ARMENIA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Football Academy Stadium
BKMA
Match Timeline
Ararat-Armenia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
G. Arakelyan
BKMA
25'
N. Hovhannisyan
BKMA
🟨
42'
P. Manukyan
BKMA
🔄
46'
P. Alekyan ↔ S. Kirakosyan
BKMA
🔄
46'
K. Muradyan ↔ H. Oliveira
Ararat-Armenia
58'
M. Avetisyan · Assist: P. Manukyan
BKMA
62'
A. Eloyan · Assist: A. Ambartsumyan
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
64'
Welton ↔ J. A. Balanta
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
64'
K. Hovhannisyan ↔ A. Ndour
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
69'
G. Petrosyan ↔ A. Askaryan
BKMA
72'
J. Queiros
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
79'
D. Harutyunyan ↔ A. Petrosyan
BKMA
🔄
79'
M. Ayvazyan ↔ A. Khachatryan
BKMA
🔄
79'
↔ A. Tera
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
79'
A. Eloyan ↔ P. Ayongo
Ararat-Armenia
83'
H. Oliveira
Ararat-Armenia
🔄
87'
G. Arakelyan ↔ S. Movsisyan
BKMA
🟨
90'
H. Oliveira
Ararat-Armenia
🟨
90+10'
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 87.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 69.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
87.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
69.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
BKMA Win 12.8%
Draw 0%
Ararat-Armenia Win 87.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
BKMA1.06
Ararat-Armenia1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
BKMA BKMA
WWDLW
27 GF / 38 GA
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WLDWL
50 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
15
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BKMA BKMA 25 matches
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 29 matches
BKMA Statistic Ararat-Armenia
4 Wins 17
10 Draws 7
11 Losses 5
27 Goals For 50
38 Goals Against 30
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.52 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
15 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 17
8 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Ararat-Armenia's more proactive style and BKMA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ararat-Armenia. Ararat-Armenia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ararat-Armenia having the stronger overall control. Ararat-Armenia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 54 points while BKMA sit 7 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

BKMA Analysis

BKMA sit 7 with 22 points after 25 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, while the 27:38 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on N. Hovhannisyan (7 goals), G. Petrosyan (6 goals), P. Manukyan (3 goals), with creative support from V. Afyan (5 assists), N. Hovhannisyan (2 assists), L. Bashoyan (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ararat-Armenia Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 54 points from 25 games, Ararat-Armenia bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 16 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 46:23, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through A. Serobyan (7 goals), A. Eloyan (6 goals), A. Ndour (5 goals), with creative support from Z. Shaghoyan (6 assists), A. Ambartsumyan (3 assists), K. Hovhannisyan (3 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, BKMA won 0 times, Ararat-Armenia won 12 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:38 from BKMA's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: BKMA - / Ararat-Armenia 4-3-3
H2H summary: BKMA wins 0, draws 3, Ararat-Armenia wins 12

