Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Bohemians
Dundalk
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bohemians
27 matches
Dundalk
22 matches
| Bohemians | Statistic | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 5 |
| 45 | Goals For | 38 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.41 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 20 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.29 | Shots On Goal | 5.9 |
| 15.24 | Total Shots | 16.3 |
| 5.95 | Corners | 6.25 |
| 58.8% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bohemians come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dundalk. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bohemians expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Dundalk in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Dundalk having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Operating from 2 place with 34 points from 20 games, Bohemians bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 31:21, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through C. Whelan (7 goals), Patrick Hickey (4 goals), R. Tierney (4 goals), with creative support from M. Strods (4 assists), D. James-Taylor (3 assists), D. Devoy (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Dundalk come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 29 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 31:28 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Horgan (6 goals), G. Arubi (6 goals), Declan McDaid (3 goals), with creative support from D. Horgan (6 assists), G. Arubi (3 assists), E. Kenny (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 5 times, Dundalk won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:22 from Bohemians's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Lineups
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Galway United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Joseph S Fc
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Finglas United
Bohemians
Longford Town
Bohemians
Athlone Town
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
Drogheda United
Dundalk
Waterford
Dundalk
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
Bohemians
Dundalk
Galway United
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
Shamrock Rovers
Dundalk
Derry City
Dundalk
Shelbourne
Dundalk
UCD
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 50 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 |
Bohemians
Home
|
25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 43 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 42 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Dundalk
Away
|
24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38:36 | 2 | 35 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 5 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 32:31 | 1 | 29 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 27 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:41 | -12 | 25 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 20:40 | -20 | 20 |
L
L
D
L
L
|