NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: U. Aslam
Bodo/Glimt
Match Timeline
Lillestrom
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
17'
O. Blomberg
Bodo/Glimt
25'
S. Fet
Bodo/Glimt
63'
J. Hauge · Assist: S. Auklend
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
67'
Y. Paintsil ↔ L. Alperud
Lillestrom
🔄
67'
T. Olsen ↔ M. Karlsbakk
Lillestrom
🔄
67'
P. Berg ↔ J. Kitolano
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
67'
Y. Ibrahimaj ↔ F. Gulbrandsen
Lillestrom
🔄
67'
J. Hauge ↔ A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
🟨
70'
G. Nyheim
Lillestrom
77'
M. Karlsbakk
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
78'
K. Krygard ↔ H. Woxen
Lillestrom
🔄
79'
O. Blomberg ↔ M. Bro Hansen
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
79'
O. Brynhildsen ↔ I. Maatta
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
84'
F. Bjorkan ↔ M. Riisnaes
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
84'
F. Elkaer ↔ S. Ottesen
Lillestrom
🟨
88'
S. Kristiansen
Lillestrom

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bodo/Glimt Win 73%
Draw 3.7%
Lillestrom Win 23.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodo/Glimt2.24
Lillestrom1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDLW
53 GF / 13 GA
Lillestrom Lillestrom
WLDWL
52 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
2.79
Average Goals Scored
1.93
0.68
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
6
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
16
6.67
Shots on Goal
4.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 19 matches
Lillestrom Lillestrom 27 matches
Bodo/Glimt Statistic Lillestrom
15 Wins 12
2 Draws 4
2 Losses 11
53 Goals For 52
13 Goals Against 38
2.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
0.68 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
6 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 21
14 Over 2.5 16
10 Over 3.5 12
11 Clean Sheets 7
2 Failed To Score 7
6.67 Shots On Goal 4.31
17 Total Shots 12.85
7.4 Corners 5.08
65.6% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bodo/Glimt expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Lillestrom in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lillestrom having the stronger overall control. Bodo/Glimt come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lillestrom.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Bodo/Glimt approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 32 points after 14 outings. The return of 10 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 34:11, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Kasper Høgh (7 goals), Håkon Evjen (5 goals), Andreas Helmersen (5 goals), with creative support from Kasper Høgh (4 assists), Ole Didrik Blomberg (3 assists), Fredrik Sjøvold (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Lillestrom Analysis