Lineups

BKMA
Formation
Ararat-Armenia
D. Davtyan
D. Davtyan
G. Arakelyan
G. Arakelyan
M. Avetisyan
M. Avetisyan
P. Manukyan
🎯
P. Manukyan
P. Krmzyan
P. Krmzyan
P. Alekyan
P. Alekyan
M. Ayvazyan
M. Ayvazyan
H. Sargsyan
H. Sargsyan
N. Hovhannisyan
N. Hovhannisyan
D. Harutyunyan
D. Harutyunyan
G. Petrosyan
G. Petrosyan
B. Pinto
B. Pinto
K. Hovhannisyan
K. Hovhannisyan
Junior Julio
Junior Julio
J. Queiros
J. Queiros
E. Grigoryan
E. Grigoryan
A. Ambartsumyan
🎯
A. Ambartsumyan
K. Muradyan
K. Muradyan
Welton
Welton
Z. Banjaqui
Z. Banjaqui
Z. Shaghoyan
Z. Shaghoyan
A. Eloyan
A. Eloyan
BKMA 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
77
D. Davtyan
3
G. Arakelyan
↓ 87' 🟨 13'
4
M. Avetisyan
⚽ 58'
5
P. Manukyan
🎯 58' 🟨 42'
14
P. Krmzyan
35
P. Alekyan
↓ 46'
9
M. Ayvazyan
↓ 79'
13
H. Sargsyan
7
N. Hovhannisyan
⚽ 25'
11
D. Harutyunyan
↓ 79'
10
G. Petrosyan
↓ 69'
Substitutes
91
H. Ghazaryan
8
S. Movsisyan
↑ 87'
47
H. Manukyan
6
A. Petrosyan
↑ 79'
55
A. Movsesyan
51
S. Kirakosyan
↑ 46'
29
A. Askaryan
↑ 69'
49
A. Khachatryan
↑ 79'
41
M. Asatryan
19
A. Galstyan
23
A. Petrosyan
Ararat-Armenia 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
24
B. Pinto
13
K. Hovhannisyan
↓ 64'
3
Junior Julio
4
J. Queiros
⚽ 72'
16
E. Grigoryan
10
A. Ambartsumyan
🎯 62'
19
K. Muradyan
↓ 46'
88
Welton
↓ 64'
11
Z. Banjaqui
7
Z. Shaghoyan
9
A. Eloyan
⚽ 62' ↓ 79'
Substitutes
1
A. Nersesyan
12
S. Badalyan
2
H. Oliveira
⚽ 83' ↑ 46' 🟨 90'
47
A. Malis
5
H. Hakobyan
20
A. Tera
↑ 79'
8
J. A. Balanta
↑ 64'
36
V. Makhsudyan
26
M. Hovhannisyan
25
A. Ndour
↑ 64'
33
B. Arrassi
90
P. Ayongo
↑ 79'
Last matches: BKMA
18.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Sioni
3
1
W
15.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gagra
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Shirak
2
3
L
26.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
1
1
D
09.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
16.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
4
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
06.12.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
3
2
W
28.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
23.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
2
3
L
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
21.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers
2
0
W
14.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
3
L
07.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
0
W
27.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vojvodina
1
1
D
20.06.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Mura
1
1
D
27.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
0
4
L
06.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
4
0
W
20.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
0
1
L
18.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
HIK
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
L
12.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Hørsholm-Usserød
4
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Banga
2
0
W
H2H: BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia
17.05.26
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
25.10.25
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
2
1
L
29.09.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
18.05.25
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
4
0
L
02.11.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
4
L
29.09.24
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
2
0
L
07.05.24
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
4
1
L
07.03.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
02.11.23
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
4
1
L
01.09.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
1
1
D
05.06.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
5
L
15.04.23
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
2
1
L
22.11.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
30.09.22
H2H
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
1
0
L
25.04.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
Last matches: BKMA
11.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Gandzasar
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
BKMA
Shirak
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
0
0
D
20.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
0
1
L
08.03.26
Pre
BKMA
FC Noah
0
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
1
0
W
31.01.26
Fri
BKMA
Van
2
2
D
02.11.25
Pre
BKMA
Pyunik Yerevan
1
2
L
19.10.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat
4
0
W
29.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
13.09.25
Pre
BKMA
Alashkert
1
3
L
29.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Van
0
0
D
23.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Gandzasar
0
0
D
16.08.25
Pre
BKMA
Shirak
2
1
W
02.08.25
Pre
BKMA
FC Urartu
1
1
D
H2H at home: BKMA
17.05.26
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
L
29.09.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
02.11.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
4
L
07.03.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
01.09.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
1
1
D
05.06.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
5
L
22.11.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
25.04.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
L
Last matches: Ararat-Armenia
14.07.26
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Riga
2
3
L
03.05.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
2
0
W
20.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
4
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
2
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Alashkert
0
1
L
07.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Banga
2
0
W
06.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Lyngby
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Botev Vratsa
0
0
D
28.01.26
Fri
Ararat-Armenia
Vejle
3
2
W
25.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Pyunik Yerevan
0
1
L
21.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Ararat
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Noah
2
1
W
19.10.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Gandzasar
1
0
W
29.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
BKMA
2
2
D
14.09.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
FC Urartu
3
2
W
24.08.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Shirak
1
0
W
07.08.25
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Sparta Praha
1
4
L
04.08.25
Pre
Ararat-Armenia
Van
0
0
D
31.07.25
UEF
Ararat-Armenia
Universitatea Cluj
2
1
W
H2H away: Ararat-Armenia
17.05.26
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
3
W
29.09.25
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
02.11.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
4
W
07.03.24
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
W
01.09.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
1
1
D
05.06.23
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
5
W
22.11.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
2
2
D
25.04.22
H2H
BKMA
Ararat-Armenia
0
1
W

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 18 6 4 50:26 24 60
W W L W W
2 27 16 8 3 61:19 42 56
W D W W W
3 27 17 4 6 37:18 19 55
W D W W L
4 27 16 5 6 42:23 19 53
W W W D D
5 27 14 7 6 43:26 17 49
L D W L W
6 27 9 4 14 27:40 -13 31
L L W W L
7
BKMA Home
27 4 11 12 30:42 -12 23
D L L D W
8 27 5 6 16 20:41 -21 21
L L L L L
9 27 2 7 18 17:51 -34 13
L D L L L
10 27 3 4 20 21:63 -42 13
D L L W L
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation