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03.11.2026 19:45
Ewood Park
Referee: Andrew Kitchen

Blackburn vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 70.5%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
70.5%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.05 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.10 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 39.5%
Draw 31%
Stoke City Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.28
Stoke City1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
L W L W W
7 GF / 8 GA
Stoke City Stoke City
W D W L W
7 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
10
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
8
3.85
Shots on Goal
3.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 18 matches
Stoke City Stoke City 17 matches
Blackburn Statistic Stoke City
7 Wins 8
5 Draws 4
6 Losses 5
25 Goals For 23
24 Goals Against 19
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
10 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 12
12 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 2
3.85 Shots On Goal 3.69
11.15 Total Shots 11.92
5.92 Corners 4.77
47.4% Ball Possession 46.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 4 times, Stoke City won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Blackburn's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (70.5%)
Predicted formations: Blackburn 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 3-4-3
Missing players: Blackburn 4, Stoke City 6
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 4, draws 4, Stoke City wins 7

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 4 1 30:17 13 28
W W D W W
2 13 8 2 3 20:13 7 26
W L L W W
3 13 7 3 3 23:16 7 24
W W D W L
4 13 7 3 3 19:14 5 24
W D W W L
5 13 8 3 2 28:13 15 23
W W D W W
6 13 6 5 2 23:13 10 23
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 20:16 4 23
W D W L W
8 13 6 4 3 33:18 15 22
L L W W D
9 13 5 5 3 21:16 5 20
L W L W D
10 13 5 4 4 17:15 2 19
W D W L W
11 13 5 4 4 16:15 1 19
D W D W W
12 13 5 3 5 23:21 2 18
W L D L W
13 13 5 3 5 19:20 -1 18
L W L W W
14 13 5 3 5 15:17 -2 18
W D L L D
15 13 5 0 8 23:24 -1 15
W W L L L
16 13 4 3 6 14:23 -9 15
L W D L L
17 13 3 5 5 19:20 -1 14
L W D W L
18 13 3 5 5 15:19 -4 14
L L W L D
19 13 4 2 7 18:26 -8 14
L L D W L
20 13 3 5 5 11:21 -10 14
L L L D D
21 13 3 2 8 12:23 -11 11
L L W L L
22 13 1 6 6 17:25 -8 9
D L L D W
23 13 1 4 8 11:25 -14 7
L D L L D
24 13 1 2 10 10:27 -17 5
L D L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One