Bohemians vs Drogheda United Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.3%
|
1.35 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
1.62 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91%
|
2.00 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.20 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bohemians
42 matches
Drogheda United
34 matches
| Bohemians | Statistic | Drogheda United |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 9 |
| 11 | Draws | 12 |
| 11 | Losses | 13 |
| 74 | Goals For | 42 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 52 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.53 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.76 | Shots On Goal | 3.32 |
| 14.26 | Total Shots | 10.19 |
| 5.35 | Corners | 3.97 |
| 52.5% | Ball Possession | 38.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bohemians's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Bohemians arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 50 points compared to Drogheda United in 9 on 28, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Drogheda United. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bohemians expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Drogheda United in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Drogheda United having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Bohemians approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 50 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 14 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a 50:34 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Douglas James-Taylor (5 goals), Ross Tierney (4 goals), Colm Whelan (4 goals), with creative support from Dawson Devoy (4 assists), Harry Vaughan (4 assists), Douglas James-Taylor (3 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, their record of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Drogheda United are currently 9 in the standings with 28 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 10 draws, and 13 losses with goals at 33:48 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mark Doyle (4 goals), Brandon Kavanagh (2 goals), Thomas Oluwa (2 goals), with creative support from Brandon Kavanagh (3 assists), Thomas Oluwa (1 assists), Edwin Agbaje (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 6 times, Drogheda United won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Bohemians's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 51:25 | 26 | 56 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 46:29 | 17 | 56 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Bohemians
Home
|
30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 53:36 | 17 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
| 4 | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 47:50 | -3 | 41 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 31 | 8 | 14 | 9 | 44:42 | 2 | 38 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 37 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 38:42 | -4 | 36 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 7 | 13 | 11 | 42:51 | -9 | 34 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 |
Drogheda United
Away
|
31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 37:49 | -12 | 34 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
| 10 | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 24:53 | -29 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
L
|