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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
24.10.2026 14:00
Bloomfield Road

Blackpool vs Mansfield Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 61.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
61.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Blackpool Win 38.7%
Draw 19.8%
Mansfield Town Win 41.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackpool1.45
Mansfield Town1.77
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackpool Blackpool
WWDLW
18 GF / 23 GA
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town
WLDWL
24 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.85
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
7
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
4.4
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackpool Blackpool 14 matches
Mansfield Town Mansfield Town 13 matches
Blackpool Statistic Mansfield Town
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 3
8 Losses 5
18 Goals For 24
23 Goals Against 22
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.85
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
7 BTTS Yes 8
12 Over 1.5 11
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
4.4 Shots On Goal 4.2
13.1 Total Shots 14.7
5.1 Corners 5
47.9% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Mansfield Town. Blackpool have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Blackpool expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Mansfield Town in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mansfield Town having the stronger overall control.

Blackpool Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 18, Blackpool still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats with a 13:14 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on J. Bowler (2 goals), T. Bloxham (2 goals), J. Yates (2 goals), with creative support from J. Bowler (1 assists), T. Bloxham (1 assists), D. Charles (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Mansfield Town Analysis

Mansfield Town are currently 11 in the standings with 12 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 13:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Moriah-Welsh (3 goals), M. Smith (3 goals), J. Russell (2 goals), with creative support from N. Moriah-Welsh (2 assists), J. Russell (2 assists), M. Smith (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Blackpool won 1 times, Mansfield Town won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Blackpool's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.14 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.2%)
Predicted formations: Blackpool 4-1-3-2 / Mansfield Town 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Blackpool wins 1, draws 2, Mansfield Town wins 4

Standings

League One
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 10:5 5 20
W D D W W
2 10 6 1 3 21:11 10 19
W W W D L
3 10 5 4 1 18:9 9 19
W D W L D
4 11 6 1 4 18:14 4 19
L W W L W
5 10 5 4 1 16:12 4 19
W W D D W
6 9 5 3 1 20:8 12 18
W D D D W
7 10 4 3 3 22:12 10 15
L W D D W
8 8 4 3 1 16:9 7 15
D W D W W
9 10 4 2 4 15:11 4 14
W D L W L
10 11 3 4 4 16:18 -2 13
D L L W D
11 10 3 4 3 16:20 -4 13
W L D W W
12 9 3 3 3 12:10 2 12
L W L W W
13 9 3 3 3 13:15 -2 12
D W D D L
14 9 3 3 3 12:15 -3 12
W L D W L
15 10 3 3 4 7:15 -8 12
L L D D W
16 9 3 2 4 17:17 0 11
L W L L D
17 9 2 3 4 10:11 -1 9
L W W L L
18 9 1 6 2 11:16 -5 9
W L D D D
19 10 2 3 5 9:16 -7 9
D W L L D
20 9 2 2 5 13:16 -3 8
L L L D L
21 9 2 2 5 9:17 -8 8
L L D L L
22 9 2 2 5 9:21 -12 8
L L W D L
23 9 1 4 4 8:13 -5 7
L L L L D
24 9 2 1 6 6:13 -7 7
W L L D L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two