18.09.2026 00:30
Estadio Hernando Siles
Referee: J. C. Huanca

Bolívar vs Gualberto Villarroel SJ Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.1%
Odds 1.09
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.14
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.1%
1.09
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.14
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.5%
2.00
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.30
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Bolívar Win 85.1%
Draw 3.5%
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Win 11.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bolívar2.04
Gualberto Villarroel SJ1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bolívar Bolívar
WWDLW
57 GF / 29 GA
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ
WLDWL
25 GF / 40 GA
Key Stats
2.19
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
18
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
14
4.88
Shots on Goal
2.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bolívar Bolívar 26 matches
Gualberto Villarroel SJ Gualberto Villarroel SJ 22 matches
Bolívar Statistic Gualberto Villarroel SJ
14 Wins 3
6 Draws 9
6 Losses 10
57 Goals For 25
29 Goals Against 40
2.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
18 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 7
6 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 7
4.88 Shots On Goal 2.11
12.08 Total Shots 7.74
3.56 Corners 2.05
42% Ball Possession 26.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bolívar's more proactive style and Gualberto Villarroel SJ's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bolívar arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 39 points compared to Gualberto Villarroel SJ in 15 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Gualberto Villarroel SJ. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Bolívar come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bolívar Analysis

Bolívar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 39 points after 18 matches. With 12 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 48:19, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Cauteruccio (4 goals), D. Romero (4 goals), B. Arce (3 goals), with creative support from C. Melgar (5 assists), Patricio Rodríguez (2 assists), M. Cauteruccio (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Gualberto Villarroel SJ Analysis

Gualberto Villarroel SJ approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 14 points from 18 matches. Their record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 19:30, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Goyeneche (2 goals), A. Cáceres (1 goals), with creative support from Gonzalo Vaca (1 assists), M. Calero (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Bolívar won 6 times, Gualberto Villarroel SJ won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from Bolívar's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Bolívar 4-4-2 / Gualberto Villarroel SJ 4-4-2
H2H summary: Bolívar wins 6, draws 0, Gualberto Villarroel SJ wins 3

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 13 6 1 47:13 34 45
W W W D D
2 19 13 3 3 50:20 30 42
W W W W W
3 20 12 6 2 39:22 17 42
W W W W W
4 20 8 8 4 27:14 13 32
W W D L D
5 20 7 9 4 31:27 4 30
L W W D D
6 20 8 5 7 32:39 -7 29
W L D L D
7 20 6 9 5 30:22 8 27
D W L D D
8 19 8 3 8 34:27 7 27
L L D W W
9 20 8 3 9 30:28 2 27
L W W L W
10 19 7 4 8 26:32 -6 25
L L W L W
11 20 6 3 11 32:50 -18 21
L L W D L
12 20 6 2 12 31:45 -14 20
L L W L D
13 20 5 3 12 26:39 -13 18
D W L W L
14 19 5 2 12 18:39 -21 17
L L L L L
15 19 4 4 11 15:37 -22 16
L L W D W
16 19 2 8 9 19:33 -14 14
L L D D L