WORLD CONMEBOL LIBERTADORES
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Hernando Siles
Referee: D. Lopez
Bolívar
Match Timeline
Fluminense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
Robson Matheus · Assist: J. Sagredo
Bolívar
🟨
21'
Rodrigo Castillo
Fluminense
🟨
29'
Facundo Bernal
Fluminense
🟨
48'
Facundo Bernal
Fluminense
🟥
48'
Facundo Bernal
Fluminense
🟨
57'
John García
Bolívar
🔄
57'
J. Garcia ↔ Pato Rodriguez
Bolívar
🔄
59'
J. Savarino ↔ Alisson
Fluminense
🔄
59'
R. Castillo ↔ John Kennedy
Fluminense
🔄
59'
K. Serna ↔ Y. Soteldo
Fluminense
61'
Robson Matheus · Assist: Pato Rodriguez
Bolívar
🔄
72'
B. Oyola ↔ J. Velasquez
Bolívar
🔄
72'
C. A. Melgar ↔ E. Saavedra
Bolívar
🟨
74'
Leonel Justiniano
Bolívar
🔄
79'
Robson Matheus ↔ E. Vaca Moreno
Bolívar
🔄
79'
A. Canobbio ↔ Guilherme Arana
Fluminense
VAR
90+7'
Yeferson Soteldo
Fluminense

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
72.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bolívar Win 17%
Draw 10.8%
Fluminense Win 72.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bolívar0.88
Fluminense1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bolívar Bolívar
WWDLW
2 GF / 3 GA
Fluminense Fluminense
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
2
BTTS Yes
11
0
Over 2.5
9
4.5
Shots on Goal
6.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bolívar Bolívar 3 matches
Fluminense Fluminense 15 matches
Bolívar Statistic Fluminense
0 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
2 Goals For 24
3 Goals Against 18
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
2 BTTS Yes 11
2 Over 1.5 12
0 Over 2.5 9
0 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 1
4.5 Shots On Goal 6.6
16.5 Total Shots 16.73
8 Corners 5.8
67.5% Ball Possession 61.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Bolívar won 1 times, Fluminense won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Bolívar's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Bolívar 4-5-1 / Fluminense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bolívar wins 1, draws 0, Fluminense wins 1
Stats
Bolívar Bolívar
Fluminense Fluminense
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
0
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 1
15 Fouls 8
4 Offsides 1
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Goal 1
7 Shots off Goal 4
0 Blocked Shots 2
7 Shots insidebox 3
7 Shots outsidebox 3
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
457 Total passes 467
424 Passes accurate 424
0.63 expected_goals 0.18
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Bolívar
Formation
Fluminense
C. Lampe
C. Lampe
L. Paz
L. Paz
X. Arreaga
X. Arreaga
I. Gariglio
I. Gariglio
J. Sagredo
🎯
J. Sagredo
B. Oyola
B. Oyola
Robson Matheus
⚽ 2
Robson Matheus
L. Justiniano
L. Justiniano
C. A. Melgar
C. A. Melgar
J. Garcia
J. Garcia
D. Romero
D. Romero
Fabio
Fabio
Guga
Guga
Ignacio
Ignacio
J. Freytes
J. Freytes
Rene
Rene
Hercules
Hercules
F. Bernal
F. Bernal
A. Canobbio
A. Canobbio
J. Savarino
J. Savarino
K. Serna
K. Serna
R. Castillo
R. Castillo
Bolívar 4-5-1
Starting XI
1
C. Lampe
G
8
L. Paz
D
3
X. Arreaga
D
27
I. Gariglio
D
4
J. Sagredo
🎯 6'
D
11
B. Oyola
↓ 72'
M
14
Robson Matheus
⚽ 6' ⚽ 61' ↓ 79'
M
23
L. Justiniano
🟨 74'
M
80
C. A. Melgar
↓ 72'
M
19
J. Garcia
↓ 57' 🟨 57'
M
77
D. Romero
F
Substitutes
13
D. Mendez
G
17
Pato Rodriguez
🎯 61' ↑ 57'
F
7
J. Velasquez
↑ 72'
F
6
E. Vaca Moreno
↑ 79'
M
20
C. Sejas
9
M. Cauteruccio
F
5
S. Echeverria
D
26
E. Saavedra
↑ 72'
M
18
L. L. Chavez Cruz
M
35
E. Freita
D
33
F. Mena
D
2
J. Sagredo
🎯 6'
D
Fluminense 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Fabio
G
23
Guga
D
4
Ignacio
D
22
J. Freytes
D
6
Rene
D
35
Hercules
M
5
F. Bernal
🟨 29' 🟨 48' 🟥 48'
M
17
A. Canobbio
↓ 79'
M
11
J. Savarino
↓ 59'
M
90
K. Serna
↓ 59'
M
19
R. Castillo
↓ 59' 🟨 21'
F
Substitutes
98
Vitor Eudes
G
2
Samuel Xavier
D
25
Alisson
↑ 59'
M
3
Jemmes
D
21
Igor Rabello
D
9
John Kennedy
↑ 59'
F
46
Julio Fidelis
D
94
Otavio
M
7
Y. Soteldo
↑ 59'
F
13
Guilherme Arana
↑ 79'
D
29
J. Millan
D
28
Riquelme Felipe
F
Last matches: Bolívar
28.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
1
3
L
19.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Fluminense
1
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
15.04.26
CON
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
07.04.26
CON
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
L
25.01.26
Fri
Bolívar
Cienciano
1
1
D
Last matches: Fluminense
12.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Bahia
2
0
W
08.07.26
Fri
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
6
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
28.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
3
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
19.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vitoria
2
2
D
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
16.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Flamengo
1
2
L
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
02.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Corinthians
3
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
3
2
W
H2H: Bolívar vs Fluminense
19.05.26
H2H
Fluminense
Bolívar
2
1
L
30.04.26
H2H
Bolívar
Fluminense
2
0
W
Last matches: Bolívar
28.05.26
CON
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
1
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Bolívar
Deportivo La Guaira
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bolívar
30.04.26
H2H
Bolívar
Fluminense
2
0
W
Last matches: Fluminense
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Mirassol
0
1
L
07.05.26
CON
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Fluminense
Internacional
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Santos
3
2
W
07.04.26
CON
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense
Coritiba
1
1
D
19.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
2
3
L
12.03.26
Ser
Fluminense
Remo
2
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Palmeiras
1
2
L
05.02.26
Ser
Fluminense
Bahia
1
1
D
H2H away: Fluminense
30.04.26
H2H
Bolívar
Fluminense
2
0
L

Standings

Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 15:6 9 16
W W D W W
2 6 2 2 2 7:7 0 8
W W D L L
3 6 1 2 3 6:8 -2 5
L L D W D
4 6 0 3 3 6:13 -7 3
L L D L D
Copa Sudamericana 1/16-finals