IRELAND PREMIER DIVISION
--.--.---- --:--
Dalymount Park
Referee: M. Lynch
Bohemians
Match Timeline
Drogheda United
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
46'
J. Bolger ↔ A. Quinn
Drogheda United
🟨
50'
Jordan Flores
Bohemians
🟨
54'
Brandon Kavanagh
Drogheda United
56'
D. Rooney · Assist: M. Strods
Bohemians
🟨
61'
Jago Godden
Drogheda United
🔄
65'
W. Davis ↔ K. Cruise
Drogheda United
🔄
65'
M. Doyle ↔ D. Kareem
Drogheda United
68'
P. Hickey · Assist: M. Strods
Bohemians
🔄
75'
C. Keeley ↔ L. Burney
Drogheda United
🔄
75'
B. Kavanagh ↔ S. McGrath
Drogheda United
🟨
77'
Dawson Devoy
Bohemians
🔄
83'
D. James-Taylor ↔ C. Whelan
Bohemians
86'
T. Oluwa · Assist: K. Cruise
Drogheda United
🔄
89'
S. Diallo ↔ N. Morahan
Bohemians
🟨
90+2'
Ross Tierney
Bohemians
🔄
90+3'
D. Rooney ↔ L. Kavanagh
Bohemians
🔄
90+3'
M. Strods ↔ Z. Myers
Bohemians

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 79.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 90.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
79.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
90.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bohemians Win 48.7%
Draw 20.3%
Drogheda United Win 31.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bohemians1.53
Drogheda United1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bohemians Bohemians
WWDLW
34 GF / 22 GA
Drogheda United Drogheda United
WLDWL
24 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.55
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
14
BTTS Yes
12
11
Over 2.5
9
5.38
Shots on Goal
3.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bohemians Bohemians 22 matches
Drogheda United Drogheda United 18 matches
Bohemians Statistic Drogheda United
9 Wins 6
9 Draws 6
4 Losses 6
34 Goals For 24
22 Goals Against 27
1.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
14 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 9
8 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 2
5.38 Shots On Goal 3.53
14.38 Total Shots 10
5.44 Corners 4.07
58.3% Ball Possession 38.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Bohemians's more proactive style and Drogheda United's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Drogheda United. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bohemians Analysis

Bohemians come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 25 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 21:15 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by C. Whelan (6 goals), M. Strods (2 goals), Patrick Hickey (2 goals), with creative support from D. James-Taylor (3 assists), C. Whelan (2 assists), M. Strods (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Drogheda United Analysis

