12.09.2026 00:30
Estadio Alberto J. Armando
Boca Juniors
Match Timeline
Central Cordoba de Santiago
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
Ángel Romero · Assist: Enner Valencia
Boca Juniors
11'
Enner Valencia · Assist: Dylan Gorosito
Boca Juniors
🟨
17'
Dylan Gorosito
Boca Juniors
🟨
26'
Tomás Belmonte
Boca Juniors
🟨
39'
Marco Pellegrino
Boca Juniors
🟨
43'
Leonardo Sequeira
Central Cordoba de Santiago
56'
Ángel Romero · Assist: Carlos Palacios
Boca Juniors
🟨
62'
Santiago Moyano
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
65'
Diego Barrera ↔ Horacio Tijanovich
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
65'
Santiago Moyano ↔ Martín Francisco Cuitiño
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
67'
Lautaro Blanco ↔ Matías Satas
Boca Juniors
🔄
68'
Darío Cáceres ↔ Leonardo Marchi
Central Cordoba de Santiago
🔄
72'
Tomás Belmonte ↔ Santiago Ascacibar
Boca Juniors
🔄
72'
Enner Valencia ↔ Milton Giménez
Boca Juniors
🔄
72'
Ángel Romero ↔ Rodrigo Alexander Bacidalupe
Boca Juniors
🔄
76'
Leonardo Sequeira ↔ Lucas Varaldo
Central Cordoba de Santiago
90'
Martín Francisco Cuitiño · Assist: Fernando Martinez
Central Cordoba de Santiago

Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba de Santiago Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.49
BTTS
No
Probability 59.2%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
67.9%
1.49
BTTS No
59.2%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.72
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.43
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-0
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Boca Juniors Win 67.9%
Draw 8.1%
Central Cordoba de Santiago Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boca Juniors1.24
Central Cordoba de Santiago0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WWDLW
46 GF / 28 GA
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago
WLDWL
17 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
0.68
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
16
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
7
4.52
Shots on Goal
2.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 37 matches
Central Cordoba de Santiago Central Cordoba de Santiago 25 matches
Boca Juniors Statistic Central Cordoba de Santiago
16 Wins 6
14 Draws 6
7 Losses 13
46 Goals For 17
28 Goals Against 31
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 0.68
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
16 BTTS Yes 7
24 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 4
17 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 14
4.52 Shots On Goal 2.67
13.61 Total Shots 9.58
5.29 Corners 3.58
56.7% Ball Possession 41.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Boca Juniors's more proactive style and Central Cordoba de Santiago's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Central Cordoba de Santiago. Boca Juniors arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 30 points compared to Central Cordoba de Santiago in 13 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Boca Juniors expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Central Cordoba de Santiago in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Central Cordoba de Santiago having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Boca Juniors Analysis

Placed 2 with 30 points from 16 outings, Boca Juniors continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, while the 22:9 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Milton Giménez (4 goals), Alan Velasco (3 goals), Adam Bareiro (3 goals), with creative support from Tomás Aranda (3 assists), Miguel Merentiel (2 assists), Exequiel Zeballos (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Central Cordoba de Santiago Analysis

So far, Central Cordoba de Santiago have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 16 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, while the 11:21 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Michael Santos (4 goals), Diego Barrera (2 goals), Alejandro Maciel (1 goals), with creative support from Michael Santos (2 assists), Alejandro Maciel (1 assists), Matías Vera (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors won 8 times, Central Cordoba de Santiago won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 30:8 from Boca Juniors's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.45 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.9%)
Predicted formations: Boca Juniors 4-3-3 / Central Cordoba de Santiago 5-4-1
H2H summary: Boca Juniors wins 8, draws 2, Central Cordoba de Santiago wins 1

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
L D L W L
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
D W D D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
W D D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
L D D L L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
W L D W L
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W L D L W
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
W L D W L
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
W W W L L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
L W D W W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
L W W D W
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
D W W W L
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
D L W D W
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L D L L W
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D W W L
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
D D D L W
Knockout Phase