NORWAY ELITESERIEN
18.04.2026 12:00
Aspmyra Stadion
Referee: U. Aslam
Bodo/Glimt
Match Timeline
Aalesund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
23'
A. Klynge
Bodo/Glimt
🟨
52'
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson
Aalesund
🔄
65'
A. Klynge ↔ F. Bjorkan
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
65'
O. Blomberg ↔ S. Auklend
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
65'
M. Andresen ↔ J. Orsahl
Aalesund
🔄
65'
K. Nesso ↔ U. Charles
Aalesund
🔄
65'
D. Johannsson ↔ M. Christensen
Aalesund
71'
F. Sjovold
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
72'
E. Osenbroch ↔ H. Melland
Aalesund
🔄
79'
J. Hauge ↔ D. Bassi
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
79'
K. Hogh ↔ A. Helmersen
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
83'
H. Evjen ↔ S. Fet
Bodo/Glimt
🔄
87'
K. Lonebu ↔ E. Myrlid
Aalesund
89'
E. Engqvist
Bodo/Glimt

Bodo/Glimt vs Aalesund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 70.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 67.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
70.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
67.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Bodo/Glimt Win 88.6%
Draw 0%
Aalesund Win 11.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodo/Glimt2.24
Aalesund1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDLW
12 GF / 7 GA
Aalesund Aalesund
WLDWL
20 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
2
2
BTTS Yes
8
4
Over 2.5
7
4.33
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 5 matches
Aalesund Aalesund 11 matches
Bodo/Glimt Statistic Aalesund
3 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 6
12 Goals For 20
7 Goals Against 22
2.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 2
2 BTTS Yes 8
5 Over 1.5 10
4 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
4.33 Shots On Goal 5
12 Total Shots 13.5
6.33 Corners 4
72% Ball Possession 46%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aalesund. Bodo/Glimt arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 4 points compared to Aalesund in 15 on 2, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Bodo/Glimt expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Aalesund in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aalesund having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Bodo/Glimt Analysis

Bodo/Glimt sit 10 with 4 points after 3 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, while the 0:0 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on F. Bjorkan (1 goals), F. Sjovold (1 goals), O. Blomberg (1 goals), with creative support from K. Hogh (2 assists), O. Blomberg (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with O. Brynhildsen, M. Riisnaes, U. Saltnes unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund sit 15 with 2 points after 4 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 2:4 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on K. Lonebu (3 goals), H. Melland (2 goals), I. Djantou (1 goals), with creative support from J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), H. Hammer (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with P. Ngongo, M. Kristensen, J. Seehusen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Bodo/Glimt won 8 times, Aalesund won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:6 from Bodo/Glimt's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.83 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Bodo/Glimt 4-1-3-2 / Aalesund 5-3-2
Missing players: Bodo/Glimt 3, Aalesund 3
H2H summary: Bodo/Glimt wins 8, draws 1, Aalesund wins 3

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 14 2 2 47:14 33 44
W W W W W
2 18 14 1 3 42:18 24 43
W L W W D
3 18 10 5 3 34:20 14 35
D L W W W
4 18 9 3 6 36:29 7 30
W W L D W
5 18 8 2 8 36:27 9 26
D W W L W
6 18 8 2 8 24:25 -1 26
L D L L L
7 18 8 2 8 22:28 -6 26
W W W W L
8 18 7 3 8 27:26 1 24
L W W L W
9 18 6 5 7 20:23 -3 23
D L L D W
10 18 6 5 7 26:32 -6 23
D L D W L
11 18 6 3 9 31:38 -7 21
L D L L W
12 18 5 4 9 15:23 -8 19
D W L L L
13 18 5 4 9 20:31 -11 19
L D W W L
14 18 4 4 10 17:29 -12 16
D L W L L
15 18 2 9 7 28:43 -15 15
L D D L D
16 18 3 4 11 20:39 -19 13
W L L W L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen