Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
78.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
22.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Bohemians
Derry City
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Bohemians
19 matches
Derry City
15 matches
| Bohemians | Statistic | Derry City |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 4 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 6 |
| 28 | Goals For | 18 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.2 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.27 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.46 | Shots On Goal | 4.85 |
| 15.38 | Total Shots | 13.15 |
| 6.08 | Corners | 5.85 |
| 58.6% | Ball Possession | 52.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Derry City. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Bohemians have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bohemians expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Derry City in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Derry City having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 20 points from 13 games and a place of 4, Bohemians still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 15:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on C. Whelan (6 goals), Patrick Hickey (2 goals), C. Parsons (1 goals), with creative support from M. Strods (2 assists), C. Whelan (1 assists), D. Rooney (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 17 points from 13 outings, Derry City continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 17:16 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Duffy (5 goals), D. Akinyemi (3 goals), James Clarke (3 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), J. McClean (2 assists), M. Duffy (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bohemians won 4 times, Derry City won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Bohemians's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Bohemians
3
2
3
5
4
5
Lineups
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Derry City
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Waterford
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Polessya
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
Drogheda United
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Sligo Rovers
Bohemians
Waterford
Bohemians
Dundalk
Bohemians
Galway United
Bohemians
Shamrock Rovers
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
Shelbourne
Bohemians
Finglas United
Bohemians
Longford Town
Bohemians
Athlone Town
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Polessya
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 31:17 | 14 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 2 |
Bohemians
Home
|
20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 34 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 31:17 | 14 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 31:28 | 3 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 27:26 | 1 | 26 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Away
|
20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 22 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
| 7 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25:32 | -7 | 21 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 15:27 | -12 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 21:40 | -19 | 11 |
D
L
W
D
L
|