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01.11.2026 18:00
Alberto J. Armando
Referee: Nicolas Ramirez
Boca Juniors
Match Timeline
River Plate
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
8'
Lucas Martinez Quarta
River Plate
🟥
10'
Lucas Martinez Quarta
River Plate
🔄
13'
Lucas Beltran ↔ Lautaro Rivero
River Plate
🟨
20'
Lautaro Di Lollo
Boca Juniors
⚽
27'
Lautaro Di Lollo · Assist: Sebastián Villa
Boca Juniors
🟨
43'
Facundo Ezequiel Herrera
Boca Juniors
🟨
45+4'
Marcos Acuña
River Plate
🟨
45+5'
Leandro Paredes
Boca Juniors
🔄
45'
Facundo Ezequiel Herrera ↔ Ayrton Enrique Costa
Boca Juniors
🔄
45'
Lucas Silva ↔ Lautaro Pereyra
River Plate
🟨
57'
Lautaro Blanco
Boca Juniors
🔄
62'
Leonel Flores ↔ Alan Velasco
Boca Juniors
🟨
68'
Alan Velasco
Boca Juniors
🔄
71'
Thiago Almada ↔ Sebastián Driussi
River Plate
🔄
71'
Tobías Andrada ↔ Juan Cruz Meza
River Plate
🔄
76'
Miguel Merentiel ↔ Enner Valencia
Boca Juniors
🟨
77'
Enner Valencia
Boca Juniors
🟥
79'
Gonzalo Montiel
River Plate
🟨
82'
Ezequiel Centurión
River Plate
🟨
82'
Rafael Borré
River Plate
🔄
85'
Tomás Ezequiel Galván ↔ Giovanni Gonzalez
River Plate
🔄
88'
Sebastián Villa ↔ Carlos Palacios
Boca Juniors
🔄
88'
Leandro Paredes ↔ Tomás Belmonte
Boca Juniors
🟨
90+7'
Ayrton Enrique Costa
Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors vs River Plate Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 2.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.5%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
2.49 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.55 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
26.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Boca Juniors Win 39.7%
Draw 33.8%
River Plate Win 26.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boca Juniors1.2
River Plate1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
W W D W W
11 GF / 5 GA
River Plate River Plate
W W D W L
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.41
Average Goals Scored
1.37
0.77
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
20
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
14
4.65
Shots on Goal
5.47

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 44 matches
River Plate River Plate 38 matches
Boca Juniors Statistic River Plate
22 Wins 20
15 Draws 6
7 Losses 12
62 Goals For 52
34 Goals Against 34
1.41 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
0.77 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
20 BTTS Yes 15
30 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 14
7 Over 3.5 9
20 Clean Sheets 15
8 Failed To Score 9
4.65 Shots On Goal 5.47
13.68 Total Shots 16.5
5.03 Corners 5.62
58% Ball Possession 64.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors won 5 times, River Plate won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Boca Juniors's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.5%)
Predicted formations: Boca Juniors 4-3-3 / River Plate 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Boca Juniors wins 5, draws 4, River Plate wins 5

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
D L L D W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W W W D W
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W W L D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L L D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D L D D L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
D D W W D
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D D W W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
D W D L L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
D W W D W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
D W L W W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D L L W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
W W L D D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L L D D
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D W L D
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L L D L D
Knockout Phase