Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Boca Juniors Win 0%
Draw 0%
Velez Sarsfield Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boca Juniors1.08
Velez Sarsfield1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boca Juniors
WWDLW
35 GF / 18 GA
Velez Sarsfield
WLDWL
24 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.26
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
11
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
5
4.78
Shots on Goal
4.06
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Boca Juniors
27 matches
Velez Sarsfield
19 matches
| Boca Juniors | Statistic | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 3 |
| 35 | Goals For | 24 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.74 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 13 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.78 | Shots On Goal | 4.06 |
| 13.39 | Total Shots | 12.41 |
| 5.22 | Corners | 4.41 |
| 58.7% | Ball Possession | 55.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors won 7 times, Velez Sarsfield won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:13 from Boca Juniors's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.92 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Boca Juniors 4-4-2 / Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Boca Juniors wins 7, draws 2, Velez Sarsfield wins 4
Last matches: Boca Juniors
09.07.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
29.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3
L
06.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
0
1
L
23.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Defensa Y Justicia
4
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
River Plate
1
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
08.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Talleres Cordoba
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
16.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Union Santa Fe
1
1
D
11.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
05.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Lanus
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
25.02.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Racing Club
0
0
D
Last matches: Velez Sarsfield
11.05.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia L.P.
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Newells Old Boys
1
1
D
01.05.26
Cop
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia Y Tiro
2
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
2
2
D
20.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
14.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
1
0
W
07.04.26
Cop
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Armenio
4
1
W
03.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
2
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Lanus
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Platense
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
25.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Deportivo Riestra
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
09.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
1
1
D
27.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Talleres Cordoba
2
1
W
23.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
06.09.25
Sup
Velez Sarsfield
Central Cordoba de Santiago
2
0
W
H2H: Boca Juniors vs Velez Sarsfield
09.02.26
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
2
1
L
28.11.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
3
4
L
14.06.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
26.02.23
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
1
2
W
02.10.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
24.10.21
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
2
0
L
08.03.21
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
1
7
W
29.04.20
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
10.11.19
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
0
0
D
02.09.18
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
3
0
W
23.09.17
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
0
4
W
09.04.17
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
1
3
W
01.06.15
H2H
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
2
0
L
Last matches: Boca Juniors
09.07.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
29.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
U. Catolica
0
1
L
20.05.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
09.05.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Huracan
2
3
L
15.04.26
CON
Boca Juniors
Barcelona SC
3
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Independiente
1
1
D
22.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Instituto Cordoba
2
0
W
11.03.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
San Lorenzo
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia M.
1
1
D
25.02.26
Cop
Boca Juniors
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Racing Club
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Platense
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Newells Old Boys
2
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Boca Juniors
Deportivo Riestra
1
0
W
19.01.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Olimpia
2
1
W
14.01.26
Fri
Boca Juniors
Millonarios
0
0
D
H2H at home: Boca Juniors
28.11.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
3
4
L
14.06.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
02.10.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
W
29.04.20
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
02.09.18
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
3
0
W
Last matches: Velez Sarsfield
20.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
San Lorenzo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Gimnasia M.
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Platense
2
0
W
10.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Tigre
1
1
D
02.03.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Estudiantes L.P.
1
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
31.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Independiente
1
1
D
23.01.26
Lig
Velez Sarsfield
Instituto Cordoba
1
0
W
H2H away: Velez Sarsfield
28.11.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
3
4
W
14.06.24
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
L
02.10.22
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
1
0
L
29.04.20
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
0
0
D
02.09.18
H2H
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
3
0
L
Standings
Apertura - Group A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Boca Juniors
Home
|
16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 3 |
Velez Sarsfield
Away
|
16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
| 4 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
Knockout Phase