miranda
R. Orsolini
R. Orsolini
J. Rowe
J. Rowe
S. Castro
S. Castro
M. Svilar
M. Svilar
G. Mancini
G. Mancini
E. Ndicka
E. Ndicka
M. Hermoso
M. Hermoso
Z. Celik
Z. Celik
N. El Aynaoui
🎯
N. El Aynaoui
B. Cristante
B. Cristante
Wesley Franca
Wesley Franca
M. Soule
M. Soule
N. Pisilli
N. Pisilli
D. Malen
🎯
D. Malen
Bologna 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
13
F. Ravaglia
G
5
E. Fauske Helland
↓ 77'
D
26
J. Lucumi
D
14
T. Heggem
D
17
Joao Mario
↓ 66'
M
19
L. Ferguson
M
8
R. Freuler
M
33
J. Miranda
↓ 46'
M
7
R. Orsolini
↓ 77'
F
11
J. Rowe
F
9
S. Castro
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
25
M. Pessina
G
82
M. Franceschelli
G
29
L. De Silvestri
↑ 66'
D
6
N. Moro
M
20
N. Zortea
↑ 46'
D
28
N. Cambiaghi
↑ 77'
F
41
M. Vitik
↑ 77'
D
30
B. Dominguez
F
73
F. Castaldo
F
22
C. Lykogiannis
D
21
J. Odgaard
↑ 46'
F
4
T. Pobega
M
23
S. Sohm
M
AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
99
M. Svilar
G
23
G. Mancini
D
5
E. Ndicka
D
22
M. Hermoso
↓ 61' 🟨 46'
D
19
Z. Celik
↓ 46'
M
8
N. El Aynaoui
⚽ 45' 🎯 7' 🟨 69'
M
4
B. Cristante
M
43
Wesley Franca
M
18
M. Soule
↓ 61'
F
61
N. Pisilli
↓ 90+4'
F
14
D. Malen
⚽ 7' 🎯 45' ↓ 77'
F
Substitutes
70
G. De Marzi
G
95
P. Gollini
G
92
S. El Shaarawy
F
12
K. Tsimikas
D
97
B. Zaragoza
F
24
J. Ziolkowski
↑ 90+4'
D
78
R. Vaz
↑ 61'
F
21
P. Dybala
↑ 77'
F
3
Angelino
D
2
D. Rensch
↑ 46' 🟨 66'
D
87
D. Ghilardi
↑ 61'
D
20
L. Venturino
F
Last matches: Bologna
23.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Inter
3
3
D
17.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Atalanta
1
0
W
11.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Napoli
3
2
W
03.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Cagliari
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Juventus
0
2
L
16.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
0
4
L
12.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Lecce
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Cremonese
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Lazio
0
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
4
3
W
15.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Sassuolo
1
0
W
12.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Hellas Verona
1
2
L
02.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Pisa
1
0
W
26.02.26
UEF
Bologna
Brann
1
0
W
23.02.26
Ser
Bologna
Udinese
1
0
W
19.02.26
UEF
Bologna
Brann
1
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Bologna
Torino
2
1
W
11.02.26
Cop
Bologna
Lazio
1
1
D
Last matches: AS Roma
24.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lazio
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Parma
3
2
W
04.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Fiorentina
4
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Atalanta
1
1
D
10.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Pisa
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Inter
2
5
L
22.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lecce
1
0
W
19.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
3
4
L
15.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Como
1
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Genoa
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Juventus
3
3
D
22.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Cremonese
3
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Napoli
2
2
D
09.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Cagliari
2
0
W
02.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Udinese
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
AS Roma
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
25.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
AC Milan
1
1
D
22.01.26
UEF
AS Roma
VfB Stuttgart
2
0
W
H2H: Bologna vs AS Roma
25.04.26
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
0
2
L
19.03.26
H2H
AS Roma
Bologna
3
4
W
12.03.26
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
AS Roma
Bologna
1
0
L
12.01.25
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
2
2
D
10.11.24
H2H
AS Roma
Bologna
2
3
W
22.04.24
H2H
AS Roma
Bologna
1
3
W
17.12.23
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
2
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
0
0
D
04.01.23
H2H
AS Roma
Bologna
1
0
L
01.05.22
H2H
AS Roma
Bologna
0
0
D
01.12.21
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
0
W
11.04.21
H2H
AS Roma
Bologna
1
0
L
13.12.20
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
5
L
07.02.20
H2H
AS Roma
Bologna
2
3
W
Last matches: Bologna
23.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Inter
3
3
D
03.05.26
Ser
Bologna
Cagliari
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Bologna
Lecce
2
0
W
09.04.26
UEF
Bologna
Aston Villa
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Lazio
0
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
Bologna
Hellas Verona
1
2
L
26.02.26
UEF
Bologna
Brann
1
0
W
23.02.26
Ser
Bologna
Udinese
1
0
W
11.02.26
Cop
Bologna
Lazio
1
1
D
08.02.26
Ser
Bologna
Parma
0
1
L
03.02.26
Ser
Bologna
AC Milan
0
3
L
22.01.26
UEF
Bologna
Celtic
2
2
D
18.01.26
Ser
Bologna
Fiorentina
1
2
L
07.01.26
Ser
Bologna
Atalanta
0
2
L
28.12.25
Ser
Bologna
Sassuolo
1
1
D
19.12.25
Sup
Bologna
Inter
1
1
D
14.12.25
Ser
Bologna
Juventus
0
1
L
04.12.25
Cop
Bologna
Parma
2
1
W
01.12.25
Ser
Bologna
Cremonese
1
3
L
H2H at home: Bologna
25.04.26
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
0
2
L
12.03.26
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
12.01.25
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
2
2
D
17.12.23
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
2
0
W
14.05.23
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
0
0
D
01.12.21
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
0
W
13.12.20
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
5
L
Last matches: AS Roma
24.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
AS Roma
Parma
3
2
W
05.04.26
Ser
AS Roma
Inter
2
5
L
15.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Como
1
2
L
12.03.26
UEF
AS Roma
Bologna
1
1
D
08.03.26
Ser
AS Roma
Genoa
1
2
L
15.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Napoli
2
2
D
02.02.26
Ser
AS Roma
Udinese
0
1
L
29.01.26
UEF
AS Roma
Panathinaikos
1
1
D
18.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
Torino
2
0
W
06.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
Lecce
2
0
W
03.01.26
Ser
AS Roma
Atalanta
0
1
L
20.12.25
Ser
AS Roma
Juventus
1
2
L
11.12.25
UEF
AS Roma
Celtic
3
0
W
07.12.25
Ser
AS Roma
Cagliari
0
1
L
23.11.25
Ser
AS Roma
Cremonese
3
1
W
06.11.25
UEF
AS Roma
Rangers
2
0
W
02.11.25
Ser
AS Roma
AC Milan
0
1
L
26.10.25
Ser
AS Roma
Sassuolo
1
0
W
05.10.25
Ser
AS Roma
Fiorentina
2
1
W
H2H away: AS Roma
25.04.26
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
0
2
W
12.03.26
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
1
D
12.01.25
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
2
2
D
17.12.23
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
2
0
L
14.05.23
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
0
0
D
01.12.21
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
0
L
13.12.20
H2H
Bologna
AS Roma
1
5
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Bologna 5 missing
-
L. Skorupski
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
N. Casale
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
F. Bernardeschi
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
T. Dallinga
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
K. Bonifazi
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
AS Roma 4 missing
-
M. Kone
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
L. Pellegrini
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
A. Dovbyk
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
E. Ferguson
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT