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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA B
11.10.2026 01:15
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
Bogota FC
Match Timeline
Patriotas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🟨
16'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🟨
89'
Bogota FC
Bogota FC
🟨
89'
Patriotas
Patriotas
🟨
89'
Patriotas
Patriotas

Bogota FC vs Patriotas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bogota FC Win 58.2%
Draw 12.6%
Patriotas Win 29.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bogota FC1.03
Patriotas1.14
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bogota FC Bogota FC
WWDLW
28 GF / 37 GA
Patriotas Patriotas
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
15
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bogota FC Bogota FC 33 matches
Patriotas Patriotas 26 matches
Bogota FC Statistic Patriotas
9 Wins 9
11 Draws 7
13 Losses 10
28 Goals For 30
37 Goals Against 34
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
15 BTTS Yes 14
22 Over 1.5 18
10 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 8
14 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Patriotas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Patriotas. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Patriotas having the stronger overall control.

Bogota FC Analysis

So far, Bogota FC have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 38 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 28:35 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Patriotas Analysis

With 34 points from 26 games and a place of 10, Patriotas still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats with a 30:34 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Bogota FC won 1 times, Patriotas won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Bogota FC's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.4%)
H2H summary: Bogota FC wins 1, draws 1, Patriotas wins 3

Standings

Primera B: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 32 17 8 7 40:28 12 59
L W W W L
2 32 16 9 7 33:21 12 57
W W L L D
3 34 15 11 8 46:31 15 56
D D W D D
4 35 15 11 9 55:41 14 56
D L D D L
5 32 15 8 9 45:31 14 53
D W D W L
6 33 12 10 11 33:27 6 46
D W D W D
7 27 11 10 6 29:21 8 43
D W W L W
8 32 9 11 12 28:35 -7 38
D L W D L
9 27 9 9 9 33:30 3 36
L W W W W
10 32 9 8 15 37:43 -6 35
D L L L L
11 26 9 7 10 30:34 -4 34
L L L W W
12 26 7 10 9 33:34 -1 31
D W W W W
13 26 6 9 11 20:28 -8 27
L D L D L
14 27 5 9 13 27:42 -15 24
D L L L W
15 27 4 10 13 23:41 -18 22
W L D D L
16 26 4 8 14 16:41 -25 20
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)