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24.10.2026 20:30
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Bogota FC
Match Timeline
Real Santander
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
13'
J. Arango
Bogota FC
🔄
29'
Rueda Juan ↔ L. Rangel
Real Santander
🟨
33'
L. Rangel
Real Santander
🟨
34'
J. Carrasco
Real Santander
🟨
43'
A. Ariza
Real Santander
⚽
45+1'
K. Aladesanmi · Assist: K. Aladesanmi
Bogota FC
🔄
58'
K. Aladesanmi ↔ N. Segura
Bogota FC
🟨
60'
H. Ramos Jaramillo
Bogota FC
🔄
60'
↔ A. Segura
Real Santander
🔄
60'
J. P. Garcia Habib ↔ J. Ayala
Real Santander
🔄
61'
E. E. Chacon Bonilla ↔ J. D. Guillen Sanchez
Real Santander
🔄
69'
H. Ramos Jaramillo ↔ D. Estupinan
Bogota FC
🔄
77'
J. Velasco ↔ F. Moreno
Bogota FC
🔄
79'
J. Carrasco ↔ J. Delgado
Real Santander
🟨
85'
J. Perez
Bogota FC
🟨
90+1'
Real Santander
Real Santander
⚽
90'
J. Delgado
Real Santander
⚽
90'
A. Ariza
Bogota FC

Bogota FC vs Real Santander Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bogota FC Win 50%
Draw 17.9%
Real Santander Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bogota FC1.07
Real Santander0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bogota FC Bogota FC
W D D D L
4 GF / 4 GA
Real Santander Real Santander
W D W L D
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
15
BTTS Yes
16
10
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bogota FC Bogota FC 36 matches
Real Santander Real Santander 29 matches
Bogota FC Statistic Real Santander
10 Wins 5
13 Draws 11
13 Losses 13
29 Goals For 25
37 Goals Against 42
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 0.86
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
15 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 21
10 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 5
16 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Bogota FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 40 points compared to Real Santander in 16 on 23, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Real Santander. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Real Santander having the stronger overall control.

Bogota FC Analysis

Bogota FC are currently 8 in the standings with 40 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 13 draws, and 12 losses with goals at 28:35 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Real Santander Analysis

Real Santander sit 16 with 23 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 11 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 24:42, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bogota FC won 6 times, Real Santander won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:23 from Bogota FC's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
H2H summary: Bogota FC wins 6, draws 1, Real Santander wins 7

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 20 10 9 43:30 13 70
L W W W W
2 41 18 14 9 54:35 19 68
L D W W W
3 39 17 13 9 53:37 16 64
D D D W W
4 40 16 14 10 62:46 16 62
L D D W D
5 36 17 10 9 43:33 10 61
L L D D L
6 39 13 14 12 37:31 6 53
W D D L D
7 33 12 12 9 36:30 6 48
D L L L W
8 36 10 14 12 30:36 -6 44
D W D D D
9 32 10 12 10 34:32 2 42
D L W D D
10 33 10 11 12 41:43 -2 41
W W D W L
11 36 10 10 16 44:48 -4 40
D L D W D
12 30 9 8 13 30:40 -10 35
L L L D L
13 30 8 10 12 24:31 -7 34
W L D W L
14 30 6 9 15 28:44 -16 27
L L W D L
15 30 5 12 13 26:43 -17 27
D W D W L
16 30 5 9 16 20:46 -26 24
L L W D D
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)