With 25 points from 14 games and a place of 4, Lillestrom still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 22:14, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Markus Karlsbakk (4 goals), Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim (4 goals), Felix Vá (2 goals), with creative support from Felix Vá (5 assists), Ylldren Ibrahimaj (2 assists), Lars Ranger (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 11 times, Lillestrom won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 39:12 from Bodo/Glimt's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.64 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.3%)
Predicted formations: Bodo/Glimt 4-4-2 / Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
Missing players: Bodo/Glimt 5, Lillestrom 3
H2H summary: Bodo/Glimt wins 11, draws 1, Lillestrom wins 2
Stats
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom Lillestrom
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
10 Corner Kicks 2
11 Fouls 16
1 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 4
1 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 5
2 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
613 Total passes 449
545 Passes accurate 374
2.26 expected_goals 0.40
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bodo/Glimt
Formation
Lillestrom
Nikita Haikin
Nikita Haikin
Fredrik Sjøvold
Fredrik Sjøvold
Odin Luras Bjørtuft
Odin Luras Bjørtuft
Haitam Aleesami
Haitam Aleesami
Fredrik André Bjørkan
Fredrik André Bjørkan
Sondre Auklend
🎯
Sondre Auklend
Patrick Berg
Patrick Berg
Sondre Fet
Sondre Fet
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ole Didrik Blomberg
Ola Brynhildsen
Ola Brynhildsen
Jens Petter Hauge
Jens Petter Hauge
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen
Stian Kristiansen
Stian Kristiansen
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil
Kevin Martin Krygard
Kevin Martin Krygard
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
Felix Vá
Felix Vá
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Bodo/Glimt 4-3-3
Starting XI
12
Nikita Haikin
G
20
Fredrik Sjøvold
D
4
Odin Luras Bjørtuft
D
5
Haitam Aleesami
D
15
Fredrik André Bjørkan
↓ 84'
D
8
Sondre Auklend
🎯 63'
M
7
Patrick Berg
↓ 67'
M
19
Sondre Fet
⚽ 25'
M
11
Ole Didrik Blomberg
⚽ 17' ↓ 79'
F
17
Ola Brynhildsen
↓ 79'
F
10
Jens Petter Hauge
⚽ 63' ↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
16
Joshua Kitolano
↑ 67'
M
21
Andreas Helmersen
↑ 67'
F
25
Isak Dybvik Määttä
↑ 79'
D
77
Mikkel Bro Hansen
↑ 79'
F
23
Magnus Riisnæs
↑ 84'
M
1
Julian Lund
G
6
Jostein Gundersen
D
2
Villads Nielsen
D
32
Kasper Solhaug
M
Lillestrom 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
12
Pontus Dahlberg
G
2
Lars Ranger
D
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
D
47
Stian Kristiansen
🟨 88'
D
11
Frederik Elkær
↓ 84'
D
29
Ylldren Ibrahimaj
↓ 67'
M
26
Yaw Paintsil
↓ 67'
M
18
Kevin Martin Krygard
↓ 78'
M
14
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim
🟨 70'
M
20
Felix Vá
M
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
8
Markus Karlsbakk
⚽ 77' ↑ 67'
M
7
Karl Linus Alperud
↑ 67'
M
77
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
↑ 67'
F
6
Harald Woxen
↑ 78'
M
3
Sturla Ottesen
↑ 84'
D
1
Stephan Hagerup
G
5
Sander Moen Foss
D
15
Gustav Nordh
F
9
Kparobo Arierhi
F
Last matches: Bodo/Glimt
19.08.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
3
1
W
11.08.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
08.08.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Valerenga
2
1
W
04.08.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Union St. Gilloise
3
3
D
26.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Sandefjord
3
0
W
22.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam
3
0
W
17.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad
1
0
W
12.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
KFUM Oslo
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bodo/Glimt
Start
4
0
W
28.06.26
Fri
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Rosenborg
2
2
D
24.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Brann
3
1
W
20.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Start
4
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
5
0
W
04.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
0
1
L
30.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Start
5
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
0
W
18.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
3
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
1
D
11.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Viking
0
5
L
Last matches: Lillestrom
15.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
09.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
22.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Viking
1
2
L
18.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
2
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
03.07.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3
1
W
26.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Degerfors IF
2
3
L
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
20.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Kristiansund BK
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sandefjord
3
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
03.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
4
0
W
26.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Start
3
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
H2H: Bodo/Glimt vs Lillestrom
31.07.26
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
0
W
26.04.26
H2H
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
2
W
22.03.26
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
5
2
W
01.05.24
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
4
L
14.04.24
H2H
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
W
30.10.23
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
3
1
W
07.05.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
1
2
W
26.04.23
H2H
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
1
0
L
01.10.22
H2H
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
1
4
W
08.05.22
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
1
1
D
20.03.22
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
1
W
28.11.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
0
D
21.11.21
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
0
W
15.08.21
H2H
Lillestrom
Bodo/Glimt
0
1
W
Last matches: Bodo/Glimt
11.08.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
22.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Ham-Kam
3
0
W
17.07.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Fredrikstad
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Bodo/Glimt
Start
4
0
W
24.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Brann
3
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Tromso
5
0
W
04.05.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Molde
0
1
L
30.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Start
5
0
W
18.04.26
Eli
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
3
0
W
11.03.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Sporting CP
3
0
W
18.02.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Inter
3
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Manchester City
3
1
W
13.01.26
Fri
Bodo/Glimt
Diosgyori VTK
4
1
W
25.11.25
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Juventus
2
3
L
04.11.25
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Monaco
0
1
L
30.09.25
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Tottenham
2
2
D
20.08.25
UEF
Bodo/Glimt
Sturm Graz
5
0
W
H2H at home: Bodo/Glimt
31.07.26
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
0
W
22.03.26
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
0
W
01.12.24
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
5
2
W
01.05.24
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
4
L
30.10.23
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
3
1
W
08.05.22
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
1
1
D
20.03.22
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
1
W
21.11.21
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
0
W
Last matches: Lillestrom
15.08.26
Eli
Lillestrom
KFUM Oslo
1
1
D
11.07.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
2
0
W
20.06.26
Fri
Lillestrom
FC Midtjylland
0
1
L
25.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Ham-Kam
0
2
L
10.05.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Rosenborg
0
2
L
19.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Valerenga
2
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
06.04.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Molde
1
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Orgryte IS
0
1
L
15.03.26
Eli
Lillestrom
Aalesund
3
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Lillestrom
Tromso
0
0
D
H2H away: Lillestrom
31.07.26
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
0
L
22.03.26
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
0
L
01.12.24
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
5
2
L
01.05.24
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
4
W
30.10.23
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
3
1
L
08.05.22
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
1
1
D
20.03.22
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
4
1
L
21.11.21
H2H
Bodo/Glimt
Lillestrom
2
0
L

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 13 2 2 43:12 31 41
W W W W W
2 17 13 1 3 40:17 23 40
L W W D W
3 17 10 4 3 34:20 14 34
L W W W D
4 17 8 3 6 32:26 6 27
W L D W L
5 17 8 2 7 23:21 2 26
D L L L W
6 17 8 1 8 36:27 9 25
W W L W W
7 17 7 3 7 25:22 3 24
W W L W W
8 17 7 2 8 18:27 -9 23
W W W L L
9 17 6 4 7 20:23 -3 22
L L D W D
10 17 6 4 7 24:30 -6 22
L D W L L
11 17 6 3 8 28:34 -6 21
D L L W W
12 17 5 4 8 19:27 -8 19
D W W L L
13 17 5 3 9 15:23 -8 18
W L L L L
14 17 4 3 10 15:27 -12 15
L W L L D
15 17 2 9 6 27:41 -14 15
D D L D L
16 17 2 4 11 16:38 -22 10
L L W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Bodo/Glimt 5 missing
-
I. Sjong
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
H. Evjen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
U. Saltnes
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
D. Bassi
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
A. Mikkelsen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
Lillestrom 3 missing
-
E. B. Garnas
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
E. Kitolano
Questionable Broken Leg
OUT
-
C. Jebara
Questionable Injury
OUT