ITALY SERIE A
25.04.2026 16:00
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Referee: M. Di Bello
Bologna
Match Timeline
AS Roma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
D. Malen · Assist: N. El Aynaoui
AS Roma
45'
N. El Aynaoui · Assist: D. Malen
AS Roma
🟨
46'
Mario Hermoso
AS Roma
🔄
46'
J. Miranda ↔ N. Zortea
Bologna
🔄
46'
S. Castro ↔ J. Odgaard
Bologna
🔄
46'
Z. Celik ↔ D. Rensch
AS Roma
🔄
61'
M. Soule ↔ R. Vaz
AS Roma
🔄
61'
M. Hermoso ↔ D. Ghilardi
AS Roma
🟨
66'
Devyne Rensch
AS Roma
🔄
66'
Joao Mario ↔ L. De Silvestri
Bologna
🟨
69'
Neil El Aynaoui
AS Roma
🔄
77'
R. Orsolini ↔ N. Cambiaghi
Bologna
🔄
77'
E. Fauske Helland ↔ M. Vitik
Bologna
🔄
77'
D. Malen ↔ P. Dybala
AS Roma
🔄
90+4'
N. Pisilli ↔ J. Ziolkowski
AS Roma

Bologna vs AS Roma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
76.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73.4%
-
Probability Distribution
Bologna Win 35.5%
Draw 25.6%
AS Roma Win 38.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bologna1.19
AS Roma1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bologna Bologna
WWDLW
68 GF / 62 GA
AS Roma AS Roma
WLDWL
65 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.98
26
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
18
4.53
Shots on Goal
4.59

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bologna Bologna 51 matches
AS Roma AS Roma 44 matches
Bologna Statistic AS Roma
22 Wins 23
12 Draws 6
17 Losses 15
68 Goals For 65
62 Goals Against 43
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.98
26 BTTS Yes 19
38 Over 1.5 30
24 Over 2.5 18
13 Over 3.5 7
14 Clean Sheets 17
13 Failed To Score 8
4.53 Shots On Goal 4.59
14.43 Total Shots 13.36
5.33 Corners 5.07
54.5% Ball Possession 55.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bologna won 6 times, AS Roma won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Bologna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.4%)
Predicted formations: Bologna 3-4-2-1 / AS Roma 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Bologna 5, AS Roma 4
H2H summary: Bologna wins 6, draws 4, AS Roma wins 5

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B