BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Blumenau
Match Timeline
Marcílio Dias
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
75'
Davi Torres
Marcílio Dias

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 78.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
78.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Blumenau Win 45.9%
Draw 21.5%
Marcílio Dias Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blumenau1
Marcílio Dias0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blumenau Blumenau
WWDLW
8 GF / 3 GA
Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias
WLDWL
7 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.17
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
1
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blumenau Blumenau 6 matches
Marcílio Dias Marcílio Dias 6 matches
Blumenau Statistic Marcílio Dias
4 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 1
8 Goals For 7
3 Goals Against 3
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
1 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 1
4 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Marcílio Dias. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Marcílio Dias having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Blumenau Analysis

Blumenau come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 13 points after 6 matches. With 4 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 8:3, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Josue (3 goals), Brown (2 goals), Wellisson (2 goals), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Marcílio Dias Analysis

Marcílio Dias approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 11 points after 6 outings. They have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 7:3 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Manoel (2 goals), Cesinha (1 goals), Davi Torres (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Blumenau won 1 times, Marcílio Dias won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Blumenau's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.5%)
H2H summary: Blumenau wins 1, draws 0, Marcílio Dias wins 1
Last matches: Blumenau
20.06.26
Ser
Blumenau
São Luiz
1
1
D
07.06.26
Ser
Blumenau
Sao Jose
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Brasil DE Pelotas
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Azuriz
4
2
W
09.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Independiente FSJ
0
1
L
25.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Marcílio Dias
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Azuriz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Brasil DE Pelotas
3
2
W
04.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Sao Jose
3
0
W
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
21.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
01.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
4
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
03.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
27.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
20.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
1
1
D
14.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
0
W
06.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
1
D
14.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
2
L
07.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
São Luiz
0
3
L
02.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
São Luiz
3
0
W
H2H: Blumenau vs Marcílio Dias
16.05.26
H2H
Blumenau
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
25.04.26
H2H
Marcílio Dias
Blumenau
0
1
W
Last matches: Blumenau
07.06.26
Ser
Blumenau
Sao Jose
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Blumenau
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Azuriz
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Blumenau
Brasil DE Pelotas
3
2
W
H2H at home: Blumenau
16.05.26
H2H
Blumenau
Marcílio Dias
0
1
L
Last matches: Marcílio Dias
21.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Cascavel
2
2
D
07.06.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Independiente FSJ
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
0
0
D
09.08.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
27.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Sao Jose
1
1
D
06.07.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Joinville
1
1
D
29.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Azuriz
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
São Luiz
0
3
L
25.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Brasil DE Pelotas
2
1
W
03.05.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Barra
1
2
L
27.04.25
Ser
Marcílio Dias
Guarany de Bagé
3
3
D
H2H away: Marcílio Dias
16.05.26
H2H
Blumenau
Marcílio Dias
0
1
W

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)