09.07.2026 00:00
Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena
Referee: L. Lobo Medina
Boca Juniors
Match Timeline
Atletico Paranaense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
27'
L. Blanco
Boca Juniors
🟨
31'
A. Costa
Boca Juniors
🟨
32'
Jadson
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
40'
Claudinho
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
Claudinho ↔ Leo Derik
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
Luiz Gustavo ↔ Felipinho
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
Arthur Dias ↔ C. Teran
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
Renan Peixoto ↔ J. Rivaldo
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
S. Mendoza ↔ Leozinho
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
46'
Jadson ↔ Joao Cruz
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
57'
L. Esquivel ↔ Dudu Marques
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
57'
Gilberto ↔ Gilberto Junior
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
58'
A. Velasco ↔ Angel Romero
Boca Juniors
🔄
58'
T. Belmonte ↔ W. H. Alarcon Cepeda
Boca Juniors
🔄
58'
A. Costa ↔ M. Pellegrino
Boca Juniors
🟥
60'
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
61'
B. Zapelli ↔ Mateus Soares
Atletico Paranaense
🔄
67'
L. Brey ↔ J. Garcia
Boca Juniors
🔄
67'
L. Flores ↔ K. Zenon
Boca Juniors
🔄
67'
J. Figal ↔ L. Di Lollo
Boca Juniors
🔄
67'
L. Blanco ↔ M. Braida
Boca Juniors
🔄
67'
S. Ascacibar ↔ Carlos Palacios
Boca Juniors
🔄
72'
L. Lozano ↔ M. Gimenez
Boca Juniors
🔄
72'
Miguel Merentiel ↔ D. Gorosito
Boca Juniors
🔄
74'
M. Delgado ↔ C. Rey Domenech
Boca Juniors
🔄
74'
F. Aguirre ↔ Leo
Atletico Paranaense
🟨
82'
D. Gorosito
Boca Juniors

Boca Juniors vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 73.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74.5%
-
BTTS No
55.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
73.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Boca Juniors Win 74.5%
Draw 5.8%
Atletico Paranaense Win 19.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Boca Juniors1.19
Atletico Paranaense1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Boca Juniors Boca Juniors
WWDLW
34 GF / 18 GA
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.33
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
1
11
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
8
4.78
Shots on Goal
4.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 26 matches
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 18 matches
Boca Juniors Statistic Atletico Paranaense
12 Wins 9
8 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
34 Goals For 24
18 Goals Against 18
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1
11 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 5
6 Failed To Score 5
4.78 Shots On Goal 4.83
13.39 Total Shots 12.22
5.22 Corners 5.17
58.7% Ball Possession 48.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Boca Juniors won 4 times, Atletico Paranaense won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Boca Juniors's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.2%)
Predicted formations: Boca Juniors 4-3-3 / Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Boca Juniors wins 4, draws 0, Atletico Paranaense wins 1