WORLD CONMEBOL LIBERTADORES
30.04.2026 22:00
Estadio Hernando Siles
Referee: D. Lopez
Bolívar
Match Timeline
Fluminense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Robson Matheus · Assist: J. Sagredo
Bolívar
🟨
21'
Rodrigo Castillo
Fluminense
🟨
29'
Facundo Bernal
Fluminense
🟨
48'
Facundo Bernal
Fluminense
🟥
48'
Facundo Bernal
Fluminense
🟨
57'
John García
Bolívar
🔄
57'
J. Garcia ↔ Pato Rodriguez
Bolívar
🔄
59'
J. Savarino ↔ Alisson
Fluminense
🔄
59'
R. Castillo ↔ John Kennedy
Fluminense
🔄
59'
K. Serna ↔ Y. Soteldo
Fluminense
61'
Robson Matheus · Assist: Pato Rodriguez
Bolívar
🔄
72'
B. Oyola ↔ J. Velasquez
Bolívar
🔄
72'
C. A. Melgar ↔ E. Saavedra
Bolívar
🟨
74'
Leonel Justiniano
Bolívar
🔄
79'
Robson Matheus ↔ E. Vaca Moreno
Bolívar
🔄
79'
A. Canobbio ↔ Guilherme Arana
Fluminense
VAR
90+7'
Yeferson Soteldo
Fluminense

Bolívar vs Fluminense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bolívar Win 17%
Draw 10.8%
Fluminense Win 72.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bolívar1.85
Fluminense1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bolívar Bolívar
WWDLW
16 GF / 7 GA
Fluminense Fluminense
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
2.29
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
4
BTTS Yes
11
3
Over 2.5
9
5.67
Shots on Goal
6.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bolívar Bolívar 7 matches
Fluminense Fluminense 15 matches
Bolívar Statistic Fluminense
3 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
2 Losses 4
16 Goals For 24
7 Goals Against 18
2.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
4 BTTS Yes 11
6 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 1
5.67 Shots On Goal 6.6
14 Total Shots 16.73
4.5 Corners 5.8
47.8% Ball Possession 61.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Bolívar won 1 times, Fluminense won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Bolívar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Bolívar 4-5-1 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bolívar wins 1, draws 0, Fluminense wins 1

Standings

Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 15:6 9 16
W W D W W
2 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
W W D L L
3 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
L L D W D
4 6 0 3 3 6:13 -7 3
L L D L D
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals