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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
12.09.2026 14:00
Ewood Park
Referee: Josh Smith, England
Blackburn
Match Timeline
Millwall
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Hayden Carter
Blackburn
🔄
16'
Y. Ribeiro ↔ H. Pickering
Blackburn
🟨
38'
Sam Morsy
Blackburn
⚽
41'
O. Afolayan · Assist: S. Morsy
Blackburn
🟨
45'
Harry Pickering
Blackburn
🟨
45+4'
Zak Sturge
Millwall
🔄
46'
R. Alebiosu ↔ G. Beyuku
Blackburn
🔄
46'
J. Osei-Tutu ↔ M. Sykes
Millwall
🔄
46'
R. Esse ↔ Y. Issoufou
Millwall
🟨
50'
Gady Beyuku
Blackburn
⚽
51'
L. Dykes
Millwall
⚽
58'
O. Afolayan · Assist: T. Atcheson
Blackburn
🔄
69'
O. Afolayan ↔ J. Fevrier
Blackburn
🔄
70'
T. Cantwell ↔ A. Gudjohnsen
Blackburn
🔄
76'
D. Mazou-Sacko ↔ D. Kelly
Millwall
🟨
81'
Jenson Metcalfe
Millwall
🔄
82'
J. Metcalfe ↔ E. Baggott
Millwall
🔄
82'
J. Cooper ↔ Z. Lovelace
Millwall
🟨
86'
Jayden Fevrier
Blackburn
🟨
90+2'
Mark Sykes
Millwall
⚽
90'
A. Gudjohnsen · Assist: J. Fevrier
Blackburn

Blackburn vs Millwall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Blackburn Win 57%
Draw 7%
Millwall Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Blackburn1.22
Millwall1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Blackburn Blackburn
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Millwall Millwall
WLDWL
15 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.18
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
6
BTTS Yes
4
7
Over 2.5
6
4
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Blackburn Blackburn 11 matches
Millwall Millwall 11 matches
Blackburn Statistic Millwall
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 1
4 Losses 5
13 Goals For 15
13 Goals Against 14
1.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
6 BTTS Yes 4
9 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 4
11.17 Total Shots 14.8
5.83 Corners 5.8
53.2% Ball Possession 48.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Blackburn won 10 times, Millwall won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:12 from Blackburn's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Blackburn 5-4-1 / Millwall 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Blackburn 7, Millwall 13
H2H summary: Blackburn wins 10, draws 3, Millwall wins 2

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 2 1 15:7 8 20
W W W L D
2 9 5 3 1 17:12 5 18
W D D W W
3 9 4 4 1 23:12 11 16
D D W W W
4 9 5 1 3 15:13 2 16
W W W D W
5 8 4 2 2 15:11 4 14
L W W D L
6 9 3 5 1 11:8 3 14
D D D D L
7 9 3 5 1 13:11 2 14
W D W L D
8 9 4 2 3 16:15 1 14
W D D L W
9 9 4 2 3 10:9 1 14
L L D W W
10 9 4 2 3 12:13 -1 14
D W L L W
11 9 5 2 2 20:10 10 13
W L W W D
12 9 3 4 2 8:11 -3 13
D L D D L
13 9 3 3 3 14:13 1 12
W D W L L
14 9 3 3 3 12:11 1 12
W L L W L
15 9 2 5 2 10:13 -3 11
D W L D D
16 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
L L W W D
17 9 3 1 5 12:17 -5 10
L W W L L
18 9 3 0 6 17:19 -2 9
L L L W W
19 8 2 2 4 9:11 -2 8
L D D W L
20 9 2 2 5 7:14 -7 8
L L L W L
21 9 1 4 4 11:14 -3 7
L W L D L
22 9 1 4 4 13:17 -4 7
W D L D L
23 9 1 3 5 8:15 -7 6
D D L L L
24 9 1 1 7 8:16 -8 4
L D L L W
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One