ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Football Academy Stadium
BKMA
Match Timeline
Gandzasar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
N. Hovhannisyan
BKMA
🟨
15'
P. Krmzyan
BKMA
🟨
15'
P. Krmzyan
BKMA
🟥
15'
P. Krmzyan
BKMA
🔄
24'
D. Harutyunyan ↔ A. Petrosyan
BKMA
44'
L. Andrioli Rodrigues
Gandzasar
🔄
46'
T. Voskanyan ↔ S. Obonde
Gandzasar
🔄
46'
L. Petrosyan ↔ F. Nkumba
Gandzasar
🔄
46'
B. Mani ↔ E. Lizalda
Gandzasar
🔄
60'
G. Petrosyan ↔ A. Khachatryan
BKMA
🔄
60'
P. Alekyan ↔ S. Kirakosyan
BKMA
🟨
67'
N. Alaverdyan
Gandzasar
🔄
71'
N. Alaverdyan ↔ D. Davtyan
Gandzasar
🔄
71'
M. Ahouangbo ↔ J. Nobrega
Gandzasar
🟨
82'
D. Davtyan
Gandzasar
🟨
83'
S. Kirakosyan
BKMA
🔄
90+1'
N. Hovhannisyan ↔ A. Petrosyan
BKMA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 47%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
47%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
65.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.3%
-
Probability Distribution
BKMA Win 26.8%
Draw 47%
Gandzasar Win 26.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
BKMA1.17
Gandzasar1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
BKMA BKMA
WWDLW
22 GF / 32 GA
Gandzasar Gandzasar
WLDWL
14 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.05
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
12
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BKMA BKMA 21 matches
Gandzasar Gandzasar 20 matches
BKMA Statistic Gandzasar
3 Wins 4
8 Draws 5
10 Losses 11
22 Goals For 14
32 Goals Against 27
1.05 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
12 BTTS Yes 7
16 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 5
8 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gandzasar. BKMA have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gandzasar having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

BKMA Analysis

BKMA approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 7 with 17 points from 21 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 21:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through N. Hovhannisyan (6 goals), G. Petrosyan (5 goals), A. Askaryan (2 goals), with creative support from V. Afyan (5 assists), N. Hovhannisyan (2 assists), L. Bashoyan (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gandzasar Analysis

Gandzasar are currently 8 in the standings with 17 points from 20 matches. The record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 14:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through P. Avetisyan (3 goals), B. Mani (2 goals), L. Andrioli Rodrigues (2 goals), with creative support from P. Avetisyan (1 assists), L. Andrioli Rodrigues (1 assists), A. Mensah (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, BKMA won 3 times, Gandzasar won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:5 from BKMA's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.7%)
H2H summary: BKMA wins 3, draws 4, Gandzasar wins 0

Lineups

BKMA
Formation
Gandzasar
D. Davtyan
D. Davtyan
M. Avetisyan
M. Avetisyan
P. Manukyan
P. Manukyan
P. Krmzyan
P. Krmzyan
G. Arakelyan
G. Arakelyan
H. Sargsyan
H. Sargsyan
M. Ayvazyan
M. Ayvazyan
D. Harutyunyan
D. Harutyunyan
P. Alekyan
P. Alekyan
N. Hovhannisyan
N. Hovhannisyan
G. Petrosyan
G. Petrosyan
G. Matevosyan
G. Matevosyan
A. Mensah
A. Mensah
S. Kanda
S. Kanda
T. Voskanyan
T. Voskanyan
Y. Martirosyan
Y. Martirosyan
M. Ahouangbo
M. Ahouangbo
O. C. Emmanuel
O. C. Emmanuel
N. Alaverdyan
N. Alaverdyan
L. Andrioli Rodrigues
L. Andrioli Rodrigues
L. Petrosyan
L. Petrosyan
B. Mani
B. Mani
BKMA 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
D. Davtyan
4
M. Avetisyan
5
P. Manukyan
14
P. Krmzyan
🟨 15' 🟨 15' 🟥 15'
3
G. Arakelyan
13
H. Sargsyan
9
M. Ayvazyan
11
D. Harutyunyan
↓ 24'
35
P. Alekyan
↓ 60'
7
N. Hovhannisyan
⚽ 11' ↓ 90+1'
10
G. Petrosyan
↓ 60'
Substitutes
91
H. Ghazaryan
47
H. Manukyan
23
A. Petrosyan
↑ 90+1'
52
A. Arakelyan
6
A. Petrosyan
↑ 24'
8
S. Movsisyan
19
A. Galstyan
49
A. Khachatryan
↑ 60'
17
R. Abrahamyan
55
A. Movsesyan
41
M. Asatryan
51
S. Kirakosyan
↑ 60' 🟨 83'
Gandzasar 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Matevosyan
15
A. Mensah
5
S. Kanda
4
T. Voskanyan
↓ 46'
22
Y. Martirosyan
6
M. Ahouangbo
↓ 71'
14
O. C. Emmanuel
11
N. Alaverdyan
↓ 71' 🟨 67'
23
L. Andrioli Rodrigues
⚽ 44'
10
L. Petrosyan
↓ 46'
7
B. Mani
↓ 46'
Substitutes
12
R. Manasyan
31
N. Lobusov
20
S. Obonde
↑ 46'
77
A. Khachatryan
2
P. Manukyan
47
F. Nkumba
↑ 46'
17
D. Davtyan
↑ 71' 🟨 82'
21
E. Lizalda
↑ 46'
88
A. Kalmarzy
79
J. Nobrega
↑ 71'
19
H. Katoh
38
Michael Quarcoo
Last matches: BKMA
18.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Sioni
3
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gagra
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Shirak
2
3
L
26.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
1
W
16.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
3
2
W
28.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
23.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
3
L
Last matches: Gandzasar
11.07.26
Fri
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
2
L
27.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
18.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Alashkert
1
3
L
06.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Noah
1
4
L
02.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Van
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Shirak
3
2
W
10.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Noah
0
3
L
05.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Urartu
2
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat
2
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Urartu
2
2
D
25.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Sardarapat
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Van
0
0
D
07.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Ararat
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Shirak
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Van
1
2
L
03.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Alashkert
1
0
W
25.10.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
H2H: BKMA vs Gandzasar
11.07.26
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
19.04.26
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
28.11.25
H2H
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
0
D
23.08.25
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
26.05.25
H2H
Gandzasar
BKMA
2
2
D
05.12.24
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
1
W
19.10.24
H2H
Gandzasar
BKMA
1
6
W
Last matches: BKMA
11.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Shirak
2
3
L
17.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
W
29.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
1
3
L
29.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
1
D
H2H at home: BKMA
11.07.26
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
19.04.26
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
05.12.24
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
1
W
Last matches: Gandzasar
11.07.26
Fri
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
2
L
27.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Alashkert
1
3
L
05.04.26
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Urartu
2
4
L
14.03.26
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat
2
0
W
25.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Sardarapat
0
0
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gandzasar
Van
0
0
D
22.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Shirak
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Van
1
2
L
25.10.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
05.10.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
21.09.25
Pre
Gandzasar
Alashkert
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pre
Gandzasar
BKMA
0
0
D
17.08.25
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Noah
1
4
L
09.08.25
Pre
Gandzasar
FC Urartu
0
1
L
H2H away: Gandzasar
11.07.26
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
L
19.04.26
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
05.12.24
H2H
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
1
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7
BKMA Home
27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation