IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Dalymount Park
Referee: R. Harvey
Bohemians
Match Timeline
St Patrick's Athl.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Harry Vaughan
Bohemians
🟨
33'
Patrick Hickey
Bohemians
39'
C. Whelan
Bohemians
🟨
44'
Patrick Hickey
Bohemians
🟥
44'
Patrick Hickey
Bohemians
🔄
46'
H. Vaughan ↔ C. Byrne
Bohemians
🔄
58'
C. Whelan ↔ D. Rooney
Bohemians
🔄
58'
M. Strods ↔ C. Parsons
Bohemians
🔄
64'
A. Breslin ↔ J. McClelland
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
64'
R. Edmondson ↔ A. Keena
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
68'
B. Baggley ↔ C. Forrester
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
76'
R. Palmer ↔ S. Power
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
76'
J. Brown ↔ S. Rooney
St Patrick's Athl.
🔄
83'
J. Flores ↔ N. Morahan
Bohemians
89'
R. Tierney
Bohemians
🟨
90+1'
Dayle Rooney
Bohemians
🔄
90+1'
R. Tierney ↔ A. McDonnell
Bohemians

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 40.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
40.2%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bohemians Win 31.4%
Draw 28.4%
St Patrick's Athl. Win 40.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bohemians1.33
St Patrick's Athl.1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bohemians Bohemians
WWDLW
49 GF / 34 GA
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
WLDWL
39 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.69
Average Goals Scored
1.7
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
20
BTTS Yes
9
18
Over 2.5
9
5.04
Shots on Goal
4.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bohemians Bohemians 29 matches
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. 23 matches
Bohemians Statistic St Patrick's Athl.
13 Wins 12
9 Draws 6
7 Losses 5
49 Goals For 39
34 Goals Against 18
1.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
20 BTTS Yes 9
22 Over 1.5 16
18 Over 2.5 9
11 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 9
4 Failed To Score 8
5.04 Shots On Goal 4.95
14.48 Total Shots 15.62
5.65 Corners 5.38
56% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring St Patrick's Athl.. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bohemians expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and St Patrick's Athl. in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St Patrick's Athl. having the stronger overall control.

Bohemians Analysis

Bohemians approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 34 points after 21 outings. They have recorded 9 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, with a 32:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on C. Whelan (7 goals), Patrick Hickey (4 goals), R. Tierney (4 goals), with creative support from M. Strods (4 assists), R. Tierney (3 assists), D. James-Taylor (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

St Patrick's Athl. Analysis

St Patrick's Athl. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 35 points from 20 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 33:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Edmondson (8 goals), K. Leavy (5 goals), Z. Elbouzedi (4 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (3 assists), Z. Elbouzedi (3 assists), Luke Turner (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 3 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:18 from Bohemians's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (71.6%)
Predicted formations: Bohemians 3-4-1-2 / St Patrick's Athl. 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bohemians wins 3, draws 7, St Patrick's Athl. wins 5

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 16 7 5 46:27 19 55
D W D W W
2 29 14 8 7 45:25 20 50
L W W D D
3 29 14 8 7 50:34 16 50
W W L D W
4 29 10 10 9 46:45 1 40
W L L D D
5 27 8 11 8 37:39 -2 35
D L L W D
6 29 7 13 9 41:40 1 34
D L W D L
7 28 8 10 10 36:42 -6 34
D W D D D
8 29 7 11 11 39:48 -9 32
W D W W D
9 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
L L D D D
10 29 5 8 16 23:48 -25 23
L D L D D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation