IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
19.06.2026 19:00
Dalymount Park
Referee: P. McLaughlin
Bohemians
Match Timeline
Dundalk
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
C. Byrne · Assist: D. Rooney
Bohemians
22'
D. Mullen · Assist: R. Teahan
Dundalk
🟨
31'
D. Devoy
Bohemians
🟨
33'
S. Tracey
Dundalk
🔄
46'
S. Tracey ↔ T. Wilson
Dundalk
🔄
62'
D. James-Taylor ↔ C. Whelan
Bohemians
🔄
62'
H. Vaughan ↔ N. Morahan
Bohemians
🔄
62'
S. Diallo ↔ C. Parsons
Bohemians
🔄
70'
D. Mullen ↔ G. Arubi
Dundalk
🔄
73'
C. Byrne ↔ J. Flores
Bohemians
🔄
73'
K. Buckley ↔ D. McDaid
Dundalk
🟨
76'
D. McDaid
Dundalk
77'
E. Kenny
Dundalk
🔄
78'
D. Rooney ↔ M. Strods
Bohemians
🔄
81'
D. Horgan ↔ H. Groome
Dundalk
🟨
86'
D. McDaid
Dundalk
🟥
86'
D. McDaid
Dundalk

Bohemians vs Dundalk Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.1%
-
BTTS Yes
88%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bohemians Win 39.3%
Draw 22.9%
Dundalk Win 37.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bohemians1.57
Dundalk1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bohemians Bohemians
WWDLW
45 GF / 32 GA
Dundalk Dundalk
WLDWL
38 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
19
BTTS Yes
15
16
Over 2.5
13
5.29
Shots on Goal
5.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bohemians Bohemians 27 matches
Dundalk Dundalk 22 matches
Bohemians Statistic Dundalk
12 Wins 9
9 Draws 8
6 Losses 5
45 Goals For 38
32 Goals Against 31
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
19 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 19
16 Over 2.5 13
11 Over 3.5 9
7 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 2
5.29 Shots On Goal 5.9
15.24 Total Shots 16.3
5.95 Corners 6.25
58.8% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bohemians come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundalk. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bohemians expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dundalk in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundalk having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Bohemians Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 34 points from 20 games, Bohemians bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 31:21, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Whelan (7 goals), Patrick Hickey (4 goals), R. Tierney (4 goals), with creative support from M. Strods (4 assists), D. James-Taylor (3 assists), D. Devoy (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Dundalk Analysis

Dundalk come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 29 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 31:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Horgan (6 goals), G. Arubi (6 goals), Declan McDaid (3 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (6 assists), G. Arubi (3 assists), E. Kenny (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 5 times, Dundalk won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Bohemians's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.1%)
Predicted formations: Bohemians 4-2-3-1 / Dundalk 5-4-1
H2H summary: Bohemians wins 5, draws 4, Dundalk wins 6

Standings

Premier Division
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 52:25 27 59
W W W L W
2 31 17 8 6 49:31 18 59
W L D D W
3 31 16 8 7 55:37 18 56
W W W W L
4 32 9 14 9 45:42 3 41
W D W D L
5 32 10 11 11 49:53 -4 41
L L D W L
6 31 9 12 10 41:44 -3 39
W L L D D
7 31 9 10 12 41:47 -6 37
L W L D W
8 32 7 13 12 44:54 -10 34
L D D W D
9 32 8 10 14 38:51 -13 34
L W W L L
10 32 5 8 19 24:54 -30 23
L L L L D
Play-offs
Qualifying
Relegation Play-offs
Relegation