Drogheda United are currently 6 in the standings with 19 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, while the 19:24 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Doyle (6 goals), Conor Keeley (3 goals), W. Davis (3 goals), with creative support from B. Kavanagh (2 assists), Conor Keeley (1 assists), J. Godden (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 6 times, Drogheda United won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:14 from Bohemians's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.7%)
Predicted formations: Bohemians 4-2-3-1 / Drogheda United 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bohemians wins 6, draws 4, Drogheda United wins 5
Stats
Bohemians Bohemians
Drogheda United Drogheda United
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
0
13 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 0
71% Ball Possession 29%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Goal 2
6 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 0
16 Shots insidebox 2
4 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 6
526 Total passes 227
430 Passes accurate 125
1.92 expected_goals 0.61
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bohemians
Formation
Drogheda United
K. Chorazka
K. Chorazka
D. Power
D. Power
C. Byrne
C. Byrne
P. Hickey
P. Hickey
J. Flores
J. Flores
S. Diallo
S. Diallo
D. Devoy
D. Devoy
R. Tierney
R. Tierney
M. Strods
🎯
M. Strods
D. Rooney
D. Rooney
D. James-Taylor
D. James-Taylor
F. Talley
F. Talley
E. Agbaje
E. Agbaje
C. Keeley
C. Keeley
J. Bolger
J. Bolger
C. Kane
C. Kane
S. Farrell
S. Farrell
J. Godden
J. Godden
W. Davis
W. Davis
B. Kavanagh
B. Kavanagh
T. Oluwa
T. Oluwa
M. Doyle
M. Doyle
Bohemians 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
K. Chorazka
G
16
D. Power
D
24
C. Byrne
12
P. Hickey
⚽ 68'
D
6
J. Flores
🟨 50'
D
5
S. Diallo
↓ 89'
M
10
D. Devoy
🟨 77'
M
26
R. Tierney
🟨 90+2'
M
32
M. Strods
🎯 56' 🎯 68' ↓ 90+3'
M
11
D. Rooney
⚽ 56' ↓ 90+3'
M
18
D. James-Taylor
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
25
P. Walters
G
9
C. Whelan
↑ 83'
F
4
N. Morahan
↑ 89'
M
20
L. Kavanagh
↑ 90+3'
D
23
Z. Myers
↑ 90+3'
D
17
A. McDonnell
M
7
C. Parsons
F
8
H. Vaughan
M
29
J. Harpur
F
Drogheda United 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
44
F. Talley
G
2
E. Agbaje
D
22
C. Keeley
↓ 75'
D
18
J. Bolger
↓ 46'
D
3
C. Kane
D
17
S. Farrell
M
6
J. Godden
🟨 61'
M
24
W. Davis
↓ 65'
M
10
B. Kavanagh
↓ 75' 🟨 54'
M
11
T. Oluwa
⚽ 86'
M
14
M. Doyle
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
1
L. Dennison
G
19
R. Brennan
M
5
L. Burney
↑ 75'
D
4
A. Quinn
↑ 46'
D
31
K. Cruise
🎯 86' ↑ 65'
D
15
D. Kareem
↑ 65'
F
29
J. Brennan
M
30
C. O'Connor
M
33
S. McGrath
↑ 75'
M
Last matches: Bohemians
12.06.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
4
L
29.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
3
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
22.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
4
2
W
08.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
3
1
W
04.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
17.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
10.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
3
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
08.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
Last matches: Drogheda United
12.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
29.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
18.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
1
0
W
04.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
0
W
24.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
4
3
W
17.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
3
L
06.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
2
3
L
03.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
07.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
2
0
W
06.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
3
1
W
H2H: Bohemians vs Drogheda United
15.05.26
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
W
03.04.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
09.01.26
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
4
W
01.08.25
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
L
23.05.25
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
0
L
03.03.25
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
L
20.09.24
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
L
02.08.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
2
2
D
19.04.24
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
1
0
W
04.03.24
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
2
1
L
22.09.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
0
D
15.09.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
1
3
W
04.08.23
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
4
2
W
21.04.23
H2H
Drogheda United
Bohemians
0
2
W
Last matches: Bohemians
25.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
01.05.26
Pre
Bohemians
Derry City
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Bohemians
Waterford
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Dundalk
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pre
Bohemians
Galway United
1
0
W
27.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
3
2
W
08.02.26
Pre
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
24.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Shelbourne
2
2
D
18.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Finglas United
0
1
L
16.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Longford Town
2
1
W
16.01.26
Fri
Bohemians
Athlone Town
4
1
W
H2H at home: Bohemians
15.05.26
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
W
01.08.25
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
L
03.03.25
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
L
20.09.24
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
L
19.04.24
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
1
0
W
04.08.23
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
4
2
W
Last matches: Drogheda United
12.06.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Waterford
1
2
L
04.05.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shamrock Rovers
1
4
L
24.04.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Shelbourne
4
3
W
20.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Derry City
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
07.03.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Sligo Rovers
1
2
L
20.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Dundalk
1
1
D
06.02.26
Pre
Drogheda United
Galway United
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Drogheda United
Bray Wanderers
3
1
W
H2H away: Drogheda United
15.05.26
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
2
1
L
01.08.25
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
W
03.03.25
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
W
20.09.24
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
0
1
W
19.04.24
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
1
0
L
04.08.23
H2H
Bohemians
Drogheda United
4
2
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 12 4 5 32:19 13 40
L W W L L
2 20 10 5 5 33:17 16 35
W L D L W
3 21 9 7 5 32:25 7 34
L W L W W
4 20 8 8 4 32:28 4 32
W W D W L
5 20 7 8 5 29:27 2 29
W D D W W
6 21 5 10 6 26:24 2 25
W L D D D
7 19 5 6 8 26:30 -4 21
L D L W L
8 20 5 6 9 25:34 -9 21
L D D L L
9 20 5 4 11 15:31 -16 19
L L W L D
10 20 2 8 10 25:40 -15 14
W D L W D